111 Newton St · Mankato, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Full private bath
- Split-bedroom design
- Updated flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 3.4% in Mankato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#133 in MN, #2,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 269 units permitted in Blue Earth County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blue Earth County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.98%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,452
- List price
- $72,500
- Delta
- -74.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $47,051
- Equity at exit
- $10,810
- IRR
- 57.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.06×
- Total profit
- $143,380
- Equity at exit
- $6,268
Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56001
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$380
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $240/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $795
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $836 | -5% $815 | +0% $795 | +5% $774 | +10% $754 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $672 | -5% $734 | +0% $795 | +5% $856 | +10% $917 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $831 | -0.5pp $813 | base $795 | +0.5pp $776 | +1.0pp $757 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,125
- Closing costs
- $2,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 875 Heron Dr Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,098 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 103 Everglades Trl Mankato, MN | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $1,860 | $1.28 | 44d | 3 | 0.74mi |
| 140 Homestead Rd Mankato, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,313 | $1.56 | 44d | 8 | 0.75mi |
| 109 Willow Cascades Trl Unit 109 WCT Mankato, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 200 Briargate Rd Mankato, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 912 | $1,799 | $1.97 | 44d | 32 | 0.91mi |
| 701 S Victory Dr Unit 8 Mankato, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,349 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 50 Hilltop Ln Mankato, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,010 | $1.33 | 44d | 11 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-23price $72,500 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-27price $75,500 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-02-20status Active 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-02-03historical Contingent - Other 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-11-05$79,900 Active 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath single-wide home is located in University Park Mobil Home Community. The layout features a split-bedroom design for added privacy, with an open-concept living area that connects the kitchen and dining space. Ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Interior highlights include updated flooring, ample cabinet storage, and a dedicated laundry area. The primary suite offers a full private bath. The home has two additional bedrooms plus a second full bath. Outside, the property includes a yard and off-street parking. University Park offers a convenient location with access to nearby amenities, shopping, schools, and major roadways. This home is move-in ready. Schedule your showing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $240 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $526 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$286/yr (+$24/mo · 119.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,061
- − Property taxes
- −$240
- − Insurance
- −$362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$2,109
- Taxable income
- $8,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,127
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mankato Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2718780
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,469
- Composite
- 44.36/100
- National rank
- #2819
- State rank
- #98 of 301 in MN
Livability — Mankato
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #2970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mankato, MN
- County
- Blue Earth County · 51,585 people
- City population
- 51,585
- Metro
- Mankato, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,585
- Household income
- $69,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2394.0
Population outlook (Blue Earth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,208 people
- By 2030
- 72,708 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 77,481 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 82,842 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 99,990 · +42.4%
- By 2100
- 116,795 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blue Earth
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.2 2020: D+4.4 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.46%
- Current HPI
- 189.8485
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.55%
- Metro
- Mankato, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
-9.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $72,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $75,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…