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149 N Decker Ave
B Composite 74.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

149 N Decker Ave · Baltimore, MD 21224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Townhouse public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1920 840 sqft lot $146/sqft · 40% below area Est $232k · 40% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Baltimore rowhome in a prime location just steps from Patterson Park and minutes to Canton’s shops, dining, and waterfront. Ideal for buyers looking to personalize or investors seeking strong rental potential. Sold as-is. This property is part of a larger portfolio. Please contact for more details regarding associated listings. Closings will need to be coordinated with the other properties in the portfolio but may sell to individual buyers. Seller will only accept offers from serious buyers who can align with that timeline.

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 50 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Finished above-grade area 960 (per assessor); Below-grade area 480; Improvement assessed value reported; Land assessed value reported; Tax assessed value and recent tax amounts available

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built-up roof; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (all upper levels)
  • Heating & cooling: Other-type heating; Other-type cooling; Other hot water system
  • Interior features: Basement with connecting stairway; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.57%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$232,095
List price
$139,900
Delta
-39.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
530 N Curley St 0.25mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 2mo $85,000 $89 87
441 N East Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 976 (+2%) 2mo $175,000 $179 84
20 N Decker Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+8%) 2mo $149,000 $143 80
155 N Streeper St 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 912 (-5%) 0mo $220,000 $241 75
735 N Lakewood Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 970 (+1%) 2mo $80,000 $82 73
3534 E Fairmount Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,018 (+6%) 2mo $86,000 $84 68
14 S Curley St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (+14%) 1mo $269,000 $246 62
3500 E Fairmount Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (+14%) 2mo $107,000 $98 57
629 N Kenwood Ave 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,100 (+15%) 1mo $76,500 $70 52
309 S Fagley St 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,030 (+7%) 1mo $225,000 $218 48
12 Kresson St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+14%) 2mo $80,000 $73 40
622 S Glover St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-13%) 0mo $195,500 $235 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,459
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$34,473
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21224

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,988 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,345
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $587 -5% $548 +0% $508 +5% $469 +10% $429
Rent -10% $351 -5% $430 +0% $508 +5% $587 +10% $665
Rate -1.0pp $579 -0.5pp $544 base $508 +0.5pp $472 +1.0pp $435

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,395 $2.18 24d 1 0.07mi
203 N Ellwood Ave Unit Main Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 880 $2,200 $2.50 24d 1 0.07mi
3205 Esther Pl Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 960 $1,850 $1.93 24d 1 0.11mi
520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 44d 1 0.24mi
415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 24d 1 0.29mi
127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1110 $2,100 $1.89 3d 1 0.31mi
3413 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 832 $1,000 $1.20 24d 1 0.33mi
2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 15d 1 0.33mi
531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.35mi
415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1092 $1,600 $1.47 24d 1 0.35mi
104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 936 $2,500 $2.67 44d 1 0.40mi
502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 827 $1,250 $1.51 21d 1 0.40mi
233 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 934 $1,750 $1.87 18d 1 0.40mi
224 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1120 $1,875 $1.67 18d 1 0.41mi
517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 845 $1,400 $1.66 5d 1 0.46mi
107 N Port St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 870 $1,995 $2.29 24d 1 0.46mi
402 N Milton Ave Unit 402B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,290 $1.36 44d 1 0.46mi
400 S Highland Ave Unit 402 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 44d 1 0.52mi
437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 0.53mi
2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 3d 1 0.54mi
16 N Bradford St Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.5 930 $2,400 $2.58 5d 1 0.55mi
2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 907 $1,450 $1.60 44d 1 0.59mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 44d 1 0.61mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 15d 1 0.61mi
720 N Port St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 44d 1 0.62mi
108 N Madeira St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,900 $1.73 44d 1 0.63mi
223 Grundy St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 24d 1 0.63mi
321 Fagley St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 21d 1 0.65mi
643 S Potomac St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 785 $1,650 $2.10 44d 1 0.66mi
211 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 819 $1,650 $2.01 5d 1 0.69mi
227 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 0.70mi
3905 Bank St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0–3.0 909 $2,820 $3.10 3d 20 0.71mi
305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 722 $2,895 $4.01 18d 1 0.77mi
4015 Eastern Ave Unit 2L Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 44d 1 0.79mi
328 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 44d 1 0.80mi
712 N Duncan St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,000 $2.00 44d 1 0.80mi
1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 22d 1 0.86mi
1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 13d 1 0.86mi
1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1060 $1,350 $1.27 24d 1 0.91mi
16 S Wolfe St Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,800 $1.78 18d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $139,900 Pending 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    price $149,900 544-char remark
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $170,000 Active 544-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,244 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,244 · $270/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,854
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,244
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,908
− Management
−$1,908
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$4,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,005
After-tax cash flow
$5,093/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,465
Household income
$89,017
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1786.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -332.23%
Current HPI
241.284
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,244 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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