1 Peters Pl · Plattekill, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Cash flow +3.6/30.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$499,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
this is an unfinished rehab that is framed and in need of finishing.. lots of possibilities here with pool and large entertainment room.. lots of upside for flip..
Key facts
- 3 acre lot
- Built 1992
- Listed 273 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (52.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (53.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (53.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 1.9% in Plattekill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#831 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, employment A, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallkill Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #279 of 590 in NY (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: John G Borden Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 432 students, 37% FRL); Wallkill Senior High School (math 97% / reading 75%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,004 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $250k; list at $500k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.46% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.83%
- DSCR
- 0.43
- GRM
- 18.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $742,959
- List price
- $499,900
- Delta
- -32.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $176,881
- Equity at exit
- $450,350
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.26×
- Total profit
- $595,750
- Equity at exit
- $971,196
Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12589
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 18.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,304 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$487 /mo · $5,840/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $-1,497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,214 | -5% $-1,355 | +0% $-1,497 | +5% $-1,638 | +10% $-1,780 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,679 | -5% $-1,588 | +0% $-1,497 | +5% $-1,406 | +10% $-1,315 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,245 | -0.5pp $-1,370 | base $-1,497 | +0.5pp $-1,626 | +1.0pp $-1,758 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,975
- Closing costs
- $14,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $499,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $499,900 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $499,900 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $499,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $499,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $499,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $499,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $499,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $499,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $499,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $499,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,900 Active 252 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $499,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-03-25status Active 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
this is an unfinished rehab that is framed and in need of finishing.. lots of possibilities here with pool and large entertainment room.. lots of upside for flip..
-
2026-03-24historical 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
this is an unfinished rehab that is framed and in need of finishing.. lots of possibilities here with pool and large entertainment room.. lots of upside for flip..
-
2025-09-20$499,900 Active 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
this is an unfinished rehab that is framed and in need of finishing.. lots of possibilities here with pool and large entertainment room.. lots of upside for flip..
-
2024-02-02historical
-
2023-03-23soldstatus $250,000
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2022-12-29soldstatus $250,000 Closed
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2022-12-12status Pending
-
2022-11-18$199,900 Active
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2021-06-18$335,000
-
2017-09-08soldstatus $204,074
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2017-09-06soldstatus $195,000
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2017-03-06$199,000
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2014-04-12historical
-
2014-03-17$300,000
-
2014-03-16$300,000
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2014-03-14historical
-
2014-03-04$300,000
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2013-09-24historical
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2013-06-24$214,900
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1993-10-19soldstatus $350,000
-
1993-03-01soldstatus $210,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,840 · $487/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,144 · $595/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,304/yr (+$109/mo · 22.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,642
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,002
- − Property taxes
- −$5,840
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,211
- − Management
- −$2,211
- − Depreciation
- −$14,543
- Taxable loss
- −$27,665
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,640
- After-tax cash flow
- $-11,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallkill Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,323
- Composite
- 49.06/100
- National rank
- #2057
- State rank
- #279 of 590 in NY
Livability — Plattekill
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #831
- US rank
- #16115
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,639
Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,887 people
- By 2030
- 171,876 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 161,771 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 151,470 · -13.9%
- By 2075
- 133,023 · -24.4%
- By 2100
- 113,504 · -35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ulster
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.97%
- Current HPI
- 323.1502
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+138.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-20 Listed $499,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-29 Sold (MLS) $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-18 Listed $199,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-18 Listed $335,000 HVCRMLS
- 2017-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $204,074 Public Records
- 2017-09-06 Sold (MLS) $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-06 Listed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-17 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-16 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-04 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-24 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-24 Listed $214,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,840 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…