4235 Van Dyke St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special with tons of potential! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath brick bungalow offers a great opportunity to add your finishing touches and bring this property back to life. Features include hardwood flooring throughout much of the home, generous living space, new plumbing and a 2-car detached garage. Perfect for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project. Convenient Detroit location close to schools, shopping, and major freeways. Cash buyers only. Property sold as-is
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- New plumbing
- Detroit location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 300 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,598/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.90%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,176
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 64.09%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3752 Van Dyke St | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 1,746 (-2%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $37 | 80 |
| 3805 Seneca St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 | 1,807 (+1%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $102 | 78 |
| 3748 Burns St | 0.48mi | 4/1.5 | 1,776 (-0%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $127 | 74 |
| 7723 E Canfield St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,954 (+10%) | 3mo | $27,500 | $14 | 70 |
| 4258 Seneca St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,655 (-7%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $87 | 68 |
| 4157 Burns St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 1,628 (-9%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $197 | 59 |
| 3735 Seyburn St | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 | 1,986 (+11%) | 10mo | $311,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 2543 Beals St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+1%) | 7mo | $292,500 | $163 | 56 |
| 3498 Townsend St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,006 (+13%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $44 | 54 |
| 5360 Burns St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,664 (-7%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $36 | 50 |
| 3132 Helen St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,951 (+10%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $64 | 49 |
| 4702 Field St | 0.35mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,026 (+14%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $128 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,420
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $42,104
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48214
- Active inventory
- 300
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,598 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,441/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $470 | +0% $435 | +5% $399 | +10% $364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $308 | -5% $371 | +0% $435 | +5% $498 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $497 | -0.5pp $466 | base $435 | +0.5pp $402 | +1.0pp $369 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4169 Burns St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1326 | $2,300 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3631 Helen St Unit 3635 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $1,650 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2972 Field St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5858 Seneca St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1348 | $999 | $0.74 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1738 Canton St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2244 | $1,650 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4510 Harding St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2394 | $1,500 | $0.63 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4487 French Rd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor special with tons of potential! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath brick bungalow offers a great opportunity to add your finishing touches and bring this property back to life. Features include hardwood flooring throughout much of the home, generous living space, new plumbing and a 2-car detached garage. Perfect for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project. Convenient Detroit location close to schools, shopping, and major freeways. Cash buyers only. Property sold as-is
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$150,000 Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor special with tons of potential! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath brick bungalow offers a great opportunity to add your finishing touches and bring this property back to life. Features include hardwood flooring throughout much of the home, generous living space, new plumbing and a 2-car detached garage. Perfect for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project. Convenient Detroit location close to schools, shopping, and major freeways. Cash buyers only. Property sold as-is
-
2026-05-14$150,000 Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor special with tons of potential! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath brick bungalow offers a great opportunity to add your finishing touches and bring this property back to life. Features include hardwood flooring throughout much of the home, generous living space, new plumbing and a 2-car detached garage. Perfect for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project. Convenient Detroit location close to schools, shopping, and major freeways. Cash buyers only. Property sold as-is
-
2019-11-27historical
-
2019-09-13status Pending
-
2019-09-13status Pending
-
2019-09-13historical
-
2019-09-06$25,000 Active
-
2019-09-06$25,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,441 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,683 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- +$242/yr (+$20/mo · 16.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,441
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,534
- − Management
- −$1,534
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $3,401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$816
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,595
- Household income
- $33,544
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1364.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -367.43%
- Current HPI
- 102.0969
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-11-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-09-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-09-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-06 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-06 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,441 · -11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…