1012 State St · Eldorado, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE DROP!! Motivated sellers. Beautiful, spacious home perfect for a family in a great location! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits in the heart of historic downtown Eldorado on State Street, just minutes from Ferrell Hospital. The home features a grand concrete front porch with a swing that's perfect for enjoying your morning coffee or relaxing in the evenings. Inside, you’ll find a large great room and a primary bedroom with hidden ceiling fans and elegant remote-controlled light fixtures. Lots of updates: new roof/gutters, new oven, microwave. Central Air & Furnace (2021), Refrigerator (2022), Gas Dryer (2022). Upstairs offers three additional bedrooms, a spacious landing, and a full bath, providing plenty of room for family or guests.
Key facts
- Hidden ceiling fans
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#658 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Eldorado CUSD 4 (town): math 11% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #526 of 620 in IL (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Eldorado Elem School (math 8% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,627 of 2,056 statewide, top 81%, 545 students, 0% FRL); Eldorado Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 231 students, 0% FRL); Eldorado High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #506 of 693 statewide, top 74%, 301 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saline County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $115k implies a 271% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.86%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,107
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 18.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1813 Smith St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,684 (-2%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 2017 State St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,716 (+0%) | 22mo | $140,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 2408 Glenwood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (+11%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $58 | 30 |
| 900 Park St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-15%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $79 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,363
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $31,314
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62930
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $345
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $425 | -5% $385 | +0% $345 | +5% $305 | +10% $266 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $231 | -5% $288 | +0% $345 | +5% $402 | +10% $459 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $374 | base $345 | +0.5pp $315 | +1.0pp $285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $115,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-14price $115,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-05-18price $129,000 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
PRICE DROP!! Motivated sellers. Beautiful, spacious home perfect for a family in a great location! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits in the heart of historic downtown Eldorado on State Street, just minutes from Ferrell Hospital. The home features a grand concrete front porch with a swing that's perfect for enjoying your morning coffee or relaxing in the evenings. Inside, you’ll find a large great room and a primary bedroom with hidden ceiling fans and elegant remote-controlled light fixtures. Lots of updates: new roof/gutters, new oven, microwave. Central Air & Furnace (2021), Refrigerator (2022), Gas Dryer (2022). Upstairs offers three additional bedrooms, a spacious landing, and a full bath, providing plenty of room for family or guests.
-
2026-04-15price $143,000 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
PRICE DROP!! Motivated sellers. Beautiful, spacious home perfect for a family in a great location! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits in the heart of historic downtown Eldorado on State Street, just minutes from Ferrell Hospital. The home features a grand concrete front porch with a swing that's perfect for enjoying your morning coffee or relaxing in the evenings. Inside, you’ll find a large great room and a primary bedroom with hidden ceiling fans and elegant remote-controlled light fixtures. Lots of updates: new roof/gutters, new oven, microwave. Central Air & Furnace (2021), Refrigerator (2022), Gas Dryer (2022). Upstairs offers three additional bedrooms, a spacious landing, and a full bath, providing plenty of room for family or guests.
-
2026-03-14$149,000 Active 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
PRICE DROP!! Motivated sellers. Beautiful, spacious home perfect for a family in a great location! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits in the heart of historic downtown Eldorado on State Street, just minutes from Ferrell Hospital. The home features a grand concrete front porch with a swing that's perfect for enjoying your morning coffee or relaxing in the evenings. Inside, you’ll find a large great room and a primary bedroom with hidden ceiling fans and elegant remote-controlled light fixtures. Lots of updates: new roof/gutters, new oven, microwave. Central Air & Furnace (2021), Refrigerator (2022), Gas Dryer (2022). Upstairs offers three additional bedrooms, a spacious landing, and a full bath, providing plenty of room for family or guests.
-
2021-11-22soldstatus $31,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Nice story and half home with 4 bdrms, and 2 baths, large living room, nice sized kitchen, playroom area for kids, covered front porch, deck in the back, basement for storage, white vinyl fencing around part of back yard.
-
2021-11-22soldstatus $31,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Nice story and half home with 4 bdrms, and 2 baths, large living room, nice sized kitchen, playroom area for kids, covered front porch, deck in the back, basement for storage, white vinyl fencing around part of back yard.
-
2021-08-06historical
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2021-08-06historical
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2021-05-11$24,900 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Nice story and half home with 4 bdrms, and 2 baths, large living room, nice sized kitchen, playroom area for kids, covered front porch, deck in the back, basement for storage, white vinyl fencing around part of back yard.
-
2021-05-11$24,900 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Nice story and half home with 4 bdrms, and 2 baths, large living room, nice sized kitchen, playroom area for kids, covered front porch, deck in the back, basement for storage, white vinyl fencing around part of back yard.
-
2012-02-24historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$589
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eldorado CUSD 4
- NCES district ID
- 1713660
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,707
- Composite
- 12.47/100
- National rank
- #9627
- State rank
- #526 of 620 in IL
Livability — Eldorado
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #658
- US rank
- #13492
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eldorado, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,763
Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,915 people
- By 2030
- 23,262 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 21,775 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 20,098 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 15,234 · -36.3%
- By 2100
- 10,302 · -56.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Saline
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 24.8% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.64%
- Current HPI
- 75.0826
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+418.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $129,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $143,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-14 Listed $149,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-11 Listed $24,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-11 Listed $24,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-17.8%/yrLatest (2024): $153 · +30496.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…