164 Maderia Dr · Avondale, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1978
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry level on slab foundation; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in an earlier year (year built not provided)
- Exterior features: City lot; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Property listed in excellent condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#243 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $190k implies a 705% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.46%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,815
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- 2.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 Elaine Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-12%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $160 | 74 |
| 504 Ruth Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,419 (-5%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $102 | 71 |
| 4172 Goodwood Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (-0%) | 1mo | $278,905 | $186 | 66 |
| 3620 Goodwood Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (-1%) | 2mo | $275,996 | $185 | 64 |
| 3624 Cherrygrove Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (-0%) | 7mo | $276,550 | $185 | 59 |
| 3628 Cherrygrove Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (-0%) | 7mo | $275,320 | $184 | 59 |
| 4144 Landsdown Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-5%) | 2mo | $265,820 | $187 | 58 |
| 3805 Retreat Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-5%) | 3mo | $262,990 | $185 | 56 |
| 4136 Goodwood Ct | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-5%) | 7mo | $262,990 | $185 | 53 |
| 3725 Retreat Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+8%) | 2mo | $285,389 | $176 | 52 |
| 3600 Goodwood Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+8%) | 4mo | $290,730 | $179 | 50 |
| 4100 Landsdowne Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+8%) | 8mo | $288,770 | $178 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-20,529
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-17,986
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70094
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,728 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $579/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Elaine Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 89 Marie Dr Westwego, LA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 101 Ursula Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 145 S Dexter Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 304 Butler Dr Westwego, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 116 Felicia Dr Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 441 Butler Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 441 Butler Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$189,900 Active
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2026-05-12$189,900 Active
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2026-03-01price $189,900
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2026-03-01price $189,900
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2026-02-10price $194,000
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2026-02-10price $194,000
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2025-12-11price $199,000
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2025-12-11price $199,000
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2025-11-09$205,000 Active
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1978-07-01soldstatus $23,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $579 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,044 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$466/yr (+$39/mo · 80.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$579
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$274
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$66
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Avondale
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #18430
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Avondale, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- City population
- 32,031
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,130
- Household income
- $53,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1457.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.56%
- Current HPI
- 102.9992
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+704.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $189,900 GSREIN
- 2026-05-12 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $189,900 GSREIN
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $194,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $194,000 GSREIN
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $199,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $199,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-09 Listed $205,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1978-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,600 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $579 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…