🏗️ New Construction
The Diana Plan · Uhland, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$241,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Diana is one of our one-story floorplans featured in our Wayside community in Uhland, TX. This quaint 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, home offers 1,535 sq. ft. of living space perfect for any growing family. As you walk through the long foyer, you'll enter the spacious living room where plenty of memories are soon to be made. The living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen with top-of-the-line features including stainless steel appliances, a gas stove, and white cabinets. The large kitchen island includes a built in undermount sink and dishwasher. Two bedrooms and a full bathroom with a tub are located off the living room. Making your way towards the back of the home, you'll find the back patio door and the private main bedroom. The adjoined main bathroom includes double vanity sinks, a walk-in shower, a separate toilet room, and a walk-in closet. This home comes included with a professionally designed landscape package and a full irrigation system as well as our America's Smart Home® package that offers devices such as the Qolsys IQ Panel, Video Doorbell, Alarm.com app, Honeywell Thermostat, Deako Smart Light Switch, Kwikset Smart lock, and more. Images are representative of plan and may vary as built. Contact us today and find your home at Wayside.
Key facts
- Large kitchen island
- One story floorplans
- Spacious living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-435 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (11.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,385 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hemphill El (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 577 students, 71% FRL); D J Red Simon Middle (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 733 students, 78% FRL); Lehman H S (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,120 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 43% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hays CISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 2089 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 34d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 441 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 441 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.72%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $277,648
- List price
- $241,990
- Delta
- -12.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 Schuenemann Way | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,470 (-3%) | 4mo | $241,990 | $165 | 83 |
| 149 Schuenemann Way | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+4%) | 2mo | $247,490 | $157 | 81 |
| 110 Schuenemann Way | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+4%) | 3mo | $247,490 | $157 | 78 |
| 148 Orange Flame Blvd | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-2%) | 2mo | $231,990 | $156 | 60 |
| 135 Orange Flame Blvd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-2%) | 2mo | $231,990 | $156 | 58 |
| 1205 Celosia Loop | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-2%) | 1mo | $231,990 | $156 | 57 |
| 114 Whoopers Loop | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,616 (+6%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 127 Orange Flame Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (-12%) | 2mo | $219,990 | $166 | 46 |
| 136 Speckled Belly Bnd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+10%) | 4mo | $234,990 | $141 | 43 |
| 168 Speckled Belly Bnd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,667 (+10%) | 3mo | $235,990 | $142 | 43 |
| 474 Whoopers Loop | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,707 (+12%) | 0mo | $234,999 | $138 | 42 |
| 510 Whoopers Loop | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,707 (+12%) | 1mo | $235,999 | $138 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-78,174
- Equity at exit
- $41,398
- IRR
- -55.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-124,906
- Equity at exit
- $24,006
Cash invested: $77,741 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 60 active · 61 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.7 mo (21%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $241,624 ($154/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 133 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +18.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78640
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 2089
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,878 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,456
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$347 /mo · $4,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $-435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-243 | -5% $-339 | +0% $-435 | +5% $-531 | +10% $-627 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-583 | -5% $-509 | +0% $-435 | +5% $-361 | +10% $-287 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-295 | -0.5pp $-364 | base $-435 | +0.5pp $-507 | +1.0pp $-580 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,412
- Closing costs
- $8,329
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 Arnold Loop Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,673 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 787 Arnold Loop , TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 263 Speckled Belly Bnd Uhland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 34d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 177 Pink Footed Pass Uhland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,525 | $1.03 | 73d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 177 Pink Footed Pass Uhland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,525 | $1.03 | 93d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 151 Pink Footed Pass Uhland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,600 | $1.08 | 73d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 129 Pineland Ave Niederwald, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,349 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $241,990 Active 441 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $241,990 Active 439 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $241,990 Active 438 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $241,990 Active 437 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $241,990 Active 436 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $241,990 Active 433 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $241,990 Active 431 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $241,990 Active 430 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $241,990 Active 428 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $241,990 Active 426 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $241,990 Active 425 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $241,990 Active 424 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $241,990 Active 423 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $241,990 Active 422 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $241,990 Active 420 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $241,990 Active 419 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $241,990 Active 418 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $241,990 Active 417 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $241,990 Active 416 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $241,990 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $241,990 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $241,990 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $241,990 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $241,990 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $241,990 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $241,990 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $241,990 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $241,990 Active 405 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $241,990 Active 404 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $241,990 Active 403 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $241,990 Active 402 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $241,990 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $241,990 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $241,990 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $241,990 Active 398 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $241,990 Active 396 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $241,990 Active 394 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $241,990 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $241,990 Active 390 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $241,990 Active 389 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $241,990 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $241,990 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $241,990 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $241,990 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $241,990 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $241,990 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $241,990 Active 375 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $241,990 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $241,990 Active 373 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $241,990 Active 372 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,553
- − Property taxes
- −$4,165
- − Insurance
- −$1,388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,803
- − Management
- −$1,803
- − Depreciation
- −$8,077
- Taxable loss
- −$10,251
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,460
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This single-story home in Uhland, TX is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates to enhance curb appeal and energy efficiency.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments improve aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hays CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4800010
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,570
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5118
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — Uhland
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1385
- US rank
- #23774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hays County · 286,948 people
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 77,531
- Household income
- $90,075
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Hays County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,948 people
- By 2030
- 336,923 · +17.4%
- By 2040
- 441,894 · +54.0%
- By 2050
- 553,462 · +92.9%
- By 2075
- 838,261 · +192.1%
- By 2100
- 1,063,658 · +270.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 36% Two or more races 29% Black 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Hays
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.7) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: 5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+10.8 2016: R+0.9 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.64%
- Current HPI
- 181.7969
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.34%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-18.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $241,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $306,490 Zillow
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $298,990 Zillow
- 2025-05-24 Listed $297,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…