2120 Blodgett Mills Rd · Blodgett Mills, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 2000 double-wide mobile home situated on a private one-acre lot just outside Blodgett Mills. This home offers comfortable one-level living with a spacious primary bedroom featuring a full bath complete with both a stand-up shower and soaking tub. Enjoy a cozy living room with a fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and an eat-in country kitchen with plenty of space for everyday dining. Additional highlights include a dedicated laundry room, three more bedrooms, and a second full bathroom. Step outside to a private backyard ideal for outdoor enjoyment, all while being conveniently located near Greek Peak Mountain Resort for year-round recreation. A great o
Key facts
- Cozy living room
- Private backyard
- Private one-acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story double-wide manufactured home; Existing construction; Main entry on one level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation; Built as existing (year built details: existing)
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular lot (approx. 1.09 acres, dimensions 160 x 272)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating available; Propane heating available
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom with private bath; Main-level primary bedroom; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#709 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Mcgraw Central School District (rural): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #252 of 590 in NY (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Cortland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cortland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $119k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.59%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $38,717
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.33×
- Total profit
- $144,211
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13045
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $738
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 767-char remark
-
2026-04-28price $119,000 767-char remark
-
2026-04-27$11,900 Active 767-char remark
-
2017-06-13soldstatus $68,000
-
2017-02-14historical
-
2016-10-27$67,500
-
2016-10-25$67,500
-
2013-09-26soldstatus $37,000
-
2012-10-30$44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,628 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,628 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$2,628
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,982
- − Management
- −$1,982
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $7,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,790
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcgraw Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618840
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,404
- Composite
- 50.37/100
- National rank
- #1875
- State rank
- #252 of 590 in NY
Livability — Blodgett Mills
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #709
- US rank
- #13501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blodgett Mills, NY
- County
- Cortland County · 28,361 people
- City population
- 22
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,361
- Household income
- $69,961
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1488.0
Population outlook (Cortland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,543 people
- By 2030
- 46,107 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 43,122 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 40,216 · -15.4%
- By 2075
- 34,717 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 28,953 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cortland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 46.8% · R 53.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 10.0pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+6.7 2012: D+8.8 2008: D+10.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+165.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $119,000 CNYIS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $11,900 CNYIS
- 2017-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-14 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2016-10-27 Listed $67,500 IBRMLS
- 2016-10-25 Listed $67,500 CNYIS
- 2013-09-26 Sold (MLS) $37,000 CNYIS
- 2012-10-30 Listed $44,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,628 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…