2500 Springs Rd #116 · Vallejo, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!
Key facts
- Updated tub
- New floorings
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $977 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 3.1% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.51%
- DSCR
- 3.87
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,283
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -30.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $48,778
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $110,999
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94591
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,804 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $977
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,022 | -5% $999 | +0% $977 | +5% $954 | +10% $932 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $834 | -5% $906 | +0% $977 | +5% $1,048 | +10% $1,119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,010 | -0.5pp $993 | base $977 | +0.5pp $960 | +1.0pp $943 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 Ascot Pkwy Vallejo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,568 | $1.87 | 14d | 27 | 0.93mi |
| 308 Annette Ave Vallejo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 412 Home Acres Ave Vallejo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,950 | $2.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 401 Fleming Ave E Vallejo, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,420 | $2.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2008 Rice St Vallejo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $2,250 | $3.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1370 Mariposa St Unit Cottage Vallejo, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,725 | $3.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 35 events
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2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 309 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 302 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 301 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 300 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 299 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $64,900 Active 298 DOM
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2026-03-12price $64,900 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!
-
2025-12-19status Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!
-
2025-10-13status Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!
-
2025-07-27price $74,900 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!
-
2025-07-25$84,900 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Come and see this cute fully remodeled 1 bedroom and 1 bath mobile home located in East Vallejo Mobile Home Park with no age restrictions in a vibrant community. Spacious kitchen and living room space. New kitchen with sleek cabinetry, over the hood range and counter top. Bathroom installed with updated tub and a new sink vanity. New floorings and updated light fixtures throughout. Freshly painted inside of the home. This home wont last!
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2025-05-12price $74,900
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2025-04-08price $79,900
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2025-03-15$85,000 Active
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2024-11-13$80,000 Active
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2022-08-02soldstatus $75,000 Closed
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2022-08-02soldstatus $75,000
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2022-06-16status Contingent (No Show)
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2022-06-07historical Contingent (No Show)
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2022-05-13price $75,000
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2022-05-06$80,000 Active
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2022-05-06$75,000
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2018-08-03soldstatus $35,000 Sold
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2018-06-18historical Contingent
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2018-06-01price $41,000
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2018-04-24$45,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,651
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,732
- − Management
- −$1,732
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $11,365
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,728
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vallejo City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640740
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,919
- Composite
- 26.02/100
- National rank
- #12743
- State rank
- #1124 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Vallejo
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #10215
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Solano County · 433,239 people
- City population
- 125,311
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,193
- Household income
- $104,550
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2021.0
Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 478,685 people
- By 2030
- 497,974 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 528,515 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 549,115 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 587,229 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 571,378 · +19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 24% White 23% Two or more races 17% Black 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 15% Spanish 14% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Solano
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -414.47%
- Current HPI
- 282.9528
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.35%
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+44.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $64,900 BAREIS
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2025-10-13 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2025-07-27 Price Changed $74,900 BAREIS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $84,900 BAREIS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $74,900 BAREIS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $79,900 BAREIS
- 2025-03-15 Listed $85,000 BAREIS
- 2024-11-13 Listed $80,000 BAREIS
- 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $75,000 BAREIS
- 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $75,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2022-06-16 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2022-06-07 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2022-05-13 Price Changed $75,000 BAREIS
- 2022-05-06 Listed $75,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2022-05-06 Listed $80,000 BAREIS
- 2018-08-03 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BAREIS
- 2018-06-18 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2018-06-01 Price Changed $41,000 BAREIS
- 2018-04-24 Listed $45,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…