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4787 Co Rd 82
B Composite 72.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0

$40,500

4787 Co Rd 82 · Coffeeville, MS 38922
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2003 1.00 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very Motivated seller! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious 1-acre lot in a peaceful rural setting in Coffeeville. Enjoy privacy, open space, and investment potential all in one. Sold as-is, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add to portfolio.

Key facts

  • Tenant occupied
  • 1 acre lot
  • Investment potential

Tags

1 ACRE LOTPEACEFUL RURAL SETTINGINVESTMENT POTENTIALTENANT OCCUPIEDSOLD AS IS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 1 acre lot

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Propane connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
  • Construction: HardiPlank-type siding; Architectural shingle roof; Built as recorded by assessor
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Convection oven; Laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#132 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Coffeeville School District (rural): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #122 of 130 in MS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Yalobusha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($280 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Yalobusha County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,285 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
19.13%
Cash-on-cash
45.84%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$32,961
Equity at exit
$18,733
10-year hold
IRR
50.8%
Equity multiple
7.89×
Total profit
$78,077
Equity at exit
$29,284

Cash invested: $11,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38922

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$878 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$212
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $330
Max offer price $40,500
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $456 -5% $445 +0% $433 +5% $422 +10% $410
Rent -10% $364 -5% $398 +0% $433 +5% $468 +10% $503
Rate -1.0pp $454 -0.5pp $443 base $433 +0.5pp $423 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,125
Closing costs
$1,215
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $40,500 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $40,500 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,500 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,500 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,500 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,500 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $40,500 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $40,500 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,500 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,500 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $40,500 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $44,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $44,900 Active 31 DOM
  18. 2026-05-02
    price $44,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Very Motivated seller! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious 1-acre lot in a peaceful rural setting in Coffeeville. Enjoy privacy, open space, and investment potential all in one. Sold as-is, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add to portfolio.

  19. 2026-05-02
    price $44,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Very Motivated seller! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious 1-acre lot in a peaceful rural setting in Coffeeville. Enjoy privacy, open space, and investment potential all in one. Sold as-is, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add to portfolio.

  20. 2026-04-29
    listed $49,900 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Very Motivated seller! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious 1-acre lot in a peaceful rural setting in Coffeeville. Enjoy privacy, open space, and investment potential all in one. Sold as-is, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add to portfolio.

  21. 2026-04-28
    listed $49,900 Active 343-char remark
  22. 2008-10-31
    soldstatus
  23. 2002-07-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$374 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$374 · $31/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,535
− Mortgage interest
−$2,269
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$843
− Management
−$843
− Depreciation
−$1,178
Taxable income
$4,827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,158
After-tax cash flow
$4,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coffeeville School District
NCES district ID
2801140
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$33,357
Composite
6.34/100
National rank
#10001
State rank
#122 of 130 in MS

Livability — Coffeeville

Score
64/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#14222

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,126

Population outlook (Yalobusha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,062 people
By 2030
11,811 · -2.1%
By 2040
11,297 · -6.3%
By 2050
10,771 · -10.7%
By 2075
9,679 · -19.8%
By 2100
8,400 · -30.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (57%)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 41% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Vietnam
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yalobusha

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.9) · D 38.9% · R 59.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -20.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.9 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.23%
Current HPI
114.2626
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $40,500 MLSU
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $44,900 NCMBR
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $44,900 MLSU
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $49,900 NCMBR
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $49,900 MLSU
  • 2008-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-07-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $374 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…