CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
702 Park Cir
C Composite 59.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

702 Park Cir · Belton, MO 64012
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 229 Days on market
Built 1961 4,356 sqft lot Est $251k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently Remod Kit W/ New Sink Ctr Top. Newer Whirlpool Stove, New Inter Drs. Some New Closet Doors. 12x16 Deck W/ Pull Down Cloth Canopy. Fenced Culdesac Yd. 2 Ceil Fans In Lr. New Furn`92. Carpet 3 Yrs Old, New Pt Inside. Wht Vinyl Guttering, Shutters And Bd & Batten Sideing Added In`89.10x10 Bldg.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1961
  • Listed 229 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax information available

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (ranch)
  • Construction: Board & batten siding and frame construction; Composition roof; Built 51–75 years ago
  • Exterior features: Deck; Metal fencing; City lot, level

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the first level
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Basement with concrete floor, inside entrance, partial
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.7% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#52 in MO, #3,782 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Belton 124 (suburban): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #216 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 588 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $171,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.71%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$250,580
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Cherokee Dr 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,376 (+3%) 1mo $215,000 $156 89
200 Park Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+4%) 3mo $215,000 $154 80
610 Lacy Ln 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-6%) 0mo $235,000 $187 79
507 W Cambridge Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,268 (-5%) 1mo $215,000 $170 76
301 Brookside Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+8%) 6mo $259,000 $179 74
604 Pawnee Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,228 (-8%) 8mo $238,000 $194 70
215 Park Ave 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-7%) 7mo $249,900 $200 69
205 Dawn Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,281 (-4%) 0mo $309,000 $241 58
806 S Cedar St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-6%) 6mo $285,000 $226 55
513 S Cedar St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,256 (-6%) 3mo $215,000 $171 53
709 Mulberry St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,496 (+12%) 2mo $160,000 $107 50
703 York Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,448 (+8%) 3mo $310,000 $214 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-10,855
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$29,881
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64012

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,571
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $315 +0% $260 +5% $205 +10% $149
Rent -10% $110 -5% $185 +0% $260 +5% $335 +10% $410
Rate -1.0pp $358 -0.5pp $309 base $260 +0.5pp $209 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
909 Ridge Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.0 1539 $1,756 $1.14 21d 1 0.31mi
611 W Sunrise Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 1496 $1,990 $1.33 8d 1 0.44mi
412 Colbern St Belton, MO 2.0 1.0 1516 $1,395 $0.92 24d 1 0.44mi
401 Lacy Ln Belton, MO 4.0 2.0 1225 $1,750 $1.43 8d 1 0.47mi
810 York Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 1148 $1,781 $1.55 21d 1 0.68mi
107 N Cleveland Ave Belton, MO 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,860 $1.65 5d 1 0.99mi
211 Apple Blossom Ln Belton, MO 4.0 2.5 1414 $2,066 $1.46 3d 1 1.45mi
307 Dauphine St Belton, MO 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,495 $1.22 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 229 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 228 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 227 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 223 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 221 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 220 DOM
  9. 2025-10-23
    listed $195,000 Active
  10. 1997-05-28
    soldstatus 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Recently Remod Kit W/ New Sink Ctr Top. Newer Whirlpool Stove, New Inter Drs. Some New Closet Doors. 12x16 Deck W/ Pull Down Cloth Canopy. Fenced Culdesac Yd. 2 Ceil Fans In Lr. New Furn`92. Carpet 3 Yrs Old, New Pt Inside. Wht Vinyl Guttering, Shutters And Bd & Batten Sideing Added In`89.10x10 Bldg.

  11. 1997-04-07
    listed $57,500 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Recently Remod Kit W/ New Sink Ctr Top. Newer Whirlpool Stove, New Inter Drs. Some New Closet Doors. 12x16 Deck W/ Pull Down Cloth Canopy. Fenced Culdesac Yd. 2 Ceil Fans In Lr. New Furn`92. Carpet 3 Yrs Old, New Pt Inside. Wht Vinyl Guttering, Shutters And Bd & Batten Sideing Added In`89.10x10 Bldg.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,650 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,892 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$241/yr (+$20/mo · 14.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,801
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$68
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$16
After-tax cash flow
$3,133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belton 124
NCES district ID
2904620
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$56,946
Composite
29.73/100
National rank
#6446
State rank
#216 of 324 in MO

Livability — Belton

Score
76/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#3782

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belton, MO
County
Cass County · 65,358 people
City population
29,304
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
29,304
Household income
$71,814
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
1081.0

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,292 people
By 2030
106,109 · +0.8%
By 2040
105,786 · +0.5%
By 2050
102,062 · -3.1%
By 2075
88,569 · -15.9%
By 2100
68,293 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.3% · R 65.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -32.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.1 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -244.76%
Current HPI
214.6157
Rent YoY
▲ 5.17%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $195,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-05-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-04-07 Listed $57,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,650 · +12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…