608 Union St · Rome, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,300
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property does need work but has solid bones and at this price offers a tremendous opportunity to customize. Open kitchen, some classic woodwork, detached garage, and private yard offer an excellent opportunity for owner occupants or savvy investors!!
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- Brand-new windows
- Two-inch insulation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $169k implies a 1512% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.79%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,308
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 William St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (+0%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $57 | 87 |
| 623 W Thomas St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,327 (-6%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $132 | 81 |
| 752 N Jay St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+0%) | 1mo | $111,000 | $79 | 78 |
| 633 W Thomas St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,365 (-3%) | 8mo | $127,200 | $93 | 74 |
| 533 William St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,484 (+6%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $121 | 73 |
| 511 Elm St | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,271 (-10%) | 6mo | $161,060 | $127 | 65 |
| 926 W Thomas St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,476 (+5%) | 4mo | $193,000 | $131 | 62 |
| 927 Croton St St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (-8%) | 1mo | $176,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 208 Mcrae St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,416 (+1%) | 9mo | $178,000 | $126 | 56 |
| 1011 North Madison | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,608 (+14%) | 1mo | $203,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 1100 Jervis Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,326 (-6%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $143 | 50 |
| 325 Mcrae St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,582 (+13%) | 4mo | $201,000 | $127 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,327
- Equity at exit
- $25,243
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $23,802
- Equity at exit
- $14,638
Cash invested: $47,404 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13440
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$888
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,325
- Closing costs
- $5,079
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1027 Elwood St Rome, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 251 Liam Ln Unit 251 Rome, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,750 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1611 Craig St Rome, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 183 W Dominick St Rome, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $904 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7805 Merrick Rd Unit 201 Rome, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 149 River St Unit 2 Rome, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract
-
2026-05-12$169,300 Active
-
2026-04-21historical
-
2026-01-09price $184,000
-
2025-11-23price $189,900
-
2025-11-08price $197,000
-
2025-10-21$205,000 Active
-
2016-04-25soldstatus $10,500 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Property does need work but has solid bones and at this price offers a tremendous opportunity to customize. Open kitchen, some classic woodwork, detached garage, and private yard offer an excellent opportunity for owner occupants or savvy investors!!
-
2016-01-12$17,900 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Property does need work but has solid bones and at this price offers a tremendous opportunity to customize. Open kitchen, some classic woodwork, detached garage, and private yard offer an excellent opportunity for owner occupants or savvy investors!!
-
2000-10-02soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,809 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,335 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$526/yr (+$44/mo · 29.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,122
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,483
- − Property taxes
- −$1,809
- − Insurance
- −$846
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$4,925
- Taxable income
- $1,519
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rome City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624900
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,406
- Composite
- 34.52/100
- National rank
- #5178
- State rank
- #516 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rome, NY
- City population
- 41,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,273
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.58%
- Current HPI
- 339.3589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+260.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $169,300 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-21 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $184,000 CNYIS
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $189,900 CNYIS
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $197,000 CNYIS
- 2025-10-21 Listed $205,000 CNYIS
- 2016-04-25 Sold (MLS) $10,500 CNYIS
- 2016-01-12 Listed $17,900 CNYIS
- 2000-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,809 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…