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2702 S 540th LOOP #43
D+ Composite 49.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$20,000

2702 S 540th LOOP #43 · Logan, NM 88426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other · 1 Days on market
Built 1977

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 2 full bath mobile home in Lakeside Trailer Park in Logan. Newly remodeled tile shower. New toilets in both bathrooms. Swamp cooler and one evaporative cooler. This unit does not have a heater, but a split unit could be added for about $1500. Trailer park fees are $2000 per year plus electric billed quarterly.

Key facts

  • New toilets
  • Evaporative cooler
  • Built 1977

Tags

NEWLY REMODELED TILE SHOWERNEW TOILETSEVAPORATIVE COOLER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $878 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#134 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Logan Municipal Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #20 of 95 in NM (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $627 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $489 appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Quay County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $20,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.43%
Cap rate
58.98%
Cash-on-cash
188.17%
DSCR
9.37
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.32×
Total profit
$57,777
Equity at exit
$8,376
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.87×
Total profit
$128,066
Equity at exit
$12,448

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88426

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$878

Break-even live

Break-even rent $175
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 27%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $892 -5% $885 +0% $878 +5% $871 +10% $864
Rent -10% $776 -5% $827 +0% $878 +5% $929 +10% $980
Rate -1.0pp $888 -0.5pp $883 base $878 +0.5pp $873 +1.0pp $868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $20,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,438
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$10,866
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,608
After-tax cash flow
$7,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Logan Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3501590
Math proficiency
24%
Reading proficiency
47%
Median HH income
$35,864
Composite
31.98/100
National rank
#11025
State rank
#20 of 95 in NM

Livability — Logan

Score
59/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#20476

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Logan, NM
Population (ZIP)
997

Population outlook (Quay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,255 people
By 2030
6,656 · -8.3%
By 2040
5,560 · -23.4%
By 2050
4,702 · -35.2%
By 2075
3,404 · -53.1%
By 2100
2,593 · -64.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Quay

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 28.5% · R 69.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.5pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+37.8 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.45%
Current HPI
134.4989
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $20,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…