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357 Pineville Rd
C Composite 58.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$75,000

357 Pineville Rd · Southwest, PA 16420
1 bd · None ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily · 56 Days on market
Built 1998 Poor condition 11 ac lot $104/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape to your own private retreat near the Allegheny National Forest. Tucked away on 11 primarily wooded acres, this unique primitive camp offers a peaceful setting ideal for outdoor enthusiasts, hunters, or those seeking a quiet getaway. The open-concept “bunkhouse” style structure provides a simple, functional space to relax and unwind. The property is surrounded by nature and wildlife, with a spring water source located on-site. Please note: there is no running water, offering a true off-grid experience. Whether you’re looking for a weekend escape or a basecamp for outdoor adventures, this property delivers privacy, seclusion, and a connection to the outdoors.

Key facts

  • Off-grid experience
  • Spring water source
  • 11 acre lot

Tags

PRIMARILY WOODED ACRESOPEN-CONCEPT BUNKHOUSESPRING WATER SOURCEOFF-GRID EXPERIENCE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Total of 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Spring water source
  • Home design: 2-story; Frame construction
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: 11-acre lot; Lot dimensions approximately 79 x 179 x 1972 x 240 x 1988

Interior

  • Interior features: Resale property

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Titusville Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #287 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.42%
Cash-on-cash
7.61%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,513
List price
$75,000
Delta
-51.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$17,528
Equity at exit
$33,723
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$50,541
Equity at exit
$51,972

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16420

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$825 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $185 -5% $159 +0% $133 +5% $107 +10% $81
Rent -10% $68 -5% $101 +0% $133 +5% $166 +10% $198
Rate -1.0pp $171 -0.5pp $152 base $133 +0.5pp $114 +1.0pp $94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    price $89,000 690-char remark
  17. 2026-04-25
    listed $110,000 Active 690-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,896
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$792
− Management
−$792
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$103
After-tax cash flow
$1,495/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior siding, flooring, interior walls, and landscaping. Significant improvements are needed to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage and potential leaks.
  • Major exterior siding — Peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
  • Major flooring — Damaged and in need of repair or replacement.
  • Major interior walls — Peeling paint and potential structural issues.
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and in need of maintenance and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both roof repair — Fixing the roof will improve the home's appearance and functionality.
  • Both exterior siding repair — Repainting or replacing the siding will improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring will improve the home's functionality and appearance.
  • Both interior wall repair — Repairing the interior walls will improve the home's functionality and appearance.
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will enhance the home's overall appearance and value.
  • Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant damage and potential leaks. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Peeling and in need of repainting or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Damaged and in need of repair or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Peeling paint and potential structural issues. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown and in need of maintenance and landscaping improvements. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both roof repair — Fixing the roof will improve the home's appearance and functionality.
  • Both exterior siding repair — Repainting or replacing the siding will improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring will improve the home's functionality and appearance.
  • Both interior wall repair — Repairing the interior walls will improve the home's functionality and appearance.
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will enhance the home's overall appearance and value.
  • Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Titusville Area SD
NCES district ID
4223490
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,179
Composite
37.43/100
National rank
#4418
State rank
#287 of 539 in PA

Livability — Southwest

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
434

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,189 people
By 2030
35,269 · -5.2%
By 2040
31,262 · -15.9%
By 2050
27,468 · -26.1%
By 2075
20,410 · -45.1%
By 2100
14,755 · -60.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+40.9 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $89,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $110,000 West Penn MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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