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48 Ellington St
B Composite 72.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$113,000

48 Ellington St · Magazine, AR 72943
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1980 0.50 ac lot $76/sqft · 27% below area Est $155k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers 1,478 sq ft of living space and sits on a generous 0.50-acre lot perfect for those wanting room to spread out both inside and out. Step inside to find a beautifully updated, open-concept kitchen, ideal for entertaining or everyday family meals. The home also features a separate living area, great for guests or multigenerational living. Additional features include: 2-car garage 10x20 lean-to pole shed - perfect for horses or equipment Extra storage shed HVAC system just 2 years old While the home does need some cosmetic updates, it's a prime opportunity for investors or a family looking for a fixer-upper with strong potential. Homes like this rarely come available in Magazine, so don't miss your chance! ?? Call today to schedule your private showing or contact your favorite local Realtor!

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Separate living area
  • Extra storage shed

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENSEPARATE LIVING AREA10X20 LEAN-TO POLE SHEDEXTRA STORAGE SHEDHVAC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#206 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Magazine School District (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #151 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($781 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $113k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,830 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.01%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,888
List price
$113,000
Delta
-27.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
157 S Wood St 0.73mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (-12%) 11mo $149,900 $115 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$20,970
Equity at exit
$40,736
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$63,741
Equity at exit
$55,846

Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72943

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,323 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$593
Tax est. 1.5%
$141 /mo · $1,695/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $989
Max offer price $113,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $342 -5% $303 +0% $264 +5% $225 +10% $186
Rent -10% $159 -5% $212 +0% $264 +5% $316 +10% $368
Rate -1.0pp $321 -0.5pp $293 base $264 +0.5pp $235 +1.0pp $205

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,250
Closing costs
$3,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $113,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $113,000 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $113,000 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $113,000 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $113,000 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $113,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $113,000 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $113,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $113,000 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $113,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $113,000 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $113,000 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $113,000 Active 77 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $113,000 Active 76 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $113,000 Active 75 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $113,000 Active 74 DOM
  17. 2026-04-04
    price $105,000
  18. 2026-03-26
    price $110,000
  19. 2026-03-11
    price $113,000
  20. 2025-11-12
    price $114,000
  21. 2025-10-31
    price $124,000
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    This spacious 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers 1,478 sq ft of living space and sits on a generous 0.50-acre lot perfect for those wanting room to spread out both inside and out. Step inside to find a beautifully updated, open-concept kitchen, ideal for entertaining or everyday family meals. The home also features a separate living area, great for guests or multigenerational living. Additional features include: 2-car garage 10x20 lean-to pole shed - perfect for horses or equipment Extra storage shed HVAC system just 2 years old While the home does need some cosmetic updates, it's a prime opportunity for investors or a family looking for a fixer-upper with strong potential. Homes like this rarely come available in Magazine, so don't miss your chance! ?? Call today to schedule your private showing or contact your favorite local Realtor!

  22. 2025-10-31
    listed $113,000 New Listing 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    This spacious 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers 1,478 sq ft of living space and sits on a generous 0.50-acre lot perfect for those wanting room to spread out both inside and out. Step inside to find a beautifully updated, open-concept kitchen, ideal for entertaining or everyday family meals. The home also features a separate living area, great for guests or multigenerational living. Additional features include: 2-car garage 10x20 lean-to pole shed - perfect for horses or equipment Extra storage shed HVAC system just 2 years old While the home does need some cosmetic updates, it's a prime opportunity for investors or a family looking for a fixer-upper with strong potential. Homes like this rarely come available in Magazine, so don't miss your chance! ?? Call today to schedule your private showing or contact your favorite local Realtor!

  23. 1996-11-21
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,870
− Mortgage interest
−$6,330
− Property taxes
−$1,695
− Insurance
−$565
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,270
− Management
−$1,270
− Depreciation
−$3,287
Taxable income
$1,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$349
After-tax cash flow
$2,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Magazine School District
NCES district ID
0509150
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$39,300
Composite
25.6/100
National rank
#7414
State rank
#151 of 238 in AR

Livability — Magazine

Score
62/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#16260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Magazine, AR
Population (ZIP)
2,511

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,046 people
By 2030
20,537 · -2.4%
By 2040
19,443 · -7.6%
By 2050
18,220 · -13.4%
By 2075
16,164 · -23.2%
By 2100
14,858 · -29.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.2) · D 17.8% · R 80.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-23.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -62.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.2 2020: R+59.5 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+38.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.36%
Current HPI
151.1399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+162.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $105,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $110,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $113,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $114,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $124,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $113,000 CARMLS
  • 1996-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-14.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $48 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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