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749 Avenue D
B- Composite 67.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

749 Avenue D · Rochester, NY 14621
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1920 3,500 sqft lot Est $75k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and spacious Colonial offering a convenient layout. Architectural details and natural woodwork have been lovingly preserved. The welcoming foyer flows into the living room, which features a cozy fireplace and is open to the formal dining room. Off the dining room, you'll find a large eat-in kitchen featuring abundant cabinetry. Convenient first floor powder room. On the second floor you’ll find four well proportioned bedrooms, an enclosed porch, and full bathroom. Easy Walk-up access to the full attic. Recent updates that enhance the home's appeal and efficiency include: Vinyl Siding; High Efficiency Furnace (2019); Hot Water Tank (2025); Updated Bathrooms; New Low-Maintenanc

Key facts

  • Natural woodwork
  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Full bathroom

Tags

NATURAL WOODWORKCOZY FIREPLACELARGE EAT-IN KITCHENFIRST FLOOR POWDER ROOMENCLOSED PORCHFULL BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,536/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $80k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
17.01%
Cash-on-cash
38.27%
DSCR
2.70
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$75,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
749 Avenue D 0.00mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,508 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $53 94
73 Kosciusko St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,470 (-2%) 2mo $55,000 $37 72
85 Eiffel Pl 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,323 (-12%) 3mo $60,000 $45 69
2 Bloomingdale St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,399 (-7%) 1mo $45,000 $32 62
1295 North Street St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,347 (-11%) 2mo $70,000 $52 62
455 Clifford Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-4%) 2mo $40,000 $28 62
1358 N Clinton Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,567 (+4%) 2mo $12,000 $8 57
207 Herald St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-15%) 1mo $60,000 $47 50
2 Oscar St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,303 (-14%) 1mo $65,000 $50 49
155 Wakefield St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,357 (-10%) 3mo $208,500 $154 48
323 Clifford Ave 0.73mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,592 (+6%) 2mo $84,000 $53 48
662 Wilkins St 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,666 (+10%) 2mo $160,000 $96 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$40,601
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
48.4%
Equity multiple
6.85×
Total profit
$130,771
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,536 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $570/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$713

Break-even live

Break-even rent $633
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1456 $1,100 $0.76 44d 1 0.17mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 19d 1 0.17mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 10d 1 0.45mi
127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 44d 1 0.61mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 44d 1 0.75mi
811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1616 $1,300 $0.80 14d 1 0.77mi
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 10d 1 0.90mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 10d 1 0.95mi
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,600 $1.13 23d 1 1.18mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 21d 1 1.18mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 21d 1 1.25mi
83 Navarre Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1322 $2,250 $1.70 3d 1 1.31mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 44d 1 1.32mi
1 Champeney Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1936 $1,650 $0.85 14d 1 1.34mi
1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 44d 1 1.43mi
89 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 1.45mi
84 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    listed $79,900 Active
  3. 2006-05-11
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$570 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$390/yr (+$33/mo · 68.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,429
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$570
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,474
− Management
−$1,474
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$7,711
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,851
After-tax cash flow
$6,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+219.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2006-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $570 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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