17256 Ferry Rd · Athens, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. A fenced in backyard and all new appliances are just a few of the many worry-free amenities that come with this beautiful home. This property features a spacious family room plus an additional den or flex space with a cozy fireplace—perfect for entertaining or a home office.
Key facts
- Cozy fireplace
- Den or flex space
- 0.34 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $179k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.80%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $246,993
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -27.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17320 Brownsferry Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,378 (-5%) | 6mo | $176,900 | $128 | 68 |
| 17819 Tipper Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+2%) | 1mo | $229,636 | $156 | 66 |
| 15270 Coco Reid Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $153 | 64 |
| 17282 Martin Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,369 (-6%) | 9mo | $242,000 | $177 | 64 |
| 17620 Owens St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+3%) | 5mo | $244,000 | $163 | 58 |
| 17759 Tipper Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-13%) | 7mo | $257,500 | $204 | 44 |
| 15340 Coco Reid Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-13%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $179 | 44 |
| 17793 Tipper Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+15%) | 2mo | $249,443 | $150 | 39 |
| 17714 Emma Jo Ln | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+15%) | 6mo | $249,781 | $150 | 37 |
| 15260 Coco Reid Ln | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+15%) | 2mo | $253,850 | $152 | 36 |
| 15438 Grayson Cir | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+15%) | 1mo | $239,664 | $144 | 36 |
| 15292 Coco Reid Ln | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+15%) | 4mo | $244,920 | $147 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-13,941
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-861
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35611
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,680 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $359/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17650 Brownsferry Rd Athens, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 16129 Cohen Dr Athens, AL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1650 | $1,658 | $1.00 | 14d | 9 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. A fenced in backyard and all new appliances are just a few of the many worry-free amenities that come with this beautiful home. This property features a spacious family room plus an additional den or flex space with a cozy fireplace—perfect for entertaining or a home office.
-
2026-03-27price $179,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. A fenced in backyard and all new appliances are just a few of the many worry-free amenities that come with this beautiful home. This property features a spacious family room plus an additional den or flex space with a cozy fireplace—perfect for entertaining or a home office.
-
2026-03-03price $184,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. A fenced in backyard and all new appliances are just a few of the many worry-free amenities that come with this beautiful home. This property features a spacious family room plus an additional den or flex space with a cozy fireplace—perfect for entertaining or a home office.
-
2025-12-24price $189,900 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. A fenced in backyard and all new appliances are just a few of the many worry-free amenities that come with this beautiful home. This property features a spacious family room plus an additional den or flex space with a cozy fireplace—perfect for entertaining or a home office.
-
2025-11-17$199,900 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. A fenced in backyard and all new appliances are just a few of the many worry-free amenities that come with this beautiful home. This property features a spacious family room plus an additional den or flex space with a cozy fireplace—perfect for entertaining or a home office.
-
2016-11-01soldstatus $58,000
-
2016-10-31soldstatus $58,000 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
CUTE AS A BUTTON 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH HOME, LIVING ROOM, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, KITCHEN, BREAKFAST ROOM AND LARGE LAUNDRY. LARGE DECK AND FENCED BACK YARD. COVERED CARPORT! ROOF IN 2008, CENTRAL UNIT IN 2010. GREAT PRICE!
-
2016-03-21$62,000 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
CUTE AS A BUTTON 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH HOME, LIVING ROOM, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, KITCHEN, BREAKFAST ROOM AND LARGE LAUNDRY. LARGE DECK AND FENCED BACK YARD. COVERED CARPORT! ROOF IN 2008, CENTRAL UNIT IN 2010. GREAT PRICE!
-
2002-01-29soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $359 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $734 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$375/yr (+$31/mo · 104.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,162
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$359
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,613
- − Management
- −$1,613
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $448
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,302/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Limestone County
- NCES district ID
- 0102100
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,972
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6829
- State rank
- #52 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,969
- Household income
- $57,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 811.0
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.98%
- Current HPI
- 185.0264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+179.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $179,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $184,000 VMLS
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $189,900 VMLS
- 2025-11-17 Listed $199,900 VMLS
- 2016-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-31 Sold (MLS) $58,000 VMLS
- 2016-03-21 Listed $62,000 VMLS
- 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $359 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…