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165 Lakeview Church Rd
D Composite 44.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0

$214,900

165 Lakeview Church Rd · Lexington, NC 27299
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,514 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1951 0.41 ac lot Est $307k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED TO SELL! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a partial, unfinished basement is located just minutes from I-85 between Lexington and Salisbury and has incredible potential. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open-concept layout with recently-updated flooring throughout. The living room features a full brick fireplace and beams. The kitchen is generously sized with an eat-at bar, perfect for everyday living. The primary bedroom offers its own fireplace. The primary bathroom includes a dual vanity and a tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms are nicely sized, and the secondary bathroom features a walk-in tile shower. Outside, enjoy a double driveway with a one-car garage, plus a detached garage and carport at a separate entrance. A large additional building offers plenty of space for a workshop or storage. The property is full of potential! See Agent Only remarks. Reach out to agent for interior photos.

Key facts

  • Full brick fireplace
  • Dual vanity
  • Walk-in tile shower

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTFULL BRICK FIREPLACEEAT-AT BARPRIMARY BEDROOM FIREPLACEDUAL VANITYWALK-IN TILE SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RS
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Detached garage; Detached carport; Two garage spaces; One carport space; Main level garage available
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system installed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Basement and crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete and paved road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished basement; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-408 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (33.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (48.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (48.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#89 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Davidson County Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #62 of 178 in NC (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,445 (48.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
4.02%
Cash-on-cash
-8.13%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
16.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$307,342
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
229 River Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,334 (-12%) 6mo $230,000 $172 68
233 Oakview Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,427 (-6%) 9mo $294,000 $206 49
216 Iveys Meadow Ct 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (-3%) 22mo $299,000 $203 42
235 Oakview Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,569 (+4%) 22mo $282,000 $180 42
11341 S Nc Highway 150 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,390 (-8%) 8mo $90,000 $65 41
240 Ivey Meadow Ct 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (-12%) 18mo $295,000 $220 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$90,962
Equity at exit
$193,599
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
5.79×
Total profit
$288,087
Equity at exit
$417,503

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27299

Home prices YoY
16.5%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
16.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $861/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$-408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,631
Max offer price $142,858
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-286 -5% $-347 +0% $-408 +5% $-469 +10% $-529
Rent -10% $-496 -5% $-452 +0% $-408 +5% $-364 +10% $-320
Rate -1.0pp $-300 -0.5pp $-353 base $-408 +0.5pp $-464 +1.0pp $-520

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $214,900 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-05-19
    historical Due Diligence Period 925-char remark
    Show marketing remark (925 chars)

    MOTIVATED TO SELL! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a partial, unfinished basement is located just minutes from I-85 between Lexington and Salisbury and has incredible potential. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open-concept layout with recently-updated flooring throughout. The living room features a full brick fireplace and beams. The kitchen is generously sized with an eat-at bar, perfect for everyday living. The primary bedroom offers its own fireplace. The primary bathroom includes a dual vanity and a tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms are nicely sized, and the secondary bathroom features a walk-in tile shower. Outside, enjoy a double driveway with a one-car garage, plus a detached garage and carport at a separate entrance. A large additional building offers plenty of space for a workshop or storage. The property is full of potential! See Agent Only remarks. Reach out to agent for interior photos.

  12. 2026-05-19
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (925 chars)

    MOTIVATED TO SELL! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a partial, unfinished basement is located just minutes from I-85 between Lexington and Salisbury and has incredible potential. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open-concept layout with recently-updated flooring throughout. The living room features a full brick fireplace and beams. The kitchen is generously sized with an eat-at bar, perfect for everyday living. The primary bedroom offers its own fireplace. The primary bathroom includes a dual vanity and a tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms are nicely sized, and the secondary bathroom features a walk-in tile shower. Outside, enjoy a double driveway with a one-car garage, plus a detached garage and carport at a separate entrance. A large additional building offers plenty of space for a workshop or storage. The property is full of potential! See Agent Only remarks. Reach out to agent for interior photos.

  13. 2026-05-05
    listed $199,000 Active 925-char remark
    Show marketing remark (925 chars)

    MOTIVATED TO SELL! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a partial, unfinished basement is located just minutes from I-85 between Lexington and Salisbury and has incredible potential. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open-concept layout with recently-updated flooring throughout. The living room features a full brick fireplace and beams. The kitchen is generously sized with an eat-at bar, perfect for everyday living. The primary bedroom offers its own fireplace. The primary bathroom includes a dual vanity and a tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms are nicely sized, and the secondary bathroom features a walk-in tile shower. Outside, enjoy a double driveway with a one-car garage, plus a detached garage and carport at a separate entrance. A large additional building offers plenty of space for a workshop or storage. The property is full of potential! See Agent Only remarks. Reach out to agent for interior photos.

  14. 2026-05-05
    listed $199,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (925 chars)

    MOTIVATED TO SELL! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a partial, unfinished basement is located just minutes from I-85 between Lexington and Salisbury and has incredible potential. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open-concept layout with recently-updated flooring throughout. The living room features a full brick fireplace and beams. The kitchen is generously sized with an eat-at bar, perfect for everyday living. The primary bedroom offers its own fireplace. The primary bathroom includes a dual vanity and a tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms are nicely sized, and the secondary bathroom features a walk-in tile shower. Outside, enjoy a double driveway with a one-car garage, plus a detached garage and carport at a separate entrance. A large additional building offers plenty of space for a workshop or storage. The property is full of potential! See Agent Only remarks. Reach out to agent for interior photos.

  15. 2026-03-19
    price $229,900
  16. 2026-02-22
    price $234,900
  17. 2023-02-03
    soldstatus $195,000 Closed
  18. 2023-02-03
    soldstatus $195,000
  19. 2022-12-20
    status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
  20. 2022-12-13
    listed $197,500 Active
  21. 2019-11-27
    soldstatus $93,000 Sold
  22. 2019-11-27
    soldstatus $93,000
  23. 2019-11-20
    status Pending
  24. 2019-11-14
    historical Due Diligence Period
  25. 2019-11-07
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$861 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,762 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$901/yr (+$75/mo · 104.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,373
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$861
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,070
− Management
−$1,070
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$8,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,158
After-tax cash flow
$-2,736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davidson County Schools
NCES district ID
3701140
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,696
Composite
42.76/100
National rank
#3157
State rank
#62 of 178 in NC

Livability — Lexington

Score
72/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#6051

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
79,578
Population (ZIP)
5,144

Population outlook (Davidson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
167,156 people
By 2030
167,216 · +0.0%
By 2040
164,524 · -1.6%
By 2050
157,229 · -5.9%
By 2075
138,084 · -17.4%
By 2100
112,729 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Davidson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 44.13%
Current HPI
311.427
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $199,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $199,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $229,900 Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-22 Price Changed $234,900 Triad MLS
  • 2023-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2023-02-03 Sold (MLS) $195,000 Triad MLS
  • 2022-12-20 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $197,500 Triad MLS
  • 2019-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2019-11-27 Sold (MLS) $93,000 Triad MLS
  • 2019-11-20 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2019-11-14 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2019-11-07 Listed $100,000 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $861 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…