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267 Big Pine Ave N
C Composite 57.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,995

267 Big Pine Ave N · Frostproof, FL 33843
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 504 sqft · Manufactured public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1991 3,023 sqft lot $206/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CUTE AND COZY HOME IN A QUALITY GOLF COMMUNITY. LAWN MAINTENANCE, CABLE TV, MUNICIPAL WATER INCLUDED IN THE SEMI -ANNUAL FEES. AMENITES INCLUDE GOLF, SWIMMING FISHING SHUFFLEBOARD, TENNIS, BOCCI BALL, BILLIARDS, CRAFTS, AEROBICS, AND SPECIAL TRIPS. CENTRALLY LOCATED FOR EASY ACCESS TO TO THEME PARKS AND BEACHES.

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Clubhouse
  • Community amenities

Tags

GOLF CART COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY AMENITIESSWIMMING POOLHOT TUBGOLF COURSECLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total living area reported as 504 square feet; Lot size approximately 0.07 acres (about 281 sq meters)
  • Financial info: Total annual fees listed as $2,472; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: Has HOA with required monthly fee of $206; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Has a 1-space carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Single Wide); One level; Faces east; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a single-wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Patio; Other exterior features; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Microwave included
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($767/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#456 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14 of equity ($484 loan paydown + $-470 appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $70k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,895 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.91%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$8
Equity at exit
$18,007
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$12,709
Equity at exit
$19,873

Cash invested: $19,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33843

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
437
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,486/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$206
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $69,995
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $104 -5% $84 +0% $64 +5% $44 +10% $24
Rent -10% $-15 -5% $24 +0% $64 +5% $103 +10% $143
Rate -1.0pp $99 -0.5pp $82 base $64 +0.5pp $46 +1.0pp $27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,499
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1526 Fort Meade Rd Frostproof, FL 2.0 1.0 510 $1,000 $1.96 24d 1 0.70mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$206 · $2,472/yr
Likely covers
watercable

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,995 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-04-08
    listed $69,995 Active
  3. 2026-02-27
    historical
  4. 2026-02-13
    listed $90,000 Active
  5. 2014-05-15
    soldstatus $39,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    CUTE AND COZY HOME IN A QUALITY GOLF COMMUNITY. LAWN MAINTENANCE, CABLE TV, MUNICIPAL WATER INCLUDED IN THE SEMI -ANNUAL FEES. AMENITES INCLUDE GOLF, SWIMMING FISHING SHUFFLEBOARD, TENNIS, BOCCI BALL, BILLIARDS, CRAFTS, AEROBICS, AND SPECIAL TRIPS. CENTRALLY LOCATED FOR EASY ACCESS TO TO THEME PARKS AND BEACHES.

  6. 2014-01-08
    listed $39,900 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    CUTE AND COZY HOME IN A QUALITY GOLF COMMUNITY. LAWN MAINTENANCE, CABLE TV, MUNICIPAL WATER INCLUDED IN THE SEMI -ANNUAL FEES. AMENITES INCLUDE GOLF, SWIMMING FISHING SHUFFLEBOARD, TENNIS, BOCCI BALL, BILLIARDS, CRAFTS, AEROBICS, AND SPECIAL TRIPS. CENTRALLY LOCATED FOR EASY ACCESS TO TO THEME PARKS AND BEACHES.

  7. 1992-11-01
    soldstatus $21,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,486 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,486 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,486
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− HOA
−$2,472
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable loss
−$185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$45
After-tax cash flow
$811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Frostproof

Score
69/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#8297

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,072

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.67%
Current HPI
311.1519
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+219.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $69,995 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-15 Sold (MLS) $39,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-01-08 Listed $39,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,486 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…