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2518 Whitemore Pl
D+ Composite 49.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

2518 Whitemore Pl · Saginaw, MI 48602
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,996 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1960 Est $184k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The seller is highly motivated and ready to consider offers. Property is being sold as-is and will require cosmetic repairs and updates. Whether you’re looking for your next renovation project or an affordable home to customize to your taste, this property presents a fantastic opportunity. Bring your tools, ideas, and imagination this diamond in the rough is waiting to shine again! Did I mention it’s a 4 bedroom Tri-level centrally located to all the shopping centers. Come take a look!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($518/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Thompson Middle School (math 6% / reading 13%, grade F, #479 of 493 statewide, top 97%, 397 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 76% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Saginaw School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $140k implies a 471% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $126,494 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.32%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,632
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2247 Mayfield Rd 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,020 (+1%) 4mo $200,500 $99 77
2711 Willard St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,935 (-3%) 7mo $173,000 $89 70
2509 Whitemore Pl 0.03mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,725 (-14%) 3mo $170,000 $99 69
2912 State St 0.43mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,914 (-4%) 2mo $147,500 $77 67
3117 Brockton Pl 0.12mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,744 (-13%) 4mo $159,900 $92 65
3320 W Genesee Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,088 (+5%) 3mo $117,500 $56 63
2507 Kipling Dr 0.15mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,292 (+15%) 6mo $216,000 $94 58
2312 Passolt St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,098 (+5%) 5mo $188,900 $90 55
2834 Clayburn Rd 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,702 (-15%) 3mo $170,000 $100 52
1 Wiltse Ct 0.51mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,260 (+13%) 1mo $234,900 $104 48
2917 Wynes St 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,760 (-12%) 7mo $145,700 $83 46
1955 Fairfield St 0.66mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,824 (-9%) 4mo $159,900 $88 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-18,665
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,391
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,963/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,210
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $122 -5% $83 +0% $43 +5% $4 +10% $-36
Rent -10% $-57 -5% $-7 +0% $43 +5% $93 +10% $143
Rate -1.0pp $114 -0.5pp $79 base $43 +0.5pp $7 +1.0pp $-30

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4156 Ann St Saginaw, MI 4.0 1.5 1387 $1,225 $0.88 45d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    listing id $140,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    remarks 490-char remark
  5. 2026-05-31
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,963 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,060 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$96/yr (+$8/mo · 4.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,179
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,963
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$439
After-tax cash flow
$957/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) $24,519 REALCOMP
  • 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) $24,519 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-09-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-10 Listed $44,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-04-10 Listed $44,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-16 Listed $113,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-02-16 Listed $113,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $103,600 Public Records
  • 2001-11-21 Sold (MLS) $103,600 REALCOMP
  • 2001-11-21 Sold (MLS) $103,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-10-16 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-10-16 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-05-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2000-05-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-05-21 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-05-21 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,963 · -20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…