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213 Nelda St
C Composite 55.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

213 Nelda St · Odessa, TX 79764
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1957 7,666 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The house needs extensive repairs and cleaning but has great potential, it has an extra electrical pole to connect an rv or shop on the back. Call your agent to see it in person.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • New water heater
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW WATER HEATERUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Propane
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built with a home warranty
  • Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Paved road access; Chain link fencing; Solar panels

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Pantry; Breakfast bar
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Barbara Jordan El (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 854 students, 51% FRL); Bowie Middle (math 11% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,543 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 914 students, 74% FRL); Odessa H S (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,397 of 1,632 statewide, top 87%, 3,874 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.87%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-9,420
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$23,582
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79764

Home prices YoY
-28.0%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,325 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$488
Net cashflow
$386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $531 -5% $458 +0% $386 +5% $313 +10% $241
Rent -10% $202 -5% $294 +0% $386 +5% $478 +10% $570
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $439 base $386 +0.5pp $331 +1.0pp $276

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
493 Chitalpa Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1254 $2,500 $1.99 44d 1 1.03mi
8623 Holiday Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1231 $1,800 $1.46 44d 1 1.08mi
6015 N Golder Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1140 $3,500 $3.07 44d 1 1.38mi
6819 Ector Ave Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1295 $1,650 $1.27 14d 1 1.39mi
8637 Tulane Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1044 $1,700 $1.63 44d 1 1.40mi
908 Purdue St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,500 $1.69 44d 1 1.43mi
8633 Yale Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1371 $2,500 $1.82 14d 1 1.43mi
8633 Yale Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1390 $2,500 $1.80 22d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    remarks 502-char remark
  9. 2026-06-13
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,905
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,232
− Management
−$2,232
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$1,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$328
After-tax cash flow
$4,302/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
131,169
Population (ZIP)
26,805

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 37% Two or more races 17% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 45% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.67%
Current HPI
238.7065
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+267.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $220,000 ODMLS
  • 2023-01-12 Sold (MLS) ODMLS
  • 2023-01-04 Pending ODMLS
  • 2022-10-15 Relisted ODMLS
  • 2022-09-16 Delisted ODMLS
  • 2022-06-16 Listed $59,900 ODMLS
  • 2012-04-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $401 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…