2013 State St · Alton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Earnest Money goes to Serenity Title. Check out this 3 bedroom 1 bath investment opportunity or ownership. This home is move in ready and priced to sell. The 3rd bedroom is the back of the house separate from the other 2 bedrooms. Nice location- 10 minutes or so from downtown Alton or the Clark Bridge. This home features a walk out basement as well. Buyer/agent to verify all MLS data.
Key facts
- 5,998 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Outside parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Private ownership; House structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Basement (full, unfinished with storage and walk-out access)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Gentle sloping lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 6.4% in Alton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities D-.
- Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.13%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,316
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 904 Mckinley Blvd | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-1%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $135 | 80 |
| 1913 State St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,023 (-6%) | 1mo | $132,500 | $130 | 80 |
| 823 Douglas St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,099 (+1%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $109 | 79 |
| 607 Miller St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,029 (-6%) | 8mo | $71,000 | $69 | 74 |
| 2221 Norside Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-11%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $87 | 71 |
| 815 Hawley Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-8%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $129 | 69 |
| 2201 State St | 0.11mi | 2/0.5 (-1) | 984 (-10%) | 4mo | $84,900 | $86 | 68 |
| 225 Mounier St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $95 | 63 |
| 2105 Holland St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+8%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $127 | 62 |
| 415 Mather St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,130 (+4%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 915 Mckinley Blvd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+14%) | 9mo | $153,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 1409 Monroe St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (+13%) | 7mo | $34,900 | $28 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,663
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $34,360
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62002
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,280/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3108 Alby St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1232 Surrey Ct Godfrey, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $970 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1110 George St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,019 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 484-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,280 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,280 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$2,280
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1703600
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,257
- Composite
- 11.34/100
- National rank
- #9710
- State rank
- #544 of 620 in IL
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #14289
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 29,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,543
- Household income
- $61,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.43%
- Current HPI
- 194.7313
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+399.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2024-08-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-24 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-02 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-07 Listed $20,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,280 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…