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1002 Spruce Hills Dr
D Composite 40.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

1002 Spruce Hills Dr · Glen Gardner, NJ 08826
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,031 sqft · Condo public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1988 $315/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Pool
  • Built 1988

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (8.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#132 in NJ, #3,503 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • North Hunterdon-Voorhees Regional High School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #103 of 472 in NJ (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 389 units permitted in Hunterdon County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunterdon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,659 (8.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.11%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-47,072
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-49,585
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08826

Home prices YoY
-17.2%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,575 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$453 /mo · $5,441/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$315
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$541
Net cashflow
$-121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,728
Max offer price $223,659
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $18 -5% $-51 +0% $-121 +5% $-190 +10% $-259
Rent -10% $-324 -5% $-223 +0% $-121 +5% $-19 +10% $83
Rate -1.0pp $3 -0.5pp $-58 base $-121 +0.5pp $-184 +1.0pp $-249

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$315 · $3,780/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $245,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    price $250,000 1057-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1057 chars)

    Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

  16. 2026-05-06
    price $250,000 1057-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1057 chars)

    Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

  17. 2026-04-22
    price $269,900 1057-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1057 chars)

    Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

  18. 2026-04-22
    price $269,900 1057-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1057 chars)

    Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

  19. 2026-04-02
    listed $275,000 Active 1057-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1057 chars)

    Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

  20. 2026-04-02
    listed $275,000 Active 1057-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1057 chars)

    Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!

  21. 2023-11-06
    soldstatus $245,000 Sold
  22. 2023-09-25
    status Under Contract
  23. 2023-09-01
    listed $235,000 Active
  24. 2023-03-21
    soldstatus $180,000
  25. 2023-03-17
    soldstatus $180,000 Sold
  26. 2023-02-28
    status Under Contract
  27. 2022-12-22
    listed $195,000 Active
  28. 2003-06-27
    soldstatus $117,000
  29. 1987-02-18
    soldstatus $102,220

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,441 · $453/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,771 · $481/mo
Expected delta
+$330/yr (+$27/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,903
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$5,441
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,472
− Management
−$2,472
− HOA
−$3,780
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$5,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,281
After-tax cash flow
$-169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Hunterdon-Voorhees Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3411610
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$112,200
Composite
48.63/100
National rank
#2108
State rank
#103 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Glen Gardner

Score
76/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3503

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glen Gardner, NJ
Population (ZIP)
5,255

Population outlook (Hunterdon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,644 people
By 2030
121,131 · -1.2%
By 2040
117,753 · -4.0%
By 2050
112,601 · -8.2%
By 2075
104,371 · -14.9%
By 2100
93,364 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunterdon

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.7% · R 52.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -6.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.7 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+13.8 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.72%
Current HPI
239.1613
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $250,000 CJMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $250,000 GSMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $269,900 GSMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $269,900 CJMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $275,000 GSMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $275,000 CJMLS
  • 2023-11-06 Sold (MLS) $245,000 GSMLS
  • 2023-09-25 Pending GSMLS
  • 2023-09-01 Listed $235,000 GSMLS
  • 2023-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $180,000 GSMLS
  • 2023-02-28 Pending GSMLS
  • 2022-12-22 Listed $195,000 GSMLS
  • 2003-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 1987-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $102,220 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,441 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…