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395 Woodbine
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0

$164,000

395 Woodbine · Hutton, MD 26764
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · Manufactured · 51 Days on market
Built 1976 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Meet "Simple Things". This cozy, turn-key home is a perfect weekend escape. Located inside of Alpine Lake Resort, this 2BD 1BA provides an incredible area to UNWIND! This home has a NEW METAL ROOF & sits on a permanent slab foundation. Enjoy all that Alpine has to offer with AMENITIES like: a 150 acre stocked lake great for swimming, kayaking & fishing, tennis & basketball court, 18 hole GOLF COURSE, indoor swimming pool, fitness center, hiking trails, play ground, restaurant & bar and more! Call Today!

Key facts

  • Single level living
  • Updated flooring
  • Newer metal roof

Tags

SINGLE LEVEL LIVINGWOOD BURNING STOVENEWER METAL ROOFUPDATED FLOORINGNEWER KITCHEN APPLIANCESENERGY EFFICIENT PELLA WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Alpine Lake Resort; Directions require accompaniment to enter resort
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Community clubhouse, golf, pool, and tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Gated community
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; 1 story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as residential single-family
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storm door(s); Wooded lot; Lakefront/beachfront access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $164k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $164k).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#492 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Preston County Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #39 of 55 in WV (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Terra Alta/East Preston School (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 310 students, 0% FRL); Preston High School (math 10% / reading 32%, grade F, #100 of 110 statewide, top 91%, 1,178 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 2 units permitted in Preston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Preston County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $164k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $159,080 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.95%
Cash-on-cash
16.65%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$49,274
Equity at exit
$62,051
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$132,905
Equity at exit
$87,372

Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 26764

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,038 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$860
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $537/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$637

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,232
Max offer price $164,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,000
Closing costs
$4,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $164,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $164,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $164,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-21
    status Active
  18. 2026-05-21
    price $164,000
  19. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2026-04-29
    listed $159,000 Active
  21. 2021-10-22
    soldstatus $85,000 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    Meet "Simple Things". This cozy, turn-key home is a perfect weekend escape. Located inside of Alpine Lake Resort, this 2BD 1BA provides an incredible area to UNWIND! This home has a NEW METAL ROOF & sits on a permanent slab foundation. Enjoy all that Alpine has to offer with AMENITIES like: a 150 acre stocked lake great for swimming, kayaking & fishing, tennis & basketball court, 18 hole GOLF COURSE, indoor swimming pool, fitness center, hiking trails, play ground, restaurant & bar and more! Call Today!

  22. 2021-09-17
    listed $109,000 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    Meet "Simple Things". This cozy, turn-key home is a perfect weekend escape. Located inside of Alpine Lake Resort, this 2BD 1BA provides an incredible area to UNWIND! This home has a NEW METAL ROOF & sits on a permanent slab foundation. Enjoy all that Alpine has to offer with AMENITIES like: a 150 acre stocked lake great for swimming, kayaking & fishing, tennis & basketball court, 18 hole GOLF COURSE, indoor swimming pool, fitness center, hiking trails, play ground, restaurant & bar and more! Call Today!

  23. 2020-11-30
    soldstatus $64,000
  24. 1991-06-08
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$537 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,162 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$625/yr (+$52/mo · 116.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,458
− Mortgage interest
−$9,187
− Property taxes
−$537
− Insurance
−$820
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,957
− Management
−$1,957
− Depreciation
−$4,771
Taxable income
$5,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,255
After-tax cash flow
$6,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Preston County Schools
NCES district ID
5401170
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,997
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7869
State rank
#39 of 55 in WV

Livability — Hutton

Score
41/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#27205

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,349

Population outlook (Preston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,786 people
By 2030
33,618 · -0.5%
By 2040
32,953 · -2.5%
By 2050
32,131 · -4.9%
By 2075
30,774 · -8.9%
By 2100
27,037 · -20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Preston

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.0) · D 20.5% · R 77.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.5pp · 2024: -57.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.0 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+55.8 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+26.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.70%
Current HPI
294.2344
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+397.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted NCWVREIN
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $164,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent NCWVREIN
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $159,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2021-10-22 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2021-09-17 Listed $109,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2020-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 1991-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $537 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…