27 Park Ave · Old Greenwich, CT
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.07%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
$1,795,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Build your dream home on this lovely southwest-facing 0.22-acre lot, ideally located south of the Village in sought-after Old Greenwich. Just around the corner from the train, town, schools, Tod's Point beach, and Binney Park, the location is truly exceptional. Surrounded by beautiful homes and featuring advantageous setbacks, this property offers the perfect setting to create a custom new residence. Property to be sold in as-is condition. Survey available in the documents tab. Appointments are required to visit and walk the property. Please contact your Realtor to arrange access through the Listing Agent
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1949; Asphalt roof; Clapboard siding; Zoned R-12
- Construction: Clapboard construction; Asphalt roof; Built in 1949
- Exterior features: Level, park-like lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.79M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-22k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.48M (17.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.17M (35.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.17M (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#108 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Greenwich School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #12 of 153 in CT (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Old Greenwich School (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A, #28 of 553 statewide, top 7%, 406 students, 2% FRL); Eastern Middle School (math 75% / reading 81%, grade A+, #2 of 175 statewide, top 1%, 784 students, 6% FRL); Greenwich High School (math 59% / reading 78%, grade B, #23 of 194 statewide, top 12%, 2,668 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,675/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($250k/yr) (locally 143% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $181k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $169k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$291k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.30%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $787,820
- Equity at exit
- $1,537,909
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $2,391,585
- Equity at exit
- $3,235,777
Cash invested: $502,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06870
- Home prices YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,675 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$9,413
- Tax from tax record
- −$863 /mo · $10,357/yr
- Insurance
- −$748
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,452
- Net cashflow
- $-1,801
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-785 | -5% $-1,293 | +0% $-1,801 | +5% $-2,309 | +10% $-2,817 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,723 | -5% $-2,262 | +0% $-1,801 | +5% $-1,340 | +10% $-878 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-897 | -0.5pp $-1,344 | base $-1,801 | +0.5pp $-2,266 | +1.0pp $-2,739 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $448,750
- Closing costs
- $53,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Highview Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $10,000 | $9.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 143 Sound Beach Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1269 | $12,985 | $10.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 51 Forest Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1737 | $8,150 | $4.69 | 5d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 51 Benjamin St Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $8,500 | $5.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 30 Noble St Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1304 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 39 Southfield Ave Unit A Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,399 | $3.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 37 Southfield Ave Unit A Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,199 | $3.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 37 Southfield Ave Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,099 | $3.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 30 Mary Ln Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1255 | $6,200 | $4.94 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10 Miltiades Ave Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $7,600 | $5.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 45 N Sound Beach Ave Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $9,500 | $7.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 45 Thornhill Rd Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $6,500 | $4.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 18 Cary Rd Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $6,950 | $4.83 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $1,795,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,795,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,795,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $1,795,000 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (612 chars)
Build your dream home on this lovely southwest-facing 0.22-acre lot, ideally located south of the Village in sought-after Old Greenwich. Just around the corner from the train, town, schools, Tod's Point beach, and Binney Park, the location is truly exceptional. Surrounded by beautiful homes and featuring advantageous setbacks, this property offers the perfect setting to create a custom new residence. Property to be sold in as-is condition. Survey available in the documents tab. Appointments are required to visit and walk the property. Please contact your Realtor to arrange access through the Listing Agent
-
2026-05-22historical $1,795,000
Show marketing remark (612 chars)
Build your dream home on this lovely southwest-facing 0.22-acre lot, ideally located south of the Village in sought-after Old Greenwich. Just around the corner from the train, town, schools, Tod's Point beach, and Binney Park, the location is truly exceptional. Surrounded by beautiful homes and featuring advantageous setbacks, this property offers the perfect setting to create a custom new residence. Property to be sold in as-is condition. Survey available in the documents tab. Appointments are required to visit and walk the property. Please contact your Realtor to arrange access through the Listing Agent
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,357 · $863/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $24,385 · $2,032/mo
- Expected delta
- +$14,028/yr (+$1,169/mo · 135.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 7% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $140,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$100,548
- − Property taxes
- −$10,357
- − Insurance
- −$8,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,208
- − Management
- −$11,208
- − Depreciation
- −$52,218
- Taxable loss
- −$54,412
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$13,059
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenwich School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901710
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $129,257
- Composite
- 65.67/100
- National rank
- #461
- State rank
- #12 of 153 in CT
Livability — Old Greenwich
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #9415
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Old Greenwich, CT
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 7,903
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,864
- Household income
- $250,001
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 143.0
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 10% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.39%
- Current HPI
- 205.9983
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — GMLS
- 2026-06-02 Pending — GMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $1,795,000 GMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $1,795,000 GMLS
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $1,795,000 GMLS
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $1,795,000 GMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2023): $10,357 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…