126 Cedar Ave · Norman, AR
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors, don't miss this opportunity! 2 bed 1 bath mobile home situated on four lots with plenty of potential for rental income. Great investment property with room to grow. ! It is a fixer-up property.
Key facts
- 1.16 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1.16 acres (source: courthouse)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Mobile home; Metal and vinyl siding with wood elements
- Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Outside storage area; Paved road access; Sloped and level areas on lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free‑standing stove
- Bedrooms: Bonus room (unfinished space)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Window air units
- Interior features: Washer connection; Gas water heater; Insulated windows; Walls/ceilings: Other (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $38k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($752 rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#324 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Caddo Hills School District (rural): math 42% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #69 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($259 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.29%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $34,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Cedar Ave | 0.00mi | 1/1.5 | 600 (0%) | 0mo | $34,000 | $57 | 100 |
| 126 Cedar Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 600 (0%) | 12mo | $27,000 | $45 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $21,676
- Equity at exit
- $16,862
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.07×
- Total profit
- $53,268
- Equity at exit
- $25,986
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71960
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $752 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$158
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-09status $37,500 Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $37,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $37,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $37,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$37,500 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Investors, don't miss this opportunity! 2 bed 1 bath mobile home situated on four lots with plenty of potential for rental income. Great investment property with room to grow. ! It is a fixer-up property.
-
2026-05-19$37,500 New Listing
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Investors, don't miss this opportunity! 2 bed 1 bath mobile home situated on four lots with plenty of potential for rental income. Great investment property with room to grow. ! It is a fixer-up property.
-
2025-07-01status Under Contract 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Investment Opportunity Awaits in Montgomery County on 4 lots!! 2 Bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home with recent flooring updates, newer window units, etc. The property has room to place another mobile home to generate even more income.
-
2025-06-30soldstatus $27,000 Sold 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Investment Opportunity Awaits in Montgomery County on 4 lots!! 2 Bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home with recent flooring updates, newer window units, etc. The property has room to place another mobile home to generate even more income.
-
2025-06-30soldstatus $27,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Investment Opportunity Awaits in Montgomery County on 4 lots!! 2 Bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home with recent flooring updates, newer window units, etc. The property has room to place another mobile home to generate even more income.
-
2025-06-13historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Investment Opportunity Awaits in Montgomery County on 4 lots!! 2 Bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home with recent flooring updates, newer window units, etc. The property has room to place another mobile home to generate even more income.
-
2025-06-13historical Take Backups 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Investment Opportunity Awaits in Montgomery County on 4 lots!! 2 Bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home with recent flooring updates, newer window units, etc. The property has room to place another mobile home to generate even more income.
-
2025-06-11$27,000 Active
-
2025-06-10$27,000 New Listing 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Investment Opportunity Awaits in Montgomery County on 4 lots!! 2 Bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home with recent flooring updates, newer window units, etc. The property has room to place another mobile home to generate even more income.
-
2020-08-26status Under Contract
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2020-08-26soldstatus $14,500 Sold
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2020-08-26soldstatus $14,500
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2020-08-11historical Take Backups
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2020-08-03$17,500 New Listing
-
2020-08-03$17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$985
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$722
- − Management
- −$722
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $2,843
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$682
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A mobile home with basic amenities and potential for moderate renovations to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — cabinets not fully assembled
- Minor HVAC unit — basic unit, may need cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value
- Both install modern kitchen cabinets — improves functionality and appeal
- Both upgrade HVAC unit — improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · cabinets not fully assembled | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC unit · basic unit, may need cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value ↑
- Both install modern kitchen cabinets — improves functionality and appeal ↑
- Both upgrade HVAC unit — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Hills School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503770
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,467
- Composite
- 33.16/100
- National rank
- #5547
- State rank
- #69 of 238 in AR
Livability — Norman
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #324
- US rank
- #21254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norman, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,202
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,889 people
- By 2030
- 7,283 · -7.7%
- By 2040
- 6,086 · -22.9%
- By 2050
- 5,005 · -36.6%
- By 2075
- 3,310 · -58.0%
- By 2100
- 2,271 · -71.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- European 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.2) · D 17.4% · R 80.6% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -63.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.2 2020: R+59.8 2016: R+53.4 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+35.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+114.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $37,500 CARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $37,500 HSBOR
- 2025-07-01 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $27,000 HSBOR
- 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $27,000 CARMLS
- 2025-06-13 Contingent — HSBOR
- 2025-06-13 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2025-06-11 Listed $27,000 HSBOR
- 2025-06-10 Listed $27,000 CARMLS
- 2020-08-26 Pending — CARMLS
- 2020-08-26 Sold (MLS) $14,500 HSBOR
- 2020-08-26 Sold (MLS) $14,500 CARMLS
- 2020-08-11 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2020-08-03 Listed $17,500 HSBOR
- 2020-08-03 Listed $17,500 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…