111 Airport Rd · Diamond City, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$77,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cute 2BR 1BA home is 5 minutes from the lake, campground and marina. An 18-hole Golf Course is also only 5 minutes away. Detached garage is perfect for a Jet Ski, small boat, car, or hobby room. Sit on the huge covered back deck relax! This home is very comfortable inside, sits on a blacktop street is priced to move!!
Key facts
- 18 hole golf course
- Detached garage
- 7,640 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($797 rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.4% in Diamond City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lead Hill School District (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #166 of 238 in AR (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.26%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $27,170
- Equity at exit
- $42,507
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $73,514
- Equity at exit
- $72,220
Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72644
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $797 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$406
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $283/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,375
- Closing costs
- $2,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $77,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $77,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $77,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $77,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $77,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $77,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $77,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $77,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-19$82,900 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This cute 2BR 1BA home is 5 minutes from the lake, campground and marina. An 18-hole Golf Course is also only 5 minutes away. Detached garage is perfect for a Jet Ski, small boat, car, or hobby room. Sit on the huge covered back deck relax! This home is very comfortable inside, sits on a blacktop street is priced to move!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $283 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $496 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 75.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,341
- − Property taxes
- −$283
- − Insurance
- −$388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$765
- − Management
- −$765
- − Depreciation
- −$2,255
- Taxable income
- $769
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lead Hill School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503420
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,310
- Composite
- 23.24/100
- National rank
- #7935
- State rank
- #166 of 238 in AR
Livability — Diamond City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #10788
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Diamond City, AR
- City population
- 123
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,640
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,238 people
- By 2030
- 36,808 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 35,597 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 34,197 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 30,503 · -18.1%
- By 2100
- 25,797 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.70%
- Current HPI
- 226.9247
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $82,900 NWARMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $283 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…