1002 Spruce Hills Dr · Glen Gardner, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
Key facts
- Parking
- Pool
- Built 1988
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (8.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $224k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#132 in NJ, #3,503 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- North Hunterdon-Voorhees Regional High School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #103 of 472 in NJ (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 389 units permitted in Hunterdon County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunterdon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.11%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-47,072
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-49,585
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08826
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,575 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$453 /mo · $5,441/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$315
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $-121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $18 | -5% $-51 | +0% $-121 | +5% $-190 | +10% $-259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-324 | -5% $-223 | +0% $-121 | +5% $-19 | +10% $83 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3 | -0.5pp $-58 | base $-121 | +0.5pp $-184 | +1.0pp $-249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $315 · $3,780/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $245,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $250,000 1057-char remark
Show marketing remark (1057 chars)
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
-
2026-05-06price $250,000 1057-char remark
Show marketing remark (1057 chars)
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
-
2026-04-22price $269,900 1057-char remark
Show marketing remark (1057 chars)
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
-
2026-04-22price $269,900 1057-char remark
Show marketing remark (1057 chars)
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
-
2026-04-02$275,000 Active 1057-char remark
Show marketing remark (1057 chars)
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
-
2026-04-02$275,000 Active 1057-char remark
Show marketing remark (1057 chars)
Spruce Hills premieres this lovely 2 Bed 1 Bath second floor end unit, ready and waiting for you! Well maintained in a sought after community with plenty of amenities to indulge, just pack your bags and move right in. Step in to find a spacious, light and bright living room and dining room with laminate floors that shine and tons of natural light all through. The living room is adorned with a soaring skylight, cozy wood burning fireplace, and slider to your own private deck, perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Down the hall, find 2 generous bedrooms with ample closets, inc the large Primary Bedroom. The primary bedroom boasts its own walk-in closet and peaceful balcony with serene views. In-unit laundry adds to the convenience of this charming home. Central air/forced heat, ample on-site parking, and amenities to enjoy such as the outdoor pool, dog run, and multi-use sports courts. All in a convenient commuter location near shopping, dining, major roads and more. This is the perfect starter home. Don't miss out! Come and see TODAY!!
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2023-11-06soldstatus $245,000 Sold
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2023-09-25status Under Contract
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2023-09-01$235,000 Active
-
2023-03-21soldstatus $180,000
-
2023-03-17soldstatus $180,000 Sold
-
2023-02-28status Under Contract
-
2022-12-22$195,000 Active
-
2003-06-27soldstatus $117,000
-
1987-02-18soldstatus $102,220
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,441 · $453/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,771 · $481/mo
- Expected delta
- +$330/yr (+$27/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,903
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$5,441
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,472
- − Management
- −$2,472
- − HOA
- −$3,780
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$5,338
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,281
- After-tax cash flow
- $-169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Hunterdon-Voorhees Regional High School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411610
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $112,200
- Composite
- 48.63/100
- National rank
- #2108
- State rank
- #103 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Glen Gardner
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #3503
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glen Gardner, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,255
Population outlook (Hunterdon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,644 people
- By 2030
- 121,131 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 117,753 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 112,601 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 104,371 · -14.9%
- By 2100
- 93,364 · -23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunterdon
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.7% · R 52.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -6.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.7 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+13.8 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.72%
- Current HPI
- 239.1613
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+144.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $250,000 CJMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $250,000 GSMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $269,900 GSMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $269,900 CJMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $275,000 GSMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $275,000 CJMLS
- 2023-11-06 Sold (MLS) $245,000 GSMLS
- 2023-09-25 Pending — GSMLS
- 2023-09-01 Listed $235,000 GSMLS
- 2023-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $180,000 GSMLS
- 2023-02-28 Pending — GSMLS
- 2022-12-22 Listed $195,000 GSMLS
- 2003-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 1987-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $102,220 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,441 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…