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1211 S Ninth St
B Composite 73.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$60,000

1211 S Ninth St · Mena, AR 71953
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,710 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 1970 10,454 sqft lot ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling All Renovators and History Buffs! This captivating home boasts original woodwork throughout, waiting to be brought back to its former glory. While the house needs TLC, the potential for a stunning restoration is undeniable. This gem sits on a spacious corner lot, offering extra yard space and a touch of privacy. Conveniently situated, you'll enjoy easy access to all the necessities and amenities in our area. This unique property offers a perfect blend of character and location. Roll up your sleeves and turn this house into a showstopper. Close to downtonw Mena! AGENTS PLEASE SEE REMARKS

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • Historic home
  • Detached

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTHISTORIC HOMEPRIME IN-TOWN LOCATIONWALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWNNEW MOUNTAIN BIKE TRAIL SYSTEMDETACHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 88 x 120 (0.24 acre)
  • Financial info: Financing options include conventional loan, owner financing possible, or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Frame construction; Inside city limits
  • Construction: Frame exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Paved road access; Level, corner lot with mountain and vista views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Formica counters
  • Bedrooms: Includes living spaces and den/family room (see room list for layout)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; Gas space heater
  • Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Gas water heater; Built-in shelving/cabinetry; Formica kitchen countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 3.1% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $711 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $60k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
20.05%
Cash-on-cash
49.13%
DSCR
3.19
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1809 Bethesda Rd 0.50mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,608 (-6%) 21mo $129,000 $80 40
205 Ninth St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,915 (+12%) 6mo $100,000 $52 33
1006 Reine St 0.72mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,528 (-11%) 22mo $325,000 $213 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.0%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$38,774
Equity at exit
$13,952
10-year hold
IRR
52.8%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$94,494
Equity at exit
$14,202

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71953

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $271/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$688

Break-even live

Break-even rent $458
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $722 -5% $705 +0% $688 +5% $671 +10% $654
Rent -10% $583 -5% $635 +0% $688 +5% $740 +10% $793
Rate -1.0pp $718 -0.5pp $703 base $688 +0.5pp $672 +1.0pp $656

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 129 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 127 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 126 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 125 DOM
  16. 2026-01-25
    listed $60,000 New Listing
  17. 2025-07-14
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Calling All Renovators and History Buffs! This captivating home boasts original woodwork throughout, waiting to be brought back to its former glory. While the house needs TLC, the potential for a stunning restoration is undeniable. This gem sits on a spacious corner lot, offering extra yard space and a touch of privacy. Conveniently situated, you'll enjoy easy access to all the necessities and amenities in our area. This unique property offers a perfect blend of character and location. Roll up your sleeves and turn this house into a showstopper. Close to downtonw Mena! AGENTS PLEASE SEE REMARKS

  18. 2025-07-07
    status Under Contract 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Calling All Renovators and History Buffs! This captivating home boasts original woodwork throughout, waiting to be brought back to its former glory. While the house needs TLC, the potential for a stunning restoration is undeniable. This gem sits on a spacious corner lot, offering extra yard space and a touch of privacy. Conveniently situated, you'll enjoy easy access to all the necessities and amenities in our area. This unique property offers a perfect blend of character and location. Roll up your sleeves and turn this house into a showstopper. Close to downtonw Mena! AGENTS PLEASE SEE REMARKS

  19. 2025-07-03
    historical Take Backups 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Calling All Renovators and History Buffs! This captivating home boasts original woodwork throughout, waiting to be brought back to its former glory. While the house needs TLC, the potential for a stunning restoration is undeniable. This gem sits on a spacious corner lot, offering extra yard space and a touch of privacy. Conveniently situated, you'll enjoy easy access to all the necessities and amenities in our area. This unique property offers a perfect blend of character and location. Roll up your sleeves and turn this house into a showstopper. Close to downtonw Mena! AGENTS PLEASE SEE REMARKS

  20. 2025-05-15
    listed $45,000 New Listing 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Calling All Renovators and History Buffs! This captivating home boasts original woodwork throughout, waiting to be brought back to its former glory. While the house needs TLC, the potential for a stunning restoration is undeniable. This gem sits on a spacious corner lot, offering extra yard space and a touch of privacy. Conveniently situated, you'll enjoy easy access to all the necessities and amenities in our area. This unique property offers a perfect blend of character and location. Roll up your sleeves and turn this house into a showstopper. Close to downtonw Mena! AGENTS PLEASE SEE REMARKS

  21. 2025-05-05
    historical
  22. 2024-11-01
    listed $60,000 New Listing
  23. 2024-09-16
    historical
  24. 2024-03-20
    status Back on Market
  25. 2024-03-19
    historical Take Backups
  26. 2024-03-18
    listed $75,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$271 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$384 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$113/yr (+$9/mo · 41.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,949
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$271
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$7,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,853
After-tax cash flow
$6,400/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mena School District
NCES district ID
0509750
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,941
Composite
32.88/100
National rank
#5607
State rank
#70 of 238 in AR

Livability — Mena

Score
65/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#12615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mena, AR
Population (ZIP)
13,412

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,065 people
By 2030
18,369 · -3.7%
By 2040
17,156 · -10.0%
By 2050
16,177 · -15.1%
By 2075
14,642 · -23.2%
By 2100
13,020 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
278.2854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $60,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-07-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-07-07 Pending CARMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2025-05-15 Listed $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-05-05 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $60,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-16 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2024-03-20 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2024-03-19 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2024-03-18 Listed $75,000 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…