CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
201 Evergreen Dr
C- Composite 53.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

201 Evergreen Dr · Aberdeen, MS 39730
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,646 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1951 0.60 ac lot $52/sqft · 9% above area Est $78k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, large kitchen, and living room. single garage with a storage room and deck. Spacious backyard with a workshop. House is being sold AS IS. Call and make your appointment today.

Key facts

  • Storage room
  • Spacious backyard
  • Living room

Tags

LARGE KITCHENLIVING ROOMSINGLE GARAGESTORAGE ROOMDECKSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($987 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#164 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Aberdeen School District (town): math 15% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #99 of 130 in MS (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $85k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.73%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,204
List price
$84,900
Delta
8.56%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,468
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$14,587
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39730

Home prices YoY
-12.2%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$987 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $251 -5% $222 +0% $193 +5% $163 +10% $134
Rent -10% $115 -5% $154 +0% $193 +5% $232 +10% $271
Rate -1.0pp $235 -0.5pp $214 base $193 +0.5pp $171 +1.0pp $148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 183 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 181 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 178 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 174 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 173 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 168 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 166 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 165 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    price $84,900 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, large kitchen, and living room. single garage with a storage room and deck. Spacious backyard with a workshop. House is being sold AS IS. Call and make your appointment today.

  17. 2026-03-02
    price $89,000 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, large kitchen, and living room. single garage with a storage room and deck. Spacious backyard with a workshop. House is being sold AS IS. Call and make your appointment today.

  18. 2025-12-16
    listed $94,000 Active 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, large kitchen, and living room. single garage with a storage room and deck. Spacious backyard with a workshop. House is being sold AS IS. Call and make your appointment today.

  19. 2023-11-08
    soldstatus $29,900
  20. 1992-05-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,840
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$947
− Management
−$947
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$1,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$245
After-tax cash flow
$2,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aberdeen School District
NCES district ID
2800360
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$30,551
Composite
13.56/100
National rank
#9513
State rank
#99 of 130 in MS

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
63/100
State rank
#164
US rank
#15742

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aberdeen, MS
City population
11,496
Population (ZIP)
11,496

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,903 people
By 2030
32,612 · -3.8%
By 2040
29,761 · -12.2%
By 2050
26,788 · -21.0%
By 2075
20,058 · -40.8%
By 2100
14,566 · -57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (50%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 49%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+15.9 2008: R+17.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.15%
Current HPI
137.8358
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+183.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $84,900 NEMSBD
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $89,000 NEMSBD
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $94,000 NEMSBD
  • 2023-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
  • 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…