🏗️ New Construction
Harrison Plan · Sunbury, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Schools +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Cash flow +3.4/30.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$311,477
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TO-BE-BUILT CUSTOM HOMES ON YOUR LAND. HOMES ARE NOT PREBUILT. PRICING REFLECTS THE TO-BE-BUILT HOME ONLY, AND DOES NOT INCLUDE LAND OR LAND IMPROVEMENTS. We can build a custom home on your lot in most counties in Ohio and many counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, West Virginia. We do not sell land, but please contact us if you are looking to acquire land for a custom home. Thoughtful. That's what the Harrison floor plan is. It's almost like this home can intuit your every need before you need it. Lugging warehouse-sized groceries inside? Not to worry, the walk-in pantry is close to the door. Knees a bit more sore than they used to be? Good news: not a flight of stairs in sight. Have guests coming to stay? Thanks to an owner suite that's separated from the other bedrooms, you'll all get some privacy at the end of the day. It seems the only thing this thoughtful home can't do is order flowers for your birthday. (Although a bouquet would look lovely in the open-concept kitchen.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 837 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $311k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (5.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $258k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#274 in OH, #4,498 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Johnnycake Corners Elementary School (math 81% / reading 83%, grade A+, #116 of 1,584 statewide, top 9%, 686 students, 2% FRL); Berkshire Middle School (math 80% / reading 80%, grade A+, #46 of 654 statewide, top 7%, 1,298 students, 4% FRL); Olentangy High School (math 76% / reading 90%, grade A, #21 of 781 statewide, top 3%, 1,688 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools at 4% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 294 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 36d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 838 days — a 12% lower offer ($274k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 838 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.49% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.13%
- DSCR
- 0.42
- GRM
- 17.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $530,010
- List price
- $311,477
- Delta
- -41.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 N Three B's & K Rd | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 | 2,500 (+19%) | 16mo | $635,000 | $254 | 50 |
| 225 N 3 Bs And K Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,738 (-17%) | 17mo | $325,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 1155 S Three B's & K Rd | 1.03mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,978 (-6%) | 2mo | $599,900 | $303 | 46 |
| 7377 Whimbrel Ln | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 2,251 (+7%) | 17mo | $435,000 | $193 | 44 |
| 7264 Holstad Ct | 0.87mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,147 (+2%) | 19mo | $443,340 | $206 | 38 |
| 520 Cormorant Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,317 (+10%) | 17mo | $471,290 | $203 | 37 |
| 6481 Sherman Rd | 0.95mi | 3/2.5 | 2,494 (+19%) | 3mo | $629,900 | $253 | 35 |
| 500 Cormorant Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 2,467 (+17%) | 18mo | $490,000 | $199 | 34 |
| 678 Holbrook Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,448 (+16%) | 2mo | $552,500 | $226 | 34 |
| 1542 Crest Dr | 1.12mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,264 (+8%) | 15mo | $500,760 | $221 | 32 |
| 7281 Holstad Ct | 0.88mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,336 (+11%) | 19mo | $503,960 | $216 | 24 |
| 743 Holbrook Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,456 (+17%) | 16mo | $514,000 | $209 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -43.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-196,099
- Equity at exit
- $79,026
- IRR
- -95.8%
- Equity multiple
- -1.23×
- Total profit
- $-330,259
- Equity at exit
- $45,826
Cash invested: $148,403 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 57 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 171.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $310,195 ($154/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 757 d
- This list price
- 53% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +63.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 43074
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,580 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,779
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$663 /mo · $7,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$221
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $-1,624
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,258 | -5% $-1,441 | +0% $-1,624 | +5% $-1,807 | +10% $-1,991 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,828 | -5% $-1,726 | +0% $-1,624 | +5% $-1,522 | +10% $-1,420 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,357 | -0.5pp $-1,489 | base $-1,624 | +0.5pp $-1,762 | +1.0pp $-1,901 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $132,503
- Closing costs
- $15,900
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7205 Northlake Summit Dr Sunbury, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1158 | $1,852 | $1.60 | 9d | 14 | 0.42mi |
| 7343 Quailview Dr Sunbury, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $3,099 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7311 Blackwell Dr Sunbury, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2812 | $2,897 | $1.03 | 56d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 560 Habitat Way Sunbury, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $3,299 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 731 Holbrook Dr Sunbury, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2900 | $2,750 | $0.95 | 35d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 669 Habitat Way Sunbury, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,899 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1155 S 3 Bs and K Rd Galena, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1978 | $3,290 | $1.66 | 72d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $311,477 Active 838 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $311,477 Active 837 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $311,477 Active 836 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $311,477 Active 835 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $311,477 Active 834 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $311,477 Active 833 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $311,477 Active 830 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $311,477 Active 829 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $311,477 Active 828 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $311,477 Active 827 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $311,477 Active 825 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $311,477 Active 823 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $311,477 Active 822 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $311,477 Active 821 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $311,477 Active 820 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $311,477 Active 819 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $311,477 Active 817 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $311,477 Active 816 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $311,477 Active 815 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $311,477 Active 814 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $311,477 Active 813 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $311,477 Active 812 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $311,477 Active 811 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $311,477 Active 810 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $311,477 Active 809 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $311,477 Active 808 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $311,477 Active 806 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $311,477 Active 805 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $311,477 Active 804 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $311,477 Active 802 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $311,477 Active 801 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $311,477 Active 800 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $311,477 Active 799 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $311,477 Active 798 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $311,477 Active 797 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $311,477 Active 796 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $311,477 Active 795 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $311,477 Active 793 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $311,477 Active 791 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $311,477 Active 790 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $311,477 Active 787 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $311,477 Active 786 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $311,477 Active 785 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $311,477 Active 784 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $311,477 Active 782 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $311,477 Active 781 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $311,477 Active 778 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $311,477 Active 777 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $311,477 Active 776 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $311,477 Active 773 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,689
- − Property taxes
- −$7,950
- − Insurance
- −$2,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,477
- − Management
- −$2,477
- − Depreciation
- −$15,418
- Taxable loss
- −$29,697
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,127
- After-tax cash flow
- $-12,364/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is a well-maintained single-family home with a good exterior and roof. Consider painting the exterior and improving landscaping for a slight increase in value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olentangy Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904676
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,074
- Composite
- 75.56/100
- National rank
- #132
- State rank
- #18 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sunbury
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #4498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Delaware County · 230,854 people
- City population
- 16,873
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,873
- Household income
- $119,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -313.60%
- Current HPI
- 260.7213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.31%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+7.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $311,477 Zillow
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $307,100 Zillow
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $304,900 Zillow
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $307,100 Zillow
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $304,900 Zillow
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $298,400 Zillow
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $304,900 Zillow
- 2024-11-02 Price Changed $298,400 Zillow
- 2024-08-14 Price Changed $296,450 Zillow
- 2024-04-22 Listed $290,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…