5950 Consider Trail Von · Somerset, TX 78073

$196,999

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,411 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition Est $196k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.3/15.0
• Appreciation +6.3/10.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining, along with access to an outdoor space. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, ideal for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Open floorplan
• Outdoor space

Tags

• OPEN FLOORPLAN
• OUTDOOR SPACE
• OWNER'S SUITE
• EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• TWO SECONDARY BEDROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Listing status: Active
• Financial info: List price $196,999

Exterior

• Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (2 total parking spaces)
• Home design: Single-family property; Idlewood plan
• Construction: Built as new construction (Spec)
• Exterior features: Address: 5950 Consider Trail Von, Ormy TX 78073

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Spec new-construction home (Idlewood plan); Living area of 1,411

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $197k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($464/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (10.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $177k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Somerset ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 321 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
• Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $177,229 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.84%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $196,129
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5919 Consider Trl	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,402 (-1%)	1mo	$194,999	$139	98
12107 Kneeling Path	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,402 (-1%)	2mo	$192,999	$138	97
5903 Consider Trl	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,402 (-1%)	2mo	$196,999	$141	97
12119 Kneeling Path	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,402 (-1%)	3mo	$211,999	$151	96
6043 Skipping Way	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,354 (-4%)	1mo	$184,999	$137	93
12010 Pressing Pass	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,354 (-4%)	1mo	$184,999	$137	92
12030 Pressing Pass	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,354 (-4%)	1mo	$184,999	$137	92
6027 Skipping Way	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,354 (-4%)	1mo	$192,999	$143	92
12103 Kneeling Path	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,266 (-10%)	2mo	$184,999	$146	81
6046 Skipping Way	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,213 (-14%)	3mo	$185,999	$153	74
12227 Kneeling Path	0.00mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,600 (+13%)	3mo	$197,999	$124	70
12203 Kneeling Path	0.00mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,600 (+13%)	4mo	$219,999	$137	70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.40×
• Total profit: $22,095
• Equity at exit: $84,188

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.46×
• Total profit: $80,485
• Equity at exit: $126,427

Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78073

• Home prices YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 321
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,772 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,033
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$246 /mo · $2,955/yr
• Insurance: −$82
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$372
• Net cashflow: $39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,723

Max offer price $196,999

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $175	-5% $107	+0% $39	+5% $-29	+10% $-97
Rent	-10% $-101	-5% $-31	+0% $39	+5% $109	+10% $179
Rate	-1.0pp $138	-0.5pp $89	base $39	+0.5pp $-12	+1.0pp $-64

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,250
• Closing costs: $5,910
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $196,999 Active 16 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $196,999 Active 15 DOM
3. 2026-06-21
   days on market $196,999 Active 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-18
   days on market $196,999 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-17
   days on market $196,999 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-16
   days on market $196,999 Active 10 DOM
7. 2026-06-15
   days on market $196,999 Active 9 DOM
8. 2026-06-15
   days on market $196,999 Active 8 DOM
9. 2026-06-13
   days on market $196,999 Active 7 DOM
10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $196,999 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $196,999 Active 3 DOM
12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $196,999 Active 2 DOM
13. 2026-06-07
    remarks 415-char remark
14. 2026-06-07
    listed $196,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,267
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,035
• − Property taxes: −$2,955
• − Insurance: −$985
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,701
• − Management: −$1,701
• − Depreciation: −$5,731
• Taxable loss: −$2,841
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$682
• After-tax cash flow: $1,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-level home features a spacious open floorplan and is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It has the potential for further value increases through cosmetic updates and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
• Both Update flooring — Modern flooring can improve the overall aesthetic and value of the home.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Update flooring — Modern flooring can improve the overall aesthetic and value of the home. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Somerset ISD
• NCES district ID: 4840740
• Math proficiency: 41% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,712
• Composite: 34.01/100
• National rank: #5315
• State rank: #417 of 826 in TX

Livability — Somerset

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #639
• US rank: #12187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 9,510

Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 57,233 people
• By 2030: 61,729 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 71,122 · +24.3%
• By 2050: 80,906 · +41.4%
• By 2075: 106,134 · +85.4%
• By 2100: 122,415 · +113.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 33% White 16%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 75%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada
• Languages at home: 51% English-only · Spanish 48% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• Current HPI: 289.1266
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B