77912 Michigan Dr Unit A6a · Palm Desert, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice Condominium located near shopping, schools, restaurants! For info please call (760)567-1882
Key facts
- $214 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1963
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.4% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 635 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $195k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.14%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $210,748
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -7.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-25,645
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-30,209
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92211
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 635
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,097 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,806/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$214
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $243 | +0% $188 | +5% $133 | +10% $78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $23 | -5% $105 | +0% $188 | +5% $271 | +10% $354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $238 | base $188 | +0.5pp $138 | +1.0pp $86 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77845 California Dr Unit D2 Palm Desert, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,950 | $2.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 77845 California Dr Unit D2 Palm Desert, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 6d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 77835 California Dr Unit C1 Palm Desert, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,700 | $2.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 77805 California Dr Palm Desert, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 77901 Dudley Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,975 | $2.08 | 6d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 42780 Washington St Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,750 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 43065 Washington St Unit 14 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,100 | $2.15 | 11d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 43065 Washington St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,000 | $2.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 77380 Minnesota Ave Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,750 | $2.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 43100 Palm Royale Dr La Quinta, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $2,060 | $2.24 | 0d | 8 | 0.49mi |
| 41773 Preston Trl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $6,000 | $5.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 40880 Whirling Wind Dr Unit C Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,800 | $3.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 78601 Avenue 42 Unit B Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 78601 Avenue 42 Unit A Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 77818 Calypso Rd Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $1,950 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 77179 Pauma Valley Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $3,200 | $3.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 42680 Wisconsin Ave Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 77795 Sunnybrook Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,800 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 41691 Kansas St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $5,000 | $4.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 78149 Indigo Dr La Quinta, CA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 763 | $2,300 | $3.01 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 78069 Cobalt Ct La Quinta, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $3,500 | $4.59 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 40657 Preston Trl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,850 | $3.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 78301 Terra Cotta Ct La Quinta, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $2,200 | $2.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 78650 Ave 42 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,080 | $2.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 40595 Preston Trl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,100 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 40215 Harris Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,825 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 78167 Crimson Ct La Quinta, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $2,180 | $2.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 40461 Bay Hill Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 40300 Washington St Bermuda Dunes, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $1,810 | $2.09 | 0d | 16 | 1.04mi |
| 40420 Bay Hill Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,995 | $3.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 78650 Avenue 42 #616 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,500 | $2.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 78650 Avenue 42 #505 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,900 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 42205 Adams St Unit 4 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 78435 Magenta Dr La Quinta, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $3,500 | $3.84 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 78650 Avenue 42 #901 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,350 | $2.45 | 6d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 78981 Savanna La Mar Dr Unit D1 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,295 | $2.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 77402 Preston Trl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $3,200 | $3.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 79090 Avenue 42 Bermuda Dunes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $2,211 | $2.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 77361 Preston Trl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,800 | $2.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 78490 Via Palomino Unit 101 La Quinta, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,800 | $3.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $214 · $2,568/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-01-16$195,000 Active 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Nice Condominium located near shopping, schools, restaurants! For info please call (760)567-1882
-
2016-04-18soldstatus $95,000 Sold 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Lovely upstairs condo with private patio in front with view of Palm Desert Country Club Community Clubhouse directly across the street with pool, spa, park and exercise classes held weekly. The large one bedroom home has newer carpet and recently painted. The kitchen features a dishwasher, stove and stackable washer/dryer. The home has new wooden window blinds in Living Room & kitchen. End unit so very private with separate stairway.
-
2016-04-15soldstatus $90,000
-
2016-03-30status Pending 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Lovely upstairs condo with private patio in front with view of Palm Desert Country Club Community Clubhouse directly across the street with pool, spa, park and exercise classes held weekly. The large one bedroom home has newer carpet and recently painted. The kitchen features a dishwasher, stove and stackable washer/dryer. The home has new wooden window blinds in Living Room & kitchen. End unit so very private with separate stairway.
-
2016-02-29$95,000 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Lovely upstairs condo with private patio in front with view of Palm Desert Country Club Community Clubhouse directly across the street with pool, spa, park and exercise classes held weekly. The large one bedroom home has newer carpet and recently painted. The kitchen features a dishwasher, stove and stackable washer/dryer. The home has new wooden window blinds in Living Room & kitchen. End unit so very private with separate stairway.
-
2009-04-01historical
-
2009-03-19price $69,900
-
2009-02-18price $74,900
-
2009-01-29price $79,900
-
2008-12-10price $84,900
-
2008-11-07$89,900
-
2005-09-06soldstatus $170,000
-
2005-07-19historical
-
2005-06-07$169,900
-
2004-02-20soldstatus $92,000
-
2004-01-16historical
-
2003-11-01$96,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,806 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,806 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,165
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$1,806
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,013
- − Management
- −$2,013
- − HOA
- −$2,568
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$807
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Desert
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1050
- US rank
- #25164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Desert, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 58,615
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,092
- Household income
- $88,477
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1181.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.92%
- Current HPI
- 233.4619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.30%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+103.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listed $195,000 GPSMLS
- 2016-04-18 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GPSMLS
- 2016-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-30 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2016-02-29 Listed $95,000 GPSMLS
- 2009-04-01 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2009-03-19 Price Changed $69,900 GPSMLS
- 2009-02-18 Price Changed $74,900 GPSMLS
- 2009-01-29 Price Changed $79,900 GPSMLS
- 2008-12-10 Price Changed $84,900 GPSMLS
- 2008-11-07 Listed $89,900 GPSMLS
- 2005-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-19 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2005-06-07 Listed $169,900 GPSMLS
- 2004-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-16 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2003-11-01 Listed $96,000 GPSMLS
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,806 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…