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395 Evergreen Rd
C Composite 58.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

395 Evergreen Rd · Sanatoga, PA 19464
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,496 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1935 0.62 ac lot $134/sqft · 43% below area Est $350k · 43% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Zoned LI (Limited Industrial) in Lower Pottsgrove Township, this property offers a range of potential uses subject to township approval. Situated on approximately 0.5 acres, 395 Evergreen Road presents an opportunity for investors, contractors, or business owners seeking a property with redevelopment potential. The site includes a 1,856-square-foot structure in need of full renovation, along with a detached garage and shed, providing a flexible footprint for future use, improvement, or possible redevelopment. Existing residential use may be considered nonconforming; buyers are responsible for verifying permitted uses with the township. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acres
  • Shed
  • Full renovation

Tags

ZONED LILOWER POTTSGROVE TOWNSHIP0.5 ACRESDETACHED GARAGESHEDFULL RENOVATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.1% in Sanatoga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#526 in PA, #4,881 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pottsgrove SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #318 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$349,896
List price
$199,900
Delta
-42.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-15,878
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$20,754
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19464

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,194 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,954/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,955
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $302 -5% $246 +0% $189 +5% $132 +10% $76
Rent -10% $16 -5% $102 +0% $189 +5% $276 +10% $362
Rate -1.0pp $290 -0.5pp $240 base $189 +0.5pp $137 +1.0pp $85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
157 Van Fleet Cir Pottstown, PA 3.0 2.5 1220 $2,700 $2.21 11d 1 0.31mi
48 Shelly Ln Pottstown, PA 3.0 2.5 1522 $2,383 $1.57 0d 1 0.82mi
421 Oaktree Ct Pottstown, PA 3.0 1.5 1624 $2,250 $1.39 45d 1 1.07mi
1267 Village Ln Pottstown, PA 3.0 2.5 1152 $2,295 $1.99 6d 1 1.25mi
1613 Rosewood Ct #79 Pottstown, PA 2.0 1.0 1127 $2,400 $2.13 0d 1 1.31mi
1732 Rosewood Ct Pottstown, PA 2.0 1.0 1139 $2,100 $1.84 0d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 77 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 76 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 75 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $250,000 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    Zoned LI (Limited Industrial) in Lower Pottsgrove Township, this property offers a range of potential uses subject to township approval. Situated on approximately 0.5 acres, 395 Evergreen Road presents an opportunity for investors, contractors, or business owners seeking a property with redevelopment potential. The site includes a 1,856-square-foot structure in need of full renovation, along with a detached garage and shed, providing a flexible footprint for future use, improvement, or possible redevelopment. Existing residential use may be considered nonconforming; buyers are responsible for verifying permitted uses with the township. Property is being sold as-is.

  17. 2026-03-17
    listed $300,000 Active 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    Zoned LI (Limited Industrial) in Lower Pottsgrove Township, this property offers a range of potential uses subject to township approval. Situated on approximately 0.5 acres, 395 Evergreen Road presents an opportunity for investors, contractors, or business owners seeking a property with redevelopment potential. The site includes a 1,856-square-foot structure in need of full renovation, along with a detached garage and shed, providing a flexible footprint for future use, improvement, or possible redevelopment. Existing residential use may be considered nonconforming; buyers are responsible for verifying permitted uses with the township. Property is being sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,954 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,954 · $413/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,331
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,954
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,106
− Management
−$2,106
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$204
After-tax cash flow
$2,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pottsgrove SD
NCES district ID
4219650
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$71,814
Composite
36.08/100
National rank
#4763
State rank
#318 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sanatoga

Score
74/100
State rank
#526
US rank
#4881

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sanatoga, PA
County
Montgomery County · 712,331 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,101
Household income
$79,787
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
1797.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
856,074 people
By 2030
870,887 · +1.7%
By 2040
891,195 · +4.1%
By 2050
896,417 · +4.7%
By 2075
903,212 · +5.5%
By 2100
843,240 · -1.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -253.73%
Current HPI
271.9399
Rent YoY
▲ 4.93%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,954 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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