1133 Milton St · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering spacious living areas and excellent potential. Recent updates include new windows and siding. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and other local amenities. Property is being sold as-is and is ready for your personal touches and improvements.
Key facts
- New siding
- Conveniently located
- New windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area listed as 1,344 (square footage withheld from interior/exterior sections per instructions)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential site-built home; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab and block foundation; Originally built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 41 x 100
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Window treatments; Partial, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 7% / reading 6%, grade F, #964 of 994 statewide, top 97%, 467 students, 86% FRL); Jackson Middle School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #326 of 330 statewide, top 99%, 528 students, 82% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.10%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,806
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -23.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1133 Milton St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $63 | 100 |
| 922 Milton St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (0%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $45 | 87 |
| 1149 E Indiana Ave | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $67 | 82 |
| 1112 E Fox St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 2mo | $148,500 | $114 | 81 |
| 918 E Bowman St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $62 | 76 |
| 1522 E Ewing Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,411 (+5%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $156 | 63 |
| 2609 Rush St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,332 (-1%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $125 | 63 |
| 1725 E Ewing Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-3%) | 0mo | $170,835 | $131 | 57 |
| 2517 Erskine Blvd | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 316 E Dayton St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $65 | 48 |
| 201 E Bowman St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 0mo | $51,000 | $35 | 47 |
| 1202 S Twyckenham Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $135 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $15,745
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $56,351
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46613
- Home prices YoY
- -7.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $438
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 Miami St Unit 1912 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1149 E Indiana Ave South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1126 E Broadway St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,365 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2114 High St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 909 E Fairview Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 821 E Fairview Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,399 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 317 E Indiana Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1729 E Calvert St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 202 E Calvert St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $999 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 525 E Eckman St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 214 Altgeld St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 114 Altgeld St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,399 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 405 E Woodside St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1106 S 20th St South Bend, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1007 E Chippewa Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,399 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3406 Whitcomb Ave South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1665 | $7,887 | $4.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 819 S 24th St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,795 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 754 S 23rd St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 913 E Washington St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 911 E Washington St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2002 Catalpa Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 116 N Notre Dame Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1524 | $1,295 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13$85,000 Active 291-char remark
-
2024-11-11price $95,000
-
2024-10-23price $109,000
-
2024-08-28price $118,000
-
2024-08-03price $128,000
-
2024-06-28$134,900 Active
-
2012-03-13soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,711
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,167
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,337
- − Management
- −$1,337
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,011
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 99,767
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,279
- Household income
- $42,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.88%
- Current HPI
- 270.0303
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+240.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $85,000 IRMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $85,000 IRMLS
- 2024-11-11 Price Changed $95,000 IRMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $109,000 IRMLS
- 2024-08-28 Price Changed $118,000 IRMLS
- 2024-08-03 Price Changed $128,000 IRMLS
- 2024-06-28 Listed $134,900 IRMLS
- 2012-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,167 · +23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…