2631 Parkwood Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New shingle roof 2025, interior partially renovated. Finish this Old West End home to your personal liking.
Key facts
- 5,900 sq ft lot
- Built 1912
- Listed 88 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.14%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,906
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -35.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2712 Robinwood Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,901 (+0%) | 11mo | $20,000 | $11 | 78 |
| 427 W Delaware Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,879 (-1%) | 4mo | $6,888 | $4 | 77 |
| 343 Melrose Ave | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 2,040 (+8%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $59 | 70 |
| 512 Nottingham Ter | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 | 1,749 (-8%) | 10mo | $60,500 | $35 | 67 |
| 519 Nottingham Ter | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 | 1,709 (-10%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $73 | 66 |
| 411 W Central Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 | 2,074 (+9%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 534 Acklin Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,804 (-5%) | 11mo | $82,500 | $46 | 56 |
| 634 Islington St | 0.07mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 2,170 (+14%) | 14mo | $127,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 335 Rockingham St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,775 (-6%) | 17mo | $130,000 | $73 | 54 |
| 20 Melrose Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,028 (+7%) | 8mo | $132,500 | $65 | 50 |
| 4 Birckhead Pl | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,005 (+6%) | 13mo | $120,300 | $60 | 43 |
| 298 W Park St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,626 (-14%) | 4mo | $33,000 | $20 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $42,670
- Equity at exit
- $40,849
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $106,575
- Equity at exit
- $69,214
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43610
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,220 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,419/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1494 | $1,100 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1581 | $1,075 | $0.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 38 E Central Ave Toledo, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,500 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 152 Austin St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1678 | $1,400 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3905 Peru St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1548 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,195 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3606 Revere Dr Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3805 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1370 | $1,025 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3713 Hazelhurst Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1352 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 424 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,075 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4129 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1385 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4140 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1378 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $74,900 Pending 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $74,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $84,900 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
New shingle roof 2025, interior partially renovated. Finish this Old West End home to your personal liking.
-
2026-03-16$69,000 Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
New shingle roof 2025, interior partially renovated. Finish this Old West End home to your personal liking.
-
2025-10-03price $75,900
-
2025-09-30status Active
-
2025-09-09historical
-
2025-09-08status Pending
-
2025-08-15price $84,900
-
2025-07-02price $89,000
-
2025-06-20$99,900 Active
-
2011-03-26historical
-
2010-03-26$90,000
-
2010-03-23historical
-
2009-09-28$89,000
-
2004-06-15historical
-
2003-12-15$139,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,419
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,172
- − Management
- −$1,172
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $4,134
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$992
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,057
- Household income
- $38,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.7
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 126.1457
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-38.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $84,900 NORIS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $69,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $75,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-09-08 Pending — NORIS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $84,900 NORIS
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $89,000 NORIS
- 2025-06-20 Listed $99,900 NORIS
- 2011-03-26 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-03-26 Listed $90,000 NORIS
- 2010-03-23 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2009-09-28 Listed $89,000 NORIS
- 2004-06-15 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2003-12-15 Listed $139,000 NORIS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,419 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…