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111 Newton St
B Composite 72.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,500

111 Newton St · Mankato, MN 56001
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other · 205 Days on market
Built 2012 $57/sqft · 74% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Full private bath
  • Split-bedroom design
  • Updated flooring

Tags

SPLIT-BEDROOM DESIGNOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREAUPDATED FLOORINGAMPLE CABINET STORAGEDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREAFULL PRIVATE BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 3.4% in Mankato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#133 in MN, #2,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
  • Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 269 units permitted in Blue Earth County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blue Earth County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $63,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
19.45%
Cash-on-cash
46.98%
DSCR
3.09
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$281,452
List price
$72,500
Delta
-74.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$47,051
Equity at exit
$10,810
10-year hold
IRR
57.1%
Equity multiple
8.06×
Total profit
$143,380
Equity at exit
$6,268

Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56001

Rents YoY
8.6%
Active inventory
352
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$380
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$795

Break-even live

Break-even rent $545
Max offer price $72,500
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $836 -5% $815 +0% $795 +5% $774 +10% $754
Rent -10% $672 -5% $734 +0% $795 +5% $856 +10% $917
Rate -1.0pp $831 -0.5pp $813 base $795 +0.5pp $776 +1.0pp $757

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,125
Closing costs
$2,175
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
875 Heron Dr Mankato, MN 2.0 1.0 919 $1,098 $1.19 44d 1 0.20mi
103 Everglades Trl Mankato, MN 2.0–4.0 2.5 1453 $1,860 $1.28 44d 3 0.74mi
140 Homestead Rd Mankato, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0 843 $1,313 $1.56 44d 8 0.75mi
109 Willow Cascades Trl Unit 109 WCT Mankato, MN 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,850 $1.23 44d 1 0.76mi
200 Briargate Rd Mankato, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 912 $1,799 $1.97 44d 32 0.91mi
701 S Victory Dr Unit 8 Mankato, MN 2.0 1.0 925 $1,349 $1.46 44d 1 1.11mi
50 Hilltop Ln Mankato, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 760 $1,010 $1.33 44d 11 1.27mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    price $72,500 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.

  2. 2026-03-27
    price $75,500 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.

  3. 2026-02-20
    status Active 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.

  4. 2026-02-03
    historical Contingent - Other 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.

  5. 2025-11-05
    listed $79,900 Active 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$240 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$526 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$286/yr (+$24/mo · 119.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,611
− Mortgage interest
−$4,061
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$2,109
Taxable income
$8,861
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,127
After-tax cash flow
$7,411/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mankato Public School District
NCES district ID
2718780
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$49,469
Composite
44.36/100
National rank
#2819
State rank
#98 of 301 in MN

Livability — Mankato

Score
77/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#2970

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mankato, MN
County
Blue Earth County · 51,585 people
City population
51,585
Metro
Mankato, MN
Population (ZIP)
51,585
Household income
$69,531
Rent vs Own
45.9% rent · 54.1% own
Severe rent burden
2394.0

Population outlook (Blue Earth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,208 people
By 2030
72,708 · +3.6%
By 2040
77,481 · +10.4%
By 2050
82,842 · +18.0%
By 2075
99,990 · +42.4%
By 2100
116,795 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blue Earth

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: D+4.4 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.46%
Current HPI
189.8485
Rent YoY
▲ 8.55%
Metro
Mankato, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $72,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $75,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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