267 Big Pine Ave N · Frostproof, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CUTE AND COZY HOME IN A QUALITY GOLF COMMUNITY. LAWN MAINTENANCE, CABLE TV, MUNICIPAL WATER INCLUDED IN THE SEMI -ANNUAL FEES. AMENITES INCLUDE GOLF, SWIMMING FISHING SHUFFLEBOARD, TENNIS, BOCCI BALL, BILLIARDS, CRAFTS, AEROBICS, AND SPECIAL TRIPS. CENTRALLY LOCATED FOR EASY ACCESS TO TO THEME PARKS AND BEACHES.
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Clubhouse
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total living area reported as 504 square feet; Lot size approximately 0.07 acres (about 281 sq meters)
- Financial info: Total annual fees listed as $2,472; Unfurnished
- HOA & community: Has HOA with required monthly fee of $206; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Has a 1-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (Single Wide); One level; Faces east; Entry on main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a single-wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Patio; Other exterior features; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; Microwave included
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($767/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#456 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14 of equity ($484 loan paydown + $-470 appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $70k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.91%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $8
- Equity at exit
- $18,007
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $12,709
- Equity at exit
- $19,873
Cash invested: $19,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33843
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,486/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$206
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $104 | -5% $84 | +0% $64 | +5% $44 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-15 | -5% $24 | +0% $64 | +5% $103 | +10% $143 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $99 | -0.5pp $82 | base $64 | +0.5pp $46 | +1.0pp $27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,499
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1526 Fort Meade Rd Frostproof, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 510 | $1,000 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $206 · $2,472/yr
- Likely covers
- watercable
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,995 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$69,995 Active
-
2026-02-27historical
-
2026-02-13$90,000 Active
-
2014-05-15soldstatus $39,000 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
CUTE AND COZY HOME IN A QUALITY GOLF COMMUNITY. LAWN MAINTENANCE, CABLE TV, MUNICIPAL WATER INCLUDED IN THE SEMI -ANNUAL FEES. AMENITES INCLUDE GOLF, SWIMMING FISHING SHUFFLEBOARD, TENNIS, BOCCI BALL, BILLIARDS, CRAFTS, AEROBICS, AND SPECIAL TRIPS. CENTRALLY LOCATED FOR EASY ACCESS TO TO THEME PARKS AND BEACHES.
-
2014-01-08$39,900 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
CUTE AND COZY HOME IN A QUALITY GOLF COMMUNITY. LAWN MAINTENANCE, CABLE TV, MUNICIPAL WATER INCLUDED IN THE SEMI -ANNUAL FEES. AMENITES INCLUDE GOLF, SWIMMING FISHING SHUFFLEBOARD, TENNIS, BOCCI BALL, BILLIARDS, CRAFTS, AEROBICS, AND SPECIAL TRIPS. CENTRALLY LOCATED FOR EASY ACCESS TO TO THEME PARKS AND BEACHES.
-
1992-11-01soldstatus $21,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,486 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,486 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,486
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − HOA
- −$2,472
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable loss
- −$185
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Frostproof
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #8297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,072
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.67%
- Current HPI
- 311.1519
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+219.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $69,995 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-15 Sold (MLS) $39,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2014-01-08 Listed $39,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,486 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…