325 N Service Rd · Roslyn Heights, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.8/10.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$825,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Cape Cod Home in Desirable Roslyn Heights Boast 4 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bathrooms, EIK, Dining Room, Living Room, Enclosed Porch with Lots of Windows. Full Basement with lots of room for storage. 1 Car Garage . New Burner. This won't last. Make this Your Dream Home By Adding Your Personal Touches.
Key facts
- 5,992 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (PSEG); Public sewer; Public water; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two levels (total bedrooms not explicitly listed)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall/window air-conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Finished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area located in the garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $825k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $586k (28.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $568k (31.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $568k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in NY, #1,499 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
- Herricks Union Free School District (suburban): math 86% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #26 of 590 in NY (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Herricks Middle School (math 76% / reading 84%, grade A+, #28 of 729 statewide, top 4%, 1,079 students, 17% FRL); Herricks High School (math 100% / reading 82%, grade A+, #226 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 1,433 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($800k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $825k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.73%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,133,539
- List price
- $825,000
- Delta
- -27.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Garfield Pl | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,493 (+4%) | 5mo | $880,000 | $589 | 73 |
| 174 Parkside Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,431 (-1%) | 4mo | $942,500 | $659 | 62 |
| 66 Harvard St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 12mo | $907,000 | $648 | 57 |
| 131 Powerhouse Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,269 (-12%) | 12mo | $785,000 | $619 | 56 |
| 29 Garfield Pl | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,585 (+10%) | 13mo | $680,000 | $429 | 54 |
| 201 Elm St | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 1,399 (-3%) | 12mo | $860,000 | $615 | 54 |
| 137 Arleigh Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,410 (-2%) | 12mo | $970,000 | $688 | 52 |
| 61 Harvard St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,313 (-9%) | 15mo | $749,000 | $570 | 50 |
| 53 Harvard St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,314 (-9%) | 14mo | $775,000 | $590 | 47 |
| 27 Russell St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-4%) | 10mo | $925,000 | $672 | 45 |
| 79 Appletree Ln | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,628 (+13%) | 2mo | $870,000 | $534 | 44 |
| 225 Garden St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,299 (-10%) | 13mo | $660,000 | $508 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-219,534
- Equity at exit
- $123,010
- IRR
- -27.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.30×
- Total profit
- $-301,237
- Equity at exit
- $71,331
Cash invested: $231,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11577
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,682 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,326
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,114 /mo · $13,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$344
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,193
- Net cashflow
- $-1,351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-884 | -5% $-1,117 | +0% $-1,351 | +5% $-1,584 | +10% $-1,818 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,799 | -5% $-1,575 | +0% $-1,351 | +5% $-1,126 | +10% $-902 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-935 | -0.5pp $-1,141 | base $-1,351 | +0.5pp $-1,564 | +1.0pp $-1,782 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $206,250
- Closing costs
- $24,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 B Jefferson Ct Roslyn Heights, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $4,450 | $3.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 45 Roslyn Rd Roslyn Heights, NY | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1121 | $5,500 | $4.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 94 Main St Roslyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1462 | $9,200 | $6.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1353 Old Northern Blvd Roslyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $4,750 | $3.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 112 Wentworth Ave Albertson, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $5,200 | $4.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 405 I U Willets Rd Roslyn Heights, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $5,000 | $2.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-17status $825,000 Pending 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $825,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $825,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $825,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $825,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $825,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $825,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $825,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $825,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $825,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $825,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $825,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $825,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $825,000 299-char remark
-
2026-05-02$859,000 Active 299-char remark
-
1996-02-14soldstatus $220,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $13,364 · $1,114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,653 · $1,138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$289/yr (+$24/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$46,213
- − Property taxes
- −$13,364
- − Insurance
- −$4,792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,455
- − Management
- −$5,455
- − Depreciation
- −$24,000
- Taxable loss
- −$31,094
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,463
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Herricks Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614280
- Math proficiency
- 86% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $115,771
- Composite
- 78.11/100
- National rank
- #84
- State rank
- #26 of 590 in NY
Livability — Roslyn Heights
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roslyn Heights, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,771
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 4% Danish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Chinese 9% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.67%
- Current HPI
- 308.3566
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $825,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $859,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2024): $13,364 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…