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1810 Route 147
B- Composite 66.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

1810 Route 147 · Lower Mahanoy, PA 17017
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 862 sqft · Other · 42 Days on market
Built 1948 0.33 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own or invest! This spacious Cape Cod offers 4 bedrooms and 1 full bath, with a flexible layout that includes a convenient first-floor bedroom and a generously sized living room. The kitchen flows into a cozy family room featuring a wood-burning fireplace--perfect for adding value and charm. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms, providing plenty of space for family, tenants, or a home office setup. With just a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates, this property has strong potential for instant equity. Ideal for a first-time buyer looking to build sweat equity or an investor seeking a solid rental or flip opportunity. A smart buy with great upside!

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Additional parking for 5 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and block construction; Foundation: None listed; Above-grade finished area approximately 862
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Shed(s) on the property; Lot approximately 0.33 acres; Topography: No

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Basement with block construction

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Line Mountain SD (rural): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #266 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Line Mountain El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 368 students, 48% FRL); Line Mountain Ms (math 20% / reading 62%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 307 students, 48% FRL); Line Mountain Hs (math 84%, 331 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $995 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.93%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$20,739
Equity at exit
$39,875
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$64,473
Equity at exit
$52,183

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17017

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,497/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,017
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $374 -5% $340 +0% $306 +5% $272 +10% $238
Rent -10% $195 -5% $250 +0% $306 +5% $361 +10% $417
Rate -1.0pp $366 -0.5pp $336 base $306 +0.5pp $275 +1.0pp $243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $119,900 Pending 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-04-13
    listed $135,000 Active 687-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,497 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,696 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$199/yr (+$17/mo · 13.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,851
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,497
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,855
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$445
After-tax cash flow
$3,226/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Line Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4214460
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$48,234
Composite
38.77/100
National rank
#4122
State rank
#266 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lower Mahanoy

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Dalmatia, PA
Population (ZIP)
1,572

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Polish 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.83%
Current HPI
171.5298
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending CSVBR
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $119,900 CSVBR
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $135,000 CSVBR

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,497 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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