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C- Composite 51.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$15,000

210 Offerson Rd Unit R-307 · Avon, CO 81620
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,789 sqft · Condo public records · 442 Days on market
Built 1993 $699/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely views from this 2-level 3 bedroom with vaulted ceilings and big windows facing the view! Week 38 is a wonderful September week perfect for appreciating the beginning of Fall colors! 2020 dates are: Sept 19-26th. This week also abuts BONUS WEEKS> Ask me about BONUS TIME!!

Key facts

  • Ski-in access
  • Underground parking
  • Front desk

Tags

DEEDED OWNERSHIPSKI-IN ACCESSFRONT DESKCONCIERGEUNDERGROUND PARKINGINDOOR POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Annual HOA fee of 8,390; HOA covers common area maintenance, electricity, gas, heat, management, snow removal, taxes, and trash; Community amenities include a fitness center and pool

Exterior

  • Home design: Multi-family property
  • Construction: Shake roof; Poured-in-place foundation
  • Exterior features: Multi-family zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Baseboard heating; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Unit is furnished; Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 220.5% vs local median 2.3% in Avon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#220 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 448 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,405/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($104 loan paydown + $995 appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
  • Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 442 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 16 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (62%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $15k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 442 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
29.37%
Cap rate
220.49%
Cash-on-cash
764.98%
DSCR
35.04
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
42.89×
Total profit
$175,924
Equity at exit
$10,037
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
92.62×
Total profit
$384,807
Equity at exit
$18,750

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81620

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
448
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,405 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$699
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$925
Net cashflow
$2,677

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,016
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$699 · $8,388/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $15,000 Active 442 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 441 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 440 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 439 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,000 Active 438 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $15,000 Active 436 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $15,000 Active 435 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,000 Active 432 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 431 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,000 Active 430 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $15,000 Active 427 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $15,000 Active 426 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,000 Active 425 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,000 Active 424 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,000 Active 423 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $15,000 Active 422 DOM
  17. 2026-03-31
    price $15,000
  18. 2025-04-03
    listed $39,500 Active
  19. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $10,000 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Lovely views from this 2-level 3 bedroom with vaulted ceilings and big windows facing the view! Week 38 is a wonderful September week perfect for appreciating the beginning of Fall colors! 2020 dates are: Sept 19-26th. This week also abuts BONUS WEEKS> Ask me about BONUS TIME!!

  20. 2020-02-10
    listed $10,000 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Lovely views from this 2-level 3 bedroom with vaulted ceilings and big windows facing the view! Week 38 is a wonderful September week perfect for appreciating the beginning of Fall colors! 2020 dates are: Sept 19-26th. This week also abuts BONUS WEEKS> Ask me about BONUS TIME!!

  21. 2018-12-10
    listed $110,000
  22. 2015-08-13
    listed $110,000
  23. 2014-08-19
    soldstatus $2,750
  24. 2014-06-28
    listed $5,000
  25. 2013-10-02
    listed $42,000
  26. 2012-08-25
    listed $99,000
  27. 2012-02-01
    listed $66,000
  28. 2011-09-29
    listed $14,000
  29. 2005-05-26
    listed $59,900
  30. 2004-01-16
    soldstatus $68,000
  31. 2003-12-20
    listed $69,900
  32. 2002-11-04
    soldstatus $14,750
  33. 2002-09-02
    listed $15,500
  34. 2002-08-29
    soldstatus $23,000
  35. 2002-06-18
    listed $68,000
  36. 2002-06-18
    listed $82,000
  37. 2002-05-07
    listed $26,500
  38. 2001-10-17
    listed $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 14 d/yr ≥74°F today · 37 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,862
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,229
− Management
−$4,229
− HOA
−$8,388
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$34,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,265
After-tax cash flow
$23,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eagle County School District No. RE-50
NCES district ID
0803540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$73,322
Composite
30.01/100
National rank
#6360
State rank
#39 of 86 in CO

Livability — Avon

Score
61/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#17858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Eagle County · 42,178 people
City population
10,870
Metro
Edwards, CO
Population (ZIP)
10,870
Household income
$102,775
Rent vs Own
46.9% rent · 53.1% own
Severe rent burden
744.0

Population outlook (Eagle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,837 people
By 2030
59,258 · +2.5%
By 2040
60,698 · +4.9%
By 2050
60,206 · +4.1%
By 2075
54,326 · -6.1%
By 2100
47,000 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 23% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Eagle

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.4) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: 23.1pp · 2024: 24.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.4 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.63%
Current HPI
363.7493
Rent YoY
Metro
Edwards, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.6% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $15,000 VMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Listed $39,500 VMLS
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $10,000 VMLS
  • 2020-02-10 Listed $10,000 VMLS
  • 2018-12-10 Listed $110,000 VMLS
  • 2015-08-13 Listed $110,000 VMLS
  • 2014-08-19 Sold (MLS) $2,750 VMLS
  • 2014-06-28 Listed $5,000 VMLS
  • 2013-10-02 Listed $42,000 VMLS
  • 2012-08-25 Listed $99,000 VMLS
  • 2012-02-01 Listed $66,000 VMLS
  • 2011-09-29 Listed $14,000 VMLS
  • 2005-05-26 Listed $59,900 VMLS
  • 2004-01-16 Sold (MLS) $68,000 VMLS
  • 2003-12-20 Listed $69,900 VMLS
  • 2002-11-04 Sold (MLS) $14,750 VMLS
  • 2002-09-02 Listed $15,500 VMLS
  • 2002-08-29 Sold (MLS) $23,000 VMLS
  • 2002-06-18 Listed $82,000 VMLS
  • 2002-06-18 Listed $68,000 VMLS
  • 2002-05-07 Listed $26,500 VMLS
  • 2001-10-17 Listed $70,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,781 · -14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…