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2631 Parkwood Ave
A- Composite 82.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$74,900

2631 Parkwood Ave · Toledo, OH 43610
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1912 5,900 sqft lot $40/sqft · 36% below area Est $117k · 36% under ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New shingle roof 2025, interior partially renovated. Finish this Old West End home to your personal liking.

Key facts

  • 5,900 sq ft lot
  • Built 1912
  • Listed 88 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.05%
Cash-on-cash
24.14%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,906
List price
$74,900
Delta
-35.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2712 Robinwood Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,901 (+0%) 11mo $20,000 $11 78
427 W Delaware Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,879 (-1%) 4mo $6,888 $4 77
343 Melrose Ave 0.32mi 4/1.5 2,040 (+8%) 1mo $120,000 $59 70
512 Nottingham Ter 0.20mi 4/1.5 1,749 (-8%) 10mo $60,500 $35 67
519 Nottingham Ter 0.17mi 4/1.5 1,709 (-10%) 8mo $125,000 $73 66
411 W Central Ave 0.36mi 4/1.5 2,074 (+9%) 9mo $125,000 $60 58
534 Acklin Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,804 (-5%) 11mo $82,500 $46 56
634 Islington St 0.07mi 5/1.5 (+1) 2,170 (+14%) 14mo $127,000 $59 54
335 Rockingham St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,775 (-6%) 17mo $130,000 $73 54
20 Melrose Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 2,028 (+7%) 8mo $132,500 $65 50
4 Birckhead Pl 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,005 (+6%) 13mo $120,300 $60 43
298 W Park St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,626 (-14%) 4mo $33,000 $20 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$42,670
Equity at exit
$40,849
10-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$106,575
Equity at exit
$69,214

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43610

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,419/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1494 $1,100 $0.74 14d 1 0.19mi
610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1409 $1,050 $0.75 23d 1 0.51mi
614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1581 $1,075 $0.68 23d 1 0.51mi
119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1734 $1,350 $0.78 23d 1 0.68mi
38 E Central Ave Toledo, OH 5.0 2.0 1510 $1,500 $0.99 44d 1 0.77mi
152 Austin St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.5 1370 $1,150 $0.84 23d 1 0.87mi
59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,100 $0.80 44d 1 0.97mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 23d 1 1.05mi
2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 44d 1 1.20mi
3905 Peru St Toledo, OH 4.0 3.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 21d 1 1.26mi
1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,195 $0.95 14d 1 1.27mi
3606 Revere Dr Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1320 $1,500 $1.14 44d 1 1.28mi
3805 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1370 $1,025 $0.75 23d 1 1.34mi
3713 Hazelhurst Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1352 $1,700 $1.26 44d 1 1.35mi
424 E Lake St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1228 $1,075 $0.88 14d 1 1.39mi
4129 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1385 $1,250 $0.90 44d 1 1.44mi
4140 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1378 $1,650 $1.20 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $74,900 Pending 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    price $74,900 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-03-31
    price $84,900 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    New shingle roof 2025, interior partially renovated. Finish this Old West End home to your personal liking.

  14. 2026-03-16
    listed $69,000 Active 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    New shingle roof 2025, interior partially renovated. Finish this Old West End home to your personal liking.

  15. 2025-10-03
    price $75,900
  16. 2025-09-30
    status Active
  17. 2025-09-09
    historical
  18. 2025-09-08
    status Pending
  19. 2025-08-15
    price $84,900
  20. 2025-07-02
    price $89,000
  21. 2025-06-20
    listed $99,900 Active
  22. 2011-03-26
    historical
  23. 2010-03-26
    listed $90,000
  24. 2010-03-23
    historical
  25. 2009-09-28
    listed $89,000
  26. 2004-06-15
    historical
  27. 2003-12-15
    listed $139,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,419 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,419 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,645
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,419
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$4,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$992
After-tax cash flow
$4,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas · 437,818 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,057
Household income
$38,369
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
126.1457
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $84,900 NORIS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $69,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $75,900 NORIS
  • 2025-09-30 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-09-09 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-09-08 Pending NORIS
  • 2025-08-15 Price Changed $84,900 NORIS
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $89,000 NORIS
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $99,900 NORIS
  • 2011-03-26 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2010-03-26 Listed $90,000 NORIS
  • 2010-03-23 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2009-09-28 Listed $89,000 NORIS
  • 2004-06-15 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2003-12-15 Listed $139,000 NORIS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,419 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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