1810 Route 147 · Lower Mahanoy, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own or invest! This spacious Cape Cod offers 4 bedrooms and 1 full bath, with a flexible layout that includes a convenient first-floor bedroom and a generously sized living room. The kitchen flows into a cozy family room featuring a wood-burning fireplace--perfect for adding value and charm. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms, providing plenty of space for family, tenants, or a home office setup. With just a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates, this property has strong potential for instant equity. Ideal for a first-time buyer looking to build sweat equity or an investor seeking a solid rental or flip opportunity. A smart buy with great upside!
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Additional parking for 5 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and block construction; Foundation: None listed; Above-grade finished area approximately 862
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Shed(s) on the property; Lot approximately 0.33 acres; Topography: No
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating present
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Basement with block construction
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Line Mountain SD (rural): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #266 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Line Mountain El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 368 students, 48% FRL); Line Mountain Ms (math 20% / reading 62%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 307 students, 48% FRL); Line Mountain Hs (math 84%, 331 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $995 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.93%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $20,739
- Equity at exit
- $39,875
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $64,473
- Equity at exit
- $52,183
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17017
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,497/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $374 | -5% $340 | +0% $306 | +5% $272 | +10% $238 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $195 | -5% $250 | +0% $306 | +5% $361 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $366 | -0.5pp $336 | base $306 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-08status $119,900 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-13$135,000 Active 687-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,497 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,696 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 13.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,851
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,497
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,855
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$445
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Line Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214460
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,234
- Composite
- 38.77/100
- National rank
- #4122
- State rank
- #266 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lower Mahanoy
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dalmatia, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,572
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.83%
- Current HPI
- 171.5298
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — CSVBR
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $119,900 CSVBR
- 2026-04-13 Listed $135,000 CSVBR
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,497 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…