85 Ralph Barnes Ln · Fort Ashby, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity in rural Fort Ashby, WV! Detached bungalow-style home situated in a quiet setting offering 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, attached 1-car garage, unfinished basement, and upper-level bonus room/finished attic area. Property in need of significant repairs and updates and being sold strictly as-is. Seller will make no repairs. Per the local water department, water service is currently not able to be activated due to a reported plumbing issue within the property. Electric service is on; however, buyers should exercise caution and perform all inspections and due diligence prior to activation or use of utilities. Public records may reference the property address as Route 46; however, the ph
Key facts
- 0.7 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached side-entry garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric service
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built year estimated
- Exterior features: Outside city limits; No tidal water on the lot; Above-grade living space present
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Oil fuel for heating; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living room; Bonus room
- Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($934 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#206 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D, employment D.
- Mineral County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #32 of 55 in WV (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Mineral County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $841 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Mineral County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,608
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 S Old Mill Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 4mo | $176,000 | $175 | 73 |
| 643 Dans Run Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,130 (+12%) | 4mo | $227,000 | $201 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $11,165
- Equity at exit
- $28,941
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $38,040
- Equity at exit
- $38,427
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26719
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $934 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-10$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$896
- − Management
- −$896
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to modern standards, significantly improving its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen flooring — Severe wear and tear
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Outdated and peeling
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Dirty and outdated
- Major Exterior siding — Weathered and missing sections
- Major Windows — Dirty and missing screens
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New flooring in kitchen and living areas — Modern flooring improves aesthetics and value
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Up-to-date kitchen enhances functionality and appeal
- Resale New bathroom fixtures and paint — Fresh bathroom improves functionality and value
- Resale New exterior siding and paint — Fresh exterior enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale New windows with screens — Improved aesthetics and functionality
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen flooring · Severe wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Outdated and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dirty and outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered and missing sections | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Dirty and missing screens | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New flooring in kitchen and living areas — Modern flooring improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Up-to-date kitchen enhances functionality and appeal ↑
- Resale New bathroom fixtures and paint — Fresh bathroom improves functionality and value ↑
- Resale New exterior siding and paint — Fresh exterior enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale New windows with screens — Improved aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mineral County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400870
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,161
- Composite
- 24.85/100
- National rank
- #7590
- State rank
- #32 of 55 in WV
Livability — Fort Ashby
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #18312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Ashby, WV
- City population
- 2,020
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,020
Population outlook (Mineral County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,357 people
- By 2030
- 24,009 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 21,321 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 18,801 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 13,934 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 10,141 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mineral
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.99%
- Current HPI
- 152.6705
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…