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4109 Katy Dr
D Composite 41.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

4109 Katy Dr · Greenville, TX 75401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,872 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1950 0.35 ac lot $106/sqft · 14% below area Est $231k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Skip the long commute! Perfectly positioned with easy access to I-30 and Joe Ramsey Blvd, this recently updated 3-bed, 2-bath home is a dream for anyone on the go. The interior features a spacious kitchen and living area perfect for entertaining, while the updates ensure you can move in and start living on day one. Whether you're heading to work or exploring the vibrant shops and restaurants of Downtown Greenville, everything you need is just minutes away. A spacious backyard and convenient location complete this must-see property.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Recently updated
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENRECENTLY UPDATEDSPACIOUS BACKYARDCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing possession at closing/funding; Listing status: Active
  • Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing; Second mortgage: No; Loan type: Treat as clear
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Gated entry
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Property attached: Yes
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Siding and wood construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link and privacy fencing; All-weather road access; Less than 0.5 acre lot (approx. 0.3544 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen with granite counters and pantry; One living area and one dining area; Total of 3 rooms (per count)
  • Laundry & utility: Individual gas meter and individual water meter

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (12.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bowie El (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,740 of 4,322 statewide, top 64%, 609 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 396 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,742 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.62%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$231,435
List price
$199,000
Delta
-14.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4501 Washington St 0.30mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,771 (-5%) 1mo $268,888 $152 69
4613 Lee St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,911 (+2%) 4mo $285,000 $149 68
3525 Lee St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,750 (-6%) 1mo $234,999 $134 66
4002 Park St 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,704 (-9%) 2mo $189,900 $111 64
3915 Caddo St 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,737 (-7%) 6mo $297,700 $171 63
4020 Spencer St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,605 (-14%) 10mo $95,000 $59 61
4809 Pickett St 0.44mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,811 (-3%) 7mo $349,000 $193 59
3901 Oneal St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,607 (-14%) 1mo $168,000 $105 57
2923 Walnut St 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,644 (-12%) 13mo $72,000 $44 55
3615 College St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,604 (-14%) 13mo $239,900 $150 52
4002 Templeton St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,661 (-11%) 6mo $169,900 $102 52
3233 Washington St 0.57mi 3/2.5 2,062 (+10%) 4mo $229,900 $111 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.6%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-43,974
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-63,832
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75401

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
396
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,747 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$376 /mo · $4,507/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$-122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,901
Max offer price $177,520
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4203 Pickett St Greenville, TX 4.0 2.5 2413 $2,200 $0.91 43d 1 0.13mi
2902 Walnut St Greenville, TX 4.0 3.0 2189 $2,050 $0.94 24d 1 0.16mi
2811 Walnut St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,595 $1.17 43d 1 0.19mi
3912 Oneal St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.5 1592 $1,750 $1.10 43d 1 0.27mi
3303 Texas St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,450 $1.15 2d 1 0.27mi
3614 Short St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,600 $1.21 43d 1 0.32mi
3614 Short St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,600 $1.21 24d 1 0.32mi
2406 Beecha St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1263 $1,575 $1.25 43d 1 0.34mi
2225 College St Greenville, TX 4.0 2.5 1832 $2,000 $1.09 44d 1 0.36mi
2225 College St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,800 $1.25 24d 1 0.36mi
2210 Langford St Greenville, TX 4.0 2.0 1510 $1,595 $1.06 43d 1 0.38mi
3819 Henry St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1590 $1,295 $0.81 12d 1 0.44mi
4709 Henry St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1299 $1,550 $1.19 7d 1 0.51mi
4811 Henry St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,800 $1.15 18d 1 0.60mi
142 Canales Cir Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1532 $1,695 $1.11 43d 1 0.60mi
1711 Langford St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.5 1274 $1,495 $1.17 24d 1 0.62mi
1711 Langford St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.5 1274 $1,495 $1.17 22d 1 0.62mi
4810 Jefferson St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,700 $1.09 2d 1 0.64mi
3840 McDougal St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,000 $1.37 7d 1 0.74mi
3307 Polk St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,550 $1.20 17d 1 0.76mi
3310 Polk St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,800 $1.19 24d 1 0.77mi
2113 Wright St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.5 1436 $1,800 $1.25 43d 1 0.78mi
2901 Lee St Apt 1 Greenville, TX 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,575 $1.26 43d 1 0.79mi
1906 Oliver St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,650 $1.20 2d 1 0.81mi
1902 Oliver St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,700 $1.23 2d 1 0.82mi
1901 Wright St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,575 $1.25 24d 1 0.85mi
3110 Saint John St Unit B Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,450 $1.14 44d 1 0.86mi
3110 Saint John St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,500 $1.18 44d 1 0.86mi
3110 Saint John St Unit B Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,400 $1.10 24d 1 0.86mi
3110 Saint John St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,425 $1.12 43d 1 0.86mi
3110 Saint John St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,500 $1.18 43d 1 0.86mi
2704 Jones St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,550 $1.22 2d 1 0.87mi
1707 Wright St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,725 $1.23 5d 1 0.92mi
4909 Delano St Greenville, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1614 $1,955 $1.21 1d 1 0.93mi
4802 Fillmore Dr Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,040 $1.27 43d 1 1.01mi
1311 Wright St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.5 1582 $1,750 $1.11 43d 1 1.06mi
3333 Dalton St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,635 $1.10 5d 1 1.12mi
3333 Dalton St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,635 $1.10 7d 1 1.12mi
3333 Dalton St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,635 $1.10 24d 1 1.12mi
2305 Bourland St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1320 $1,900 $1.44 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $199,000 Active 537-char remark
  15. 2023-12-14
    status Active
  16. 2023-12-08
    historical Active Option Contract
  17. 2023-10-26
    listed $226,000 Active
  18. 2023-08-15
    historical
  19. 2023-08-04
    price $239,000
  20. 2023-07-25
    price $249,900
  21. 2023-07-11
    listed $239,000 Active
  22. 2023-06-30
    listed $270,000 Active
  23. 2023-03-03
    soldstatus
  24. 2023-03-01
    soldstatus Closed
  25. 2023-02-15
    status Pending
  26. 2022-12-08
    listed $135,000 Active
  27. 2022-10-31
    historical
  28. 2022-10-11
    price $139,000
  29. 2022-09-07
    price $149,000
  30. 2022-07-06
    price $168,000
  31. 2022-06-29
    listed $178,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,507 · $376/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,507 · $376/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,969
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$4,507
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,678
− Management
−$1,678
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$4,824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,158
After-tax cash flow
$-301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenville ISD
NCES district ID
4821720
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,374
Composite
19.56/100
National rank
#8759
State rank
#743 of 826 in TX

Livability — Greenville

Score
77/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#2719

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenville, TX
County
Hunt County · 71,969 people
City population
42,767
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,669
Household income
$59,908
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,090 people
By 2030
100,452 · +3.5%
By 2040
106,544 · +9.7%
By 2050
111,218 · +14.6%
By 2075
121,695 · +25.3%
By 2100
123,683 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunt

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.45%
Current HPI
339.0287
Rent YoY
▲ 0.62%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-12-14 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2023-12-08 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2023-10-26 Listed $226,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-15 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-08-04 Price Changed $239,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-07-25 Price Changed $249,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-07-11 Listed $239,000 GTAR
  • 2023-06-30 Listed $270,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-03-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-01 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-02-15 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-12-08 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-10-31 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2022-10-11 Price Changed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-09-07 Price Changed $149,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-06 Price Changed $168,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-06-29 Listed $178,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,507 · +21.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…