357 Pineville Rd · Southwest, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Escape to your own private retreat near the Allegheny National Forest. Tucked away on 11 primarily wooded acres, this unique primitive camp offers a peaceful setting ideal for outdoor enthusiasts, hunters, or those seeking a quiet getaway. The open-concept “bunkhouse” style structure provides a simple, functional space to relax and unwind. The property is surrounded by nature and wildlife, with a spring water source located on-site. Please note: there is no running water, offering a true off-grid experience. Whether you’re looking for a weekend escape or a basecamp for outdoor adventures, this property delivers privacy, seclusion, and a connection to the outdoors.
Key facts
- Off-grid experience
- Spring water source
- 11 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Spring water source
- Home design: 2-story; Frame construction
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: 11-acre lot; Lot dimensions approximately 79 x 179 x 1972 x 240 x 1988
Interior
- Interior features: Resale property
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Titusville Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #287 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,513
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -51.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $17,528
- Equity at exit
- $33,723
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $50,541
- Equity at exit
- $51,972
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16420
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $185 | -5% $159 | +0% $133 | +5% $107 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $101 | +0% $133 | +5% $166 | +10% $198 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $171 | -0.5pp $152 | base $133 | +0.5pp $114 | +1.0pp $94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $89,000 690-char remark
-
2026-04-25$110,000 Active 690-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$792
- − Management
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $429
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior siding, flooring, interior walls, and landscaping. Significant improvements are needed to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant damage and potential leaks.
- Major exterior siding — Peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
- Major flooring — Damaged and in need of repair or replacement.
- Major interior walls — Peeling paint and potential structural issues.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and in need of maintenance and landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both roof repair — Fixing the roof will improve the home's appearance and functionality.
- Both exterior siding repair — Repainting or replacing the siding will improve the home's curb appeal and value.
- Both flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring will improve the home's functionality and appearance.
- Both interior wall repair — Repairing the interior walls will improve the home's functionality and appearance.
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will enhance the home's overall appearance and value.
- Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Significant damage and potential leaks. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Peeling and in need of repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Damaged and in need of repair or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Peeling paint and potential structural issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and in need of maintenance and landscaping improvements. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both roof repair — Fixing the roof will improve the home's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both exterior siding repair — Repainting or replacing the siding will improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring will improve the home's functionality and appearance. ↑
- Both interior wall repair — Repairing the interior walls will improve the home's functionality and appearance. ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will enhance the home's overall appearance and value. ↑
- Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Titusville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4223490
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,179
- Composite
- 37.43/100
- National rank
- #4418
- State rank
- #287 of 539 in PA
Livability — Southwest
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 434
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,189 people
- By 2030
- 35,269 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 31,262 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 27,468 · -26.1%
- By 2075
- 20,410 · -45.1%
- By 2100
- 14,755 · -60.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.0pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+40.9 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-31.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $89,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $110,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…