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111 Airport Rd
C+ Composite 63.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$77,500

111 Airport Rd · Diamond City, AR 72644
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
7,640 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cute 2BR 1BA home is 5 minutes from the lake, campground and marina. An 18-hole Golf Course is also only 5 minutes away. Detached garage is perfect for a Jet Ski, small boat, car, or hobby room. Sit on the huge covered back deck relax! This home is very comfortable inside, sits on a blacktop street is priced to move!!

Key facts

  • 18 hole golf course
  • Detached garage
  • 7,640 sq ft lot

Tags

5 MINUTES FROM THE LAKE5 MINUTES FROM CAMPGROUND5 MINUTES FROM MARINA18 HOLE GOLF COURSEDETACHED GARAGEHUGE COVERED BACK DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($797 rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.4% in Diamond City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lead Hill School District (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #166 of 238 in AR (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,525 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.26%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$27,170
Equity at exit
$42,507
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$73,514
Equity at exit
$72,220

Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72644

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$797 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$406
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $283/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$167
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $585
Max offer price $77,500
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,375
Closing costs
$2,325
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $77,500 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,500 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,500 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,500 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,500 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $77,500 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $77,500 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,500 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,500 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,500 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $77,500 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-03-19
    listed $82,900 Active 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This cute 2BR 1BA home is 5 minutes from the lake, campground and marina. An 18-hole Golf Course is also only 5 minutes away. Detached garage is perfect for a Jet Ski, small boat, car, or hobby room. Sit on the huge covered back deck relax! This home is very comfortable inside, sits on a blacktop street is priced to move!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$283 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$496 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$213/yr (+$18/mo · 75.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,566
− Mortgage interest
−$4,341
− Property taxes
−$283
− Insurance
−$388
− Repairs & maintenance
−$765
− Management
−$765
− Depreciation
−$2,255
Taxable income
$769
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$185
After-tax cash flow
$1,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lead Hill School District
NCES district ID
0503420
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$32,310
Composite
23.24/100
National rank
#7935
State rank
#166 of 238 in AR

Livability — Diamond City

Score
67/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#10788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Diamond City, AR
City population
123
Population (ZIP)
2,640

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,238 people
By 2030
36,808 · -1.2%
By 2040
35,597 · -4.4%
By 2050
34,197 · -8.2%
By 2075
30,503 · -18.1%
By 2100
25,797 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.70%
Current HPI
226.9247
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $82,900 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $283 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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