8234 Eden Ln · Palmyra, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,480 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 34.6% vs local median 3.6% in Palmyra — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#204 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Pennsauken Township Board Of Education School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #410 of 472 in NJ (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $65k implies a 491% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.17%
- DSCR
- 5.50
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $305,030
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8453 Sheppard Rd | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $186 | 66 |
| 8461 Holman Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,296 (-0%) | 15mo | $305,000 | $235 | 66 |
| 8220 Stow Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,272 (-2%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $252 | 66 |
| 8412 Bannard Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,216 (-6%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $160 | 64 |
| 8455 Balfour Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,199 (-8%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $238 | 62 |
| 7904 Day Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,456 (+12%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 1556 Velde Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $260 | 55 |
| 7318 Zimmerman Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,321 (+2%) | 7mo | $360,000 | $273 | 47 |
| 808 Velde Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+12%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $183 | 43 |
| 7322 Pleasant Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,446 (+11%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $201 | 39 |
| 236 Curtis Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+11%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $225 | 31 |
| 7325 Remington Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-13%) | 15mo | $302,000 | $267 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.79×
- Total profit
- $87,236
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.10×
- Total profit
- $201,962
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08110
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,511 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$527
- Net cashflow
- $1,534
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,579 | -5% $1,557 | +0% $1,534 | +5% $1,512 | +10% $1,490 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,336 | -5% $1,435 | +0% $1,534 | +5% $1,634 | +10% $1,733 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,567 | -0.5pp $1,551 | base $1,534 | +0.5pp $1,518 | +1.0pp $1,500 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8117 Stow Rd Pennsauken, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,450 | $2.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7406 Jackson Ave Pennsauken, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,900 | $2.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2100 Haddonfield Rd Pennsauken, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $2,833 | $3.13 | 2d | 33 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-11-18status Pending
-
2025-11-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-04$65,000 Active
-
1969-10-09soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,411
- − Management
- −$2,411
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $18,479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,435
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pennsauken Township Board Of Education School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412870
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,336
- Composite
- 20.48/100
- National rank
- #8573
- State rank
- #410 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Palmyra
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #5735
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 7,447
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,158
- Household income
- $83,729
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 30% White 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 35% Vietnamese 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.44%
- Current HPI
- 436.2879
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+490.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-04 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1969-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,919 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…