3664 43rd Ave N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom & 2 full bathoom home is great for first time home buyers or an investment property for rental income. Large front porch leads you into the living room & dinin room with hardwood floors. Good sized kitchen with original pine cabinets, with counter space & an eat in area. There are 3 bedrooms with closets. The full hall bathroom features a tub/shower combo. Oversized den in the back features a full bathroom as well with a separate shower & leads to a covered patio area. Flat back yard also features a detached garage. Seller Finance options available!
Key facts
- Oversized den
- Large front porch
- Eat in area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.17%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,062
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -3.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 636 Jefferson Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,505 (-3%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $43 | 62 |
| 3837 41st Ave N | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,554 (-0%) | 23mo | $30,000 | $19 | 52 |
| 3920 39th Ave N | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,502 (-4%) | 9mo | $53,000 | $35 | 50 |
| 717 Jackson Blvd | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,604 (+3%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $41 | 50 |
| 3940 40th Ave N | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,444 (-7%) | 19mo | $50,000 | $35 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $58,617
- Equity at exit
- $49,548
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 10.76×
- Total profit
- $150,237
- Equity at exit
- $106,853
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35207
- Home prices YoY
- 18.7%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,134 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1303 Main St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4344 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,050 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4301 Greenwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,025 | $0.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 619 Bell Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,075 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4329 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,353 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 732 Fulton Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4028 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $950 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4217 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4208 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4212 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4418 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1710 | $925 | $0.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1043 Jackson Blvd Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,095 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2807 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,100 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4231 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $850 | $0.67 | 19d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1236 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1888 | $950 | $0.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1237 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1108 Hall St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $850 | $0.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4925 43rd Way N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,461 | $1.19 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1249 Waverly St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,000 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $55,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $65,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
This 3 bedroom & 2 full bathoom home is great for first time home buyers or an investment property for rental income. Large front porch leads you into the living room & dinin room with hardwood floors. Good sized kitchen with original pine cabinets, with counter space & an eat in area. There are 3 bedrooms with closets. The full hall bathroom features a tub/shower combo. Oversized den in the back features a full bathroom as well with a separate shower & leads to a covered patio area. Flat back yard also features a detached garage. Seller Finance options available!
-
2026-02-18$75,000 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
This 3 bedroom & 2 full bathoom home is great for first time home buyers or an investment property for rental income. Large front porch leads you into the living room & dinin room with hardwood floors. Good sized kitchen with original pine cabinets, with counter space & an eat in area. There are 3 bedrooms with closets. The full hall bathroom features a tub/shower combo. Oversized den in the back features a full bathroom as well with a separate shower & leads to a covered patio area. Flat back yard also features a detached garage. Seller Finance options available!
-
2025-08-21price $24,800
-
2025-07-28price $28,400
-
2025-07-08price $35,500
-
2025-06-06price $38,400
-
2025-05-22price $43,100
-
2025-05-06$52,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,605
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$1,072
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,164
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,824
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 35.95%
- Current HPI
- 228.5664
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+25.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $24,800 WAMLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $28,400 WAMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $35,500 WAMLS
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $38,400 WAMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $43,100 WAMLS
- 2025-05-06 Listed $52,000 WAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…