9137 Rucker Rd · Trenton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
Key facts
- 0.53 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (32.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (32.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.9% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#15 in MI, #250 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Grosse Ile Township Schools (suburban): math 50% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #38 of 540 in MI (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Grosse Ile Middle School (math 41% / reading 62%, grade C, #102 of 493 statewide, top 21%, 407 students, 11% FRL); Grosse Ile High School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B-, #46 of 713 statewide, top 7%, 524 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $240k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.45%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $386,485
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -22.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9137 Rucker Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 1,807 (0%) | 1mo | $304,000 | $168 | 95 |
| 27853 Johnson Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-3%) | 6mo | $450,000 | $257 | 52 |
| 8589 Lake Rd | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,633 (-10%) | 22mo | $239,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 27627 Elba Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,718 (-5%) | 4mo | $640,000 | $373 | 48 |
| 27908 Elba Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,628 (-10%) | 14mo | $400,000 | $246 | 37 |
| 27780 Johnson Rd | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 | 1,611 (-11%) | 13mo | $335,000 | $208 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-64,089
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-76,059
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48138
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,016 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,629/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $-241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-71 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-241 | +5% $-326 | +10% $-411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-400 | -5% $-321 | +0% $-241 | +5% $-162 | +10% $-82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-90 | -0.5pp $-165 | base $-241 | +0.5pp $-319 | +1.0pp $-398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-05-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-05-01price $300,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-30status Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-30price $300,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-30status Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-30status Active
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-30price $300,000
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-14status Pending 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-14status Pending 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-10$299,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-10$299,900 Active
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-10$299,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-08historical $299,900 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2026-04-08historical $299,900
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Instant equity in this spacious Colonial on over 1/2 acre of land with large wooded fenced yard. Updated Eat-In kitchen opens to family room with fireplace and door-wall to deck. Formal dining room opens to large living room. Four big bedrooms upstairs including a primary bedroom with its own full bath. Partially finished basement with laundry and work area. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Electrical wiring for hot tub next to deck. Large attached 2 car garage and shed for storage.
-
2005-06-24soldstatus $240,000
-
2005-05-18soldstatus $240,000
-
2005-05-18soldstatus $240,000
-
2005-05-12historical
-
2005-04-05historical
-
2005-02-02$249,000
-
2005-02-02$249,000
-
2004-11-12$269,000
-
2004-11-12$269,000
-
1996-01-12soldstatus $171,000
-
1992-11-09soldstatus $153,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,629 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,125 · $260/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,495/yr (+$125/mo · 91.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$1,629
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,936
- − Management
- −$1,936
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$8,337
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $-893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grosse Ile Township Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617220
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,099
- Composite
- 52.27/100
- National rank
- #1597
- State rank
- #38 of 540 in MI
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,603
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.87%
- Current HPI
- 204.4348
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+96.1% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $299,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $299,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $299,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $299,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $299,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-18 Sold (MLS) $240,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-05-18 Sold (MLS) $240,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-05-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-04-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-02-02 Listed $249,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-02-02 Listed $249,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-12 Listed $269,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-12 Listed $269,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $171,000 Public Records
- 1992-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,629 · -63.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…