Multi-family
135 Ivy St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
2 FAMILY HOUSE CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN, HUGE KITCHENS. NEEDS A LOVING TOUCH. SOLD AS IS.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Near shopping
- Full attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,156/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $140k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.71%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,472
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325 Box Ave | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (-2%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 141 Moselle St | 0.10mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (+11%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $17 | 65 |
| 27 Rohr St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,747 (+12%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 95 Carl St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,632 (+4%) | 4mo | $84,000 | $51 | 57 |
| 106 Koons Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,421 (-9%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $56 | 56 |
| 587 Goodyear Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,362 (-13%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $99 | 53 |
| 70 Kilhoffer St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,591 (+2%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $57 | 52 |
| 89 Wyoming Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,408 (-10%) | 3mo | $85,101 | $60 | 49 |
| 262 Sumner Pl | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,660 (+6%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $43 | 46 |
| 125 Gatchell St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (+6%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $48 | 45 |
| 221 May St | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,794 (+15%) | 8mo | $91,000 | $51 | 42 |
| 509 Winslow Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,731 (+11%) | 18mo | $40,000 | $23 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $107,171
- Equity at exit
- $55,592
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $254,369
- Equity at exit
- $80,340
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,156 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$663
- Net cashflow
- $1,526
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 5 | 2 | $3,156 |
| #1 | 5 | 2 | $1,578 |
| #2 | 5 | 2 | $1,578 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,156 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1848 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 73 Inter Park Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2080 | $1,300 | $0.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $3,226 | $2.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2004 | $1,200 | $0.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-03-13$139,999 Active
-
2020-12-08soldstatus $50,000
-
2020-06-05soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
2 FAMILY HOUSE CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN, HUGE KITCHENS. NEEDS A LOVING TOUCH. SOLD AS IS.
-
2020-06-04soldstatus $35,000
-
2020-04-13status Pending Sale 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
2 FAMILY HOUSE CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN, HUGE KITCHENS. NEEDS A LOVING TOUCH. SOLD AS IS.
-
2020-03-24status Under Contract- Do Not Show 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
2 FAMILY HOUSE CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN, HUGE KITCHENS. NEEDS A LOVING TOUCH. SOLD AS IS.
-
2020-03-17$40,000 Active 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
2 FAMILY HOUSE CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN, HUGE KITCHENS. NEEDS A LOVING TOUCH. SOLD AS IS.
-
2015-09-23soldstatus $30,000
-
2015-09-22soldstatus $30,000 Closed Sale or Rented 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
GREAT INCOME PROPERTY IN GOOD CONDITION. LONG TERM TENANT WANT TO STAY.
-
2015-08-28status Pending Sale 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
GREAT INCOME PROPERTY IN GOOD CONDITION. LONG TERM TENANT WANT TO STAY.
-
2015-08-03$34,900 Active 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
GREAT INCOME PROPERTY IN GOOD CONDITION. LONG TERM TENANT WANT TO STAY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,030
- − Management
- −$3,030
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $17,098
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+301.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $139,999 WNYREIS
- 2020-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2020-06-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
- 2020-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-13 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2020-03-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2020-03-17 Listed $40,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-22 Sold (MLS) $30,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-08-28 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2015-08-03 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $191 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…