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D+ Composite 45.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,000

16790 NE 14th Ave #110 · North Miami Beach, FL 33162
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 688 sqft · Condo public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1965 $601/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Best-Priced First-Floor Unit in Mar-Len Gardens! Move right into this bright, furnished 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home featuring tile floors throughout and an updated kitchen. Relax on the large screened patio with peaceful garden views. Mar-Len Gardens is a gated 55+ community offering resort-style amenities, including two pools, a clubhouse, a gym, and indoor pickleball. Enjoy scenic walking paths along the canal and a prime location just 3 miles from the beach, with shopping and dining nearby.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • First-floor unit
  • Large screened patio

Tags

FIRST-FLOOR UNITUPDATED KITCHENLARGE SCREENED PATIOPEACEFUL GARDEN VIEWSGATED COMMUNITYRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.1% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,185/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2509% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,280 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.14%
Cap rate
36.06%
Cash-on-cash
106.31%
DSCR
5.73
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.55×
Total profit
$78,955
Equity at exit
$9,244
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.24×
Total profit
$160,374
Equity at exit
$5,361

Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33162

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
284
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,185 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $317/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$601
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$669
Net cashflow
$1,538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,238
Max offer price $62,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,500
Closing costs
$1,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$601 · $7,212/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2025-06-16
    status Pending
  2. 2025-03-24
    listed $62,000 Active
  3. 2016-04-22
    historical
  4. 2016-02-16
    listed $53,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$317 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$515 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$198/yr (+$16/mo · 62.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,222
− Mortgage interest
−$3,473
− Property taxes
−$317
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,058
− Management
−$3,058
− HOA
−$7,212
− Depreciation
−$1,804
Taxable income
$18,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,558
After-tax cash flow
$13,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,324
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
46,606
Household income
$60,692
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
2509.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -445.57%
Current HPI
596.6178
Rent YoY
▼ -1.59%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-16 Pending MARMLS
  • 2025-03-24 Listed $62,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-04-22 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2016-02-16 Listed $53,000 MARMLS

Property tax history

-6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $317 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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