395 Evergreen Rd · Sanatoga, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Zoned LI (Limited Industrial) in Lower Pottsgrove Township, this property offers a range of potential uses subject to township approval. Situated on approximately 0.5 acres, 395 Evergreen Road presents an opportunity for investors, contractors, or business owners seeking a property with redevelopment potential. The site includes a 1,856-square-foot structure in need of full renovation, along with a detached garage and shed, providing a flexible footprint for future use, improvement, or possible redevelopment. Existing residential use may be considered nonconforming; buyers are responsible for verifying permitted uses with the township. Property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- 0.5 acres
- Shed
- Full renovation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.1% in Sanatoga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#526 in PA, #4,881 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Pottsgrove SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #318 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.05%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $349,896
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -42.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-15,878
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $20,754
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19464
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$413 /mo · $4,954/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $302 | -5% $246 | +0% $189 | +5% $132 | +10% $76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $102 | +0% $189 | +5% $276 | +10% $362 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $240 | base $189 | +0.5pp $137 | +1.0pp $85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 Van Fleet Cir Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1220 | $2,700 | $2.21 | 11d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 48 Shelly Ln Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1522 | $2,383 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 421 Oaktree Ct Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1624 | $2,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1267 Village Ln Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $2,295 | $1.99 | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1613 Rosewood Ct #79 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1127 | $2,400 | $2.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1732 Rosewood Ct Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $2,100 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $199,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $250,000 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Zoned LI (Limited Industrial) in Lower Pottsgrove Township, this property offers a range of potential uses subject to township approval. Situated on approximately 0.5 acres, 395 Evergreen Road presents an opportunity for investors, contractors, or business owners seeking a property with redevelopment potential. The site includes a 1,856-square-foot structure in need of full renovation, along with a detached garage and shed, providing a flexible footprint for future use, improvement, or possible redevelopment. Existing residential use may be considered nonconforming; buyers are responsible for verifying permitted uses with the township. Property is being sold as-is.
-
2026-03-17$300,000 Active 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Zoned LI (Limited Industrial) in Lower Pottsgrove Township, this property offers a range of potential uses subject to township approval. Situated on approximately 0.5 acres, 395 Evergreen Road presents an opportunity for investors, contractors, or business owners seeking a property with redevelopment potential. The site includes a 1,856-square-foot structure in need of full renovation, along with a detached garage and shed, providing a flexible footprint for future use, improvement, or possible redevelopment. Existing residential use may be considered nonconforming; buyers are responsible for verifying permitted uses with the township. Property is being sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,954 · $413/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,954 · $413/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,331
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$4,954
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,106
- − Management
- −$2,106
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$849
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$204
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottsgrove SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219650
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,814
- Composite
- 36.08/100
- National rank
- #4763
- State rank
- #318 of 539 in PA
Livability — Sanatoga
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #526
- US rank
- #4881
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanatoga, PA
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,101
- Household income
- $79,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1797.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.73%
- Current HPI
- 271.9399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $4,954 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…