89-40 151 Ave Unit 5B · New York, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.9/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$241,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Lovely 2 Bedroom , 1 Bath In Eastwood Bldg. Updated Kitchen, New Bath, Closets Galore, Conveniently Located Close To Crossbay Blvd, Express Bus To Midtown, Buses To Jamaica & Queens Center Mall., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
Key facts
- Social event room
- Bicycle storage
- Gated playground
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Underground parking; No carport
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 rooms total (entry level: 5)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Galley kitchen; Laundry room; Cats allowed
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $241k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-579 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $241k).
- Recommended offer: $234k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $241k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.29%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-75,155
- Equity at exit
- $35,934
- IRR
- -40.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.63×
- Total profit
- $-109,849
- Equity at exit
- $20,837
Cash invested: $67,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11414
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,833 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,264
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$301 /mo · $3,615/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,151
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$595
- Net cashflow
- $-579
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-412 | -5% $-495 | +0% $-579 | +5% $-662 | +10% $-745 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-802 | -5% $-691 | +0% $-579 | +5% $-467 | +10% $-355 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-457 | -0.5pp $-517 | base $-579 | +0.5pp $-641 | +1.0pp $-705 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,250
- Closing costs
- $7,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8439 153rd Ave Unit 5A Howard Beach, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 84-29 155th Ave Unit 5J Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 149-09 84th St Unit 2 Howard Beach, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $3,200 | $4.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 9512 108th Ave Ozone Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9105 107th Ave Ozone Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $2,400 | $3.70 | 20d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10215 Dunton Ct Howard Beach, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,500 | $3.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 97-56 105th St #2 Ozone Park, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,811 | $3.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $241,000
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-02-28status Pending
-
2026-01-31$229,000 Active
-
2015-08-31soldstatus $110,000 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Large Lovely 2 Bedroom , 1 Bath In Eastwood Bldg. Updated Kitchen, New Bath, Closets Galore, Conveniently Located Close To Crossbay Blvd, Express Bus To Midtown, Buses To Jamaica & Queens Center Mall.
-
2015-08-31soldstatus $110,000 Closed 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Large Lovely 2 Bedroom , 1 Bath In Eastwood Bldg. Updated Kitchen, New Bath, Closets Galore, Conveniently Located Close To Crossbay Blvd, Express Bus To Midtown, Buses To Jamaica & Queens Center Mall.
-
2015-03-23status Under Contract 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Large Lovely 2 Bedroom , 1 Bath In Eastwood Bldg. Updated Kitchen, New Bath, Closets Galore, Conveniently Located Close To Crossbay Blvd, Express Bus To Midtown, Buses To Jamaica & Queens Center Mall.
-
2014-12-01historical
-
2014-11-05$119,000 New 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Large Lovely 2 Bedroom , 1 Bath In Eastwood Bldg. Updated Kitchen, New Bath, Closets Galore, Conveniently Located Close To Crossbay Blvd, Express Bus To Midtown, Buses To Jamaica & Queens Center Mall., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2014-11-05$119,000 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Large Lovely 2 Bedroom , 1 Bath In Eastwood Bldg. Updated Kitchen, New Bath, Closets Galore, Conveniently Located Close To Crossbay Blvd, Express Bus To Midtown, Buses To Jamaica & Queens Center Mall., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2014-02-10$109,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,500
- − Property taxes
- −$3,615
- − Insurance
- −$1,205
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,719
- − Management
- −$2,719
- − HOA
- −$13,812
- − Depreciation
- −$7,011
- Taxable loss
- −$10,588
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,541
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,308
- Household income
- $95,051
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 985.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.02%
- Current HPI
- 206.6334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+121.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $241,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Listed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-31 Sold (MLS) $110,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-31 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MLSLI
- 2015-03-23 Pending — MLSLI
- 2014-12-01 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2014-11-05 Listed $119,000 MLSLI
- 2014-11-05 Listed $119,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-10 Listed $109,000 SIBORMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…