320 Draper St · Warner Robins, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful home located on a quiet street. Home features a large kitchen with granite tops, 2 living areas, 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Home offers space inside and out. Shed will remain with the property. Would be perfect for all buyers and a great opportunity for an investor to increase their portfolio with this all-brick house located in the center of Warner Robins.
Key facts
- Shed
- Granite tops
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad with open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Resale property; Built in 1961
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built in 1961
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot size approximately 0.34 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Solid surface counters
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Laminate floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level layout; Solid surface kitchen counters; No basement; Public-record living area of 1,737
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen and additional utility area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.9% in Warner Robins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#227 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Miller Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 538 students, 84% FRL); Warner Robins Middle School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #237 of 470 statewide, top 51%, 813 students, 84% FRL); Warner Robins High School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #322 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 1,816 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 46% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $170k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.57%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,205
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -14.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Early | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-2%) | 2mo | $304,900 | $179 | 84 |
| 106 Early Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (-7%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $170 | 76 |
| 120 Bramblewood Ln | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,756 (+1%) | 8mo | $295,339 | $168 | 76 |
| 104 Early Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,619 (-7%) | 1mo | $296,920 | $183 | 76 |
| 100 Early Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-8%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $181 | 73 |
| 202 Forest Hill Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-8%) | 4mo | $164,000 | $103 | 72 |
| 215 Forest Hill Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+3%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $95 | 70 |
| 314 Forest Hill Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,868 (+8%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 101 Spring St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,705 (-2%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 102 Shelia Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (-10%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $109 | 44 |
| 123 Vernon Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,514 (-13%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $73 | 38 |
| 139 Vernon Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,476 (-15%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $88 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-23,055
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-19,695
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31088
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 286
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,213/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Briarcliff Rd Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,325 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 125 Briarcliff Rd Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,325 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1311 Alma Ave Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 342 Orchard Way Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,349 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 125 Orchard Pass Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,395 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 605 S Pleasant Hill Rd Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $1,150 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 605 S Pleasant Hill Rd Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $1,150 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 142 Stoneridge Dr Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 204 Ashby Way Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,395 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 105 Marvin Blvd Warner Robins, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,495 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 106 Edna Pl Warner Robins, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1922 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 314 McArthur Blvd Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 201 Sherman St Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 100 Wrights Mill Cir Warner Robins, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,475 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 313 Westcliff Center St Warner Robins, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1241 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 313 Westcliff Center St Warner Robins, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1241 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 210 Southland Station Dr Warner Robins, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1135 | $1,413 | $1.24 | 13d | 15 | 1.44mi |
| 337 Mary Ln Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 305 Sparta St Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 341 Mary Ln Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $170,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-01$170,000 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Wonderful home located on a quiet street. Home features a large kitchen with granite tops, 2 living areas, 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Home offers space inside and out. Shed will remain with the property. Would be perfect for all buyers and a great opportunity for an investor to increase their portfolio with this all-brick house located in the center of Warner Robins.
-
2026-05-01$170,000 New 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Wonderful home located on a quiet street. Home features a large kitchen with granite tops, 2 living areas, 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Home offers space inside and out. Shed will remain with the property. Would be perfect for all buyers and a great opportunity for an investor to increase their portfolio with this all-brick house located in the center of Warner Robins.
-
2025-09-10historical $1,300
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2025-08-12$1,300
-
2023-11-08historical $1,300
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2023-11-06$1,300
-
2019-08-07soldstatus $90,000
-
2019-07-25soldstatus $90,000
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
CUTE HOUSE!!
-
2019-07-25$90,000
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
CUTE HOUSE!!
-
2019-07-22soldstatus $90,000
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2019-07-22soldstatus $90,000
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2018-10-24$93,900
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2018-06-19soldstatus $61,400
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2007-05-16soldstatus $120,000
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1985-08-09soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,213 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,564 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$351/yr (+$29/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,213
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$1,663
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$399
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Warner Robins
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #13290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warner Robins, GA
- County
- Houston County · 157,321 people
- City population
- 92,102
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,585
- Household income
- $83,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1668.0
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 32% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.75%
- Current HPI
- 219.8261
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+223.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $170,000 CGMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $170,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-10 Rental Removed $1,300 CGMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed for Rent $1,300 CGMLS
- 2023-11-08 Rental Removed $1,300 CGMLS
- 2023-11-06 Listed for Rent $1,300 CGMLS
- 2019-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-25 Listed $90,000 CGMLS
- 2019-07-25 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CGMLS
- 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $90,000 GAMLS
- 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MGMLS
- 2018-10-24 Listed $93,900 MGMLS
- 2018-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $61,400 Public Records
- 2007-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1985-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,213 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…