CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2500 Springs Rd #116
B+ Composite 76.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

2500 Springs Rd #116 · Vallejo, CA 94591
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Manufactured · 317 Days on market
Built 1964 $130/sqft · 30% below area Est $93k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!

Key facts

  • Updated tub
  • New floorings
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

REMODELED MOBILE HOMESPACIOUS KITCHENUPDATED TUBNEW SINK VANITYNEW FLOORINGSUPDATED LIGHT FIXTURES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $977 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 3.1% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.78%
Cap rate
24.35%
Cash-on-cash
64.51%
DSCR
3.87
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,283
List price
$64,900
Delta
-30.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.7%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$48,778
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
65.8%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$110,999
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94591

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,804 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$977

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,022 -5% $999 +0% $977 +5% $954 +10% $932
Rent -10% $834 -5% $906 +0% $977 +5% $1,048 +10% $1,119
Rate -1.0pp $1,010 -0.5pp $993 base $977 +0.5pp $960 +1.0pp $943

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2000 Ascot Pkwy Vallejo, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 838 $1,568 $1.87 14d 27 0.93mi
308 Annette Ave Vallejo, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,800 $2.40 14d 1 1.17mi
412 Home Acres Ave Vallejo, CA 2.0 1.0 724 $1,950 $2.69 24d 1 1.17mi
401 Fleming Ave E Vallejo, CA 1.0 1.0 640 $1,420 $2.22 14d 1 1.26mi
2008 Rice St Vallejo, CA 2.0 1.0 748 $2,250 $3.01 24d 1 1.42mi
1370 Mariposa St Unit Cottage Vallejo, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,725 $3.45 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 317 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 316 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 315 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 314 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 312 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 309 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 308 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 307 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 306 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,900 Active 303 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 302 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 301 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 300 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 299 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 298 DOM
  16. 2026-03-12
    price $64,900 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!

  17. 2025-12-19
    status Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!

  18. 2025-10-13
    status Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!

  19. 2025-07-27
    price $74,900 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!

  20. 2025-07-25
    listed $84,900 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!

  21. 2025-05-12
    price $74,900
  22. 2025-04-08
    price $79,900
  23. 2025-03-15
    listed $85,000 Active
  24. 2024-11-13
    listed $80,000 Active
  25. 2022-08-02
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
  26. 2022-08-02
    soldstatus $75,000
  27. 2022-06-16
    status Contingent (No Show)
  28. 2022-06-07
    historical Contingent (No Show)
  29. 2022-05-13
    price $75,000
  30. 2022-05-06
    listed $80,000 Active
  31. 2022-05-06
    listed $75,000
  32. 2018-08-03
    soldstatus $35,000 Sold
  33. 2018-06-18
    historical Contingent
  34. 2018-06-01
    price $41,000
  35. 2018-04-24
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,651
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,732
− Management
−$1,732
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$11,365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,728
After-tax cash flow
$8,994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vallejo City Unified
NCES district ID
0640740
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$59,919
Composite
26.02/100
National rank
#12743
State rank
#1124 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Vallejo

Score
67/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#10215

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Solano County · 433,239 people
City population
125,311
Metro
Vallejo, CA
Population (ZIP)
58,193
Household income
$104,550
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
2021.0

Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
478,685 people
By 2030
497,974 · +4.0%
By 2040
528,515 · +10.4%
By 2050
549,115 · +14.7%
By 2075
587,229 · +22.7%
By 2100
571,378 · +19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 24% White 23% Two or more races 17% Black 15%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 15% Spanish 14% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Solano

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -414.47%
Current HPI
282.9528
Rent YoY
▲ 1.35%
Metro
Vallejo, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.2% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $64,900 BAREIS
  • 2025-12-19 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2025-10-13 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $74,900 BAREIS
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $84,900 BAREIS
  • 2025-05-12 Price Changed $74,900 BAREIS
  • 2025-04-08 Price Changed $79,900 BAREIS
  • 2025-03-15 Listed $85,000 BAREIS
  • 2024-11-13 Listed $80,000 BAREIS
  • 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $75,000 BAREIS
  • 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $75,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-06-16 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2022-06-07 Contingent BAREIS
  • 2022-05-13 Price Changed $75,000 BAREIS
  • 2022-05-06 Listed $75,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-05-06 Listed $80,000 BAREIS
  • 2018-08-03 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BAREIS
  • 2018-06-18 Contingent BAREIS
  • 2018-06-01 Price Changed $41,000 BAREIS
  • 2018-04-24 Listed $45,000 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…