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718 Thea Mdws
D Composite 40.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,999

718 Thea Mdws · Marion, TX 78124
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,411 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 4,791 sqft lot $150/sqft · 18% below area Est $258k · 18% under $75/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Idlewood - This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining, along with access to an outdoor space. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, ideal for household members and overnight guests. Estimated Completion July 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • Outdoor space

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOUTDOOR SPACEOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETTWO SECONDARY BEDROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fee ($225); Association transfer fee ($450); Community amenities include pool and park/playground

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Water service: GVSUD; Sewer service: GVSUD; Gas supplier: CenterPoint; Electric supplier: GVEC; Garbage service: Frontier
  • Home design: New construction by Lennar; Cement fiber exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Built in 2026 (new)
  • Exterior features: Privacy fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level with full bath (14 x 15); Bedroom 2 (11 x 12); Bedroom 3 (11 x 12)
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with tub/shower combination (8 x 6)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric and natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Breakfast bar; Cable TV available; 1 living area; Utility room inside; Laundry on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $211k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (20.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (26.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#614 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Marion ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #243 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Norma Krueger El (362 students, 50% FRL); Marion Middle (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #613 of 1,662 statewide, top 38%, 372 students, 41% FRL); Marion H S (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 456 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 418 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,064 units permitted in Guadalupe County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guadalupe County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $155,578 (26.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
4.56%
Cash-on-cash
-6.18%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,438
List price
$210,999
Delta
-18.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2760 Pioneer Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 1mo $250,000 $170 92
713 Thea Mdws 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-1%) 1mo $230,999 $165 76
701 Thea Mdws 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 1mo $240,999 $153 75
175 Lost Maples Way 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,407 (-0%) 2mo $289,900 $206 72
721 Thea Mdws 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 2mo $223,999 $142 52
305 Gadwall Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 3mo $245,999 $156 52
743 Thea Mdws 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 3mo $222,999 $142 52
314 Gadwall Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 3mo $225,999 $143 51
705 Thea Mdws 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 1mo $219,999 $137 50
746 Thea Mdws 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 1mo $219,999 $137 50
179 Lost Maples Way 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,594 (+13%) 2mo $314,000 $197 50
301 Gadwall Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 3mo $228,999 $143 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.9%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-53,490
Equity at exit
$31,461
10-year hold
IRR
-24.3%
Equity multiple
-0.21×
Total profit
$-71,235
Equity at exit
$18,243

Cash invested: $59,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78124

Active inventory
418
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,556 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,107
Tax est. 1.5%
$264 /mo · $3,165/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$-304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,941
Max offer price $166,995
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-158 -5% $-231 +0% $-304 +5% $-377 +10% $-450
Rent -10% $-427 -5% $-366 +0% $-304 +5% $-243 +10% $-181
Rate -1.0pp $-198 -0.5pp $-250 base $-304 +0.5pp $-359 +1.0pp $-414

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,750
Closing costs
$6,330
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
205 W Schulz St Marion, TX 3.0 1.5 1109 $1,695 $1.53 6d 1 0.08mi
217 E Schulz St Marion, TX 3.0 2.0 924 $1,050 $1.14 0d 1 0.30mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $210,999 Pending 41 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $210,999 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-05-08
    price $212,999 618-char remark
  4. 2026-04-20
    listed $232,999 New 618-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,669
− Mortgage interest
−$11,819
− Property taxes
−$3,165
− Insurance
−$1,055
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,494
− Management
−$1,494
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$6,138
Taxable loss
−$7,395
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,775
After-tax cash flow
$-1,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious floorplan and is move-in ready, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion ISD
NCES district ID
4829100
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,465
Composite
39.86/100
National rank
#3867
State rank
#243 of 826 in TX

Livability — Marion

Score
66/100
State rank
#614
US rank
#11619

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,907

Population outlook (Guadalupe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,854 people
By 2030
220,210 · +11.9%
By 2040
268,004 · +36.1%
By 2050
316,333 · +60.7%
By 2075
434,747 · +120.8%
By 2100
520,447 · +164.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 24% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guadalupe

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.5pp toward D · 2008: -31.0pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+24.2 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+31.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.83%
Current HPI
189.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Pending LERA
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $210,999 LERA
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $212,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $232,999 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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