2518 Whitemore Pl · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The seller is highly motivated and ready to consider offers. Property is being sold as-is and will require cosmetic repairs and updates. Whether you’re looking for your next renovation project or an affordable home to customize to your taste, this property presents a fantastic opportunity. Bring your tools, ideas, and imagination this diamond in the rough is waiting to shine again! Did I mention it’s a 4 bedroom Tri-level centrally located to all the shopping centers. Come take a look!
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1960
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($518/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Thompson Middle School (math 6% / reading 13%, grade F, #479 of 493 statewide, top 97%, 397 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 76% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Saginaw School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $140k implies a 471% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.32%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,632
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2247 Mayfield Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,020 (+1%) | 4mo | $200,500 | $99 | 77 |
| 2711 Willard St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,935 (-3%) | 7mo | $173,000 | $89 | 70 |
| 2509 Whitemore Pl | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,725 (-14%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $99 | 69 |
| 2912 State St | 0.43mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,914 (-4%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $77 | 67 |
| 3117 Brockton Pl | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,744 (-13%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $92 | 65 |
| 3320 W Genesee Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,088 (+5%) | 3mo | $117,500 | $56 | 63 |
| 2507 Kipling Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,292 (+15%) | 6mo | $216,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 2312 Passolt St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,098 (+5%) | 5mo | $188,900 | $90 | 55 |
| 2834 Clayburn Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,702 (-15%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $100 | 52 |
| 1 Wiltse Ct | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,260 (+13%) | 1mo | $234,900 | $104 | 48 |
| 2917 Wynes St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,760 (-12%) | 7mo | $145,700 | $83 | 46 |
| 1955 Fairfield St | 0.66mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,824 (-9%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $88 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-18,665
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,391
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,963/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $122 | -5% $83 | +0% $43 | +5% $4 | +10% $-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-57 | -5% $-7 | +0% $43 | +5% $93 | +10% $143 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $79 | base $43 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4156 Ann St Saginaw, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1387 | $1,225 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18$140,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 490-char remark
-
2026-05-31$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,963 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,060 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,179
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,963
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,828
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$439
- After-tax cash flow
- $957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+33.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-30 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) $24,519 REALCOMP
- 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) $24,519 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-09-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-10 Listed $44,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-04-10 Listed $44,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-02-16 Listed $113,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-02-16 Listed $113,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $103,600 Public Records
- 2001-11-21 Sold (MLS) $103,600 REALCOMP
- 2001-11-21 Sold (MLS) $103,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-16 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-10-16 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-05-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2000-05-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-05-21 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-05-21 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,963 · -20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…