🏷️ Likely Rental
2230 W Main St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home with a fenced in yard was previously updated and has lots of potential. The electric panel, wiring, and plumbing are all newer and the home previously passed a Section 8 inspection. The living room has a fireplace with built ins on either side. There is a primary bedroom on the first floor and 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs. The home sits on a corner lot and has a fenced in front and back yard. There is some work that will need to be done to get mechanicals up and running as well as some minor cosmetic work. This location allows for easy access to I-64 as well as downtown and the bus route. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Newer electric panel
- Newer plumbing
- Newer wiring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located at the corner of W Main St and S 23rd St (directions available)
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Utilities listed as other
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; 2 stories
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Full chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on first floor
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (1 on first floor, 2 on second floor)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Half bath located on second floor; Full bath located on first floor
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; 9 closets; Unfinished cellar basement; Basement present; First-floor primary bedroom; First-floor laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 140 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.64%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2429 Griffiths Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (+2%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $55 | 72 |
| 2333 Duncan St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (-8%) | 5mo | $83,750 | $57 | 69 |
| 218 S 25th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (-6%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $85 | 69 |
| 320 N 18th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-6%) | 1mo | $147,900 | $98 | 63 |
| 315 N 27th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,540 (-4%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $65 | 61 |
| 207 N 19th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,464 (-9%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $41 | 59 |
| 2010 W Market St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (-15%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $98 | 58 |
| 2024 Portland Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,518 (-6%) | 5mo | $83,750 | $55 | 55 |
| 2715 W Market St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,735 (+8%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $80 | 54 |
| 2409 Griffiths Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,374 (-15%) | 6mo | $37,000 | $27 | 51 |
| 2616 Duncan St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-11%) | 7mo | $48,000 | $33 | 50 |
| 1825 W Muhammad Ali Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,817 (+13%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $107 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $72,089
- Equity at exit
- $72,070
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.11×
- Total profit
- $181,618
- Equity at exit
- $155,422
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40212
- Home prices YoY
- 11.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,289 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $819/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2508 W Main St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 212 N 25th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2529 W Main St #2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 120 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 430 S 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2319 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $1,300 | $0.79 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 409 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1919 Baird St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 16d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 353 N 27th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1810 Magazine St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2506 Montgomery St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 3d | 4 | 0.83mi |
| 848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2906 Montgomery St Unit B Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,060 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 652 N 29th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1127 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $895 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $940 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1847 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $895 | $0.65 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 980 W Liberty St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1026 | $1,535 | $1.50 | 24d | 133 | 1.24mi |
| 2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1723 W Kentucky St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 820 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,395 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 737 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1356 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 814 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 803 S 35th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1486 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3901 Jewell Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,140 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 127 N 40th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,570 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 106 N 40th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,220 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 652 S 37th St #9 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 627 S 38th St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,349 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $80,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $85,000
-
2026-04-20price $99,000
-
2026-04-08$110,000 Active
-
2024-01-16soldstatus $91,708
-
2016-09-12soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$819
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,966
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,192
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,661
- Household income
- $35,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1148.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 37% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.02%
- Current HPI
- 293.2624
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+209.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $85,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $99,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $110,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $91,708 Public Records
- 2016-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $819 · +17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…