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98 W 154th St Triplex
B+ Composite 76.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$280,000

98 W 154th St · Harvey, IL 60426
9 bd · 4.5 ba · 4,336 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 2010 3,125 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Cash-flowing 3-unit property generating approximately $4,800 per month. Built in 2010, this well-maintained building features spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath units, with furnaces and water heaters in great condition. Two units are currently vacant, offering immediate rental upside, while one unit is occupied by a month-to-month tenant, providing flexibility for investors or owner-occupants. One unit requires some TLC, creating a great value-add opportunity. Finished units must be viewed in person to fully appreciate the condition and layout. Conveniently located near I-294 and the University of Chicago Hospital. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 3 unit property
  • Rental upside
  • Conveniently located

Tags

3 UNIT PROPERTYRENTAL UPSIDEVALUE ADD OPPORTUNITYCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Three-unit building (total units: 3); Possession at closing
  • Financial info: Special service area: No

Exterior

  • Parking: Two owned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two- to four-unit property; Fee simple ownership; Approximately 16–20 years old; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 125; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a stove and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Nine total bedrooms; Three 3-bedroom units in the building
  • Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 24 total rooms; Unfinished/partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Tenant utilities vary by unit (some pay electric, gas, heat; others pay nothing)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $826/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $280k).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Rosa L Parks Middle School (319 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $263,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.91%
Cash-on-cash
37.92%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.5%
Equity multiple
4.96×
Total profit
$310,350
Equity at exit
$252,246
10-year hold
IRR
47.1%
Equity multiple
11.08×
Total profit
$790,027
Equity at exit
$543,978

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,585 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax est. 1.5%
$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,173
Net cashflow
$2,477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,449
Max offer price $280,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,671 -5% $2,574 +0% $2,477 +5% $2,380 +10% $2,284
Rent -10% $2,036 -5% $2,257 +0% $2,477 +5% $2,698 +10% $2,918
Rate -1.0pp $2,618 -0.5pp $2,548 base $2,477 +0.5pp $2,405 +1.0pp $2,331

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,585

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $280,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $280,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $280,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $280,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $280,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $280,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $280,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-04-21
    price $280,000
  17. 2026-04-04
    price $299,999
  18. 2026-04-02
    listed $299,900 Active
  19. 2026-03-17
    historical
  20. 2026-01-21
    price
  21. 2025-12-30
    status Active
  22. 2025-11-18
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  23. 2025-10-30
    listed Active
  24. 2025-09-30
    historical
  25. 2025-05-22
    status Active
  26. 2025-04-25
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  27. 2025-01-31
    status Active
  28. 2025-01-21
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  29. 2025-01-10
    price
  30. 2025-01-10
    price
  31. 2024-05-06
    listed Active
  32. 2017-01-11
    historical
  33. 2016-12-27
    status Reactivated
  34. 2016-12-02
    historical Contingent
  35. 2016-11-10
    price
  36. 2016-11-04
    price
  37. 2016-10-28
    price
  38. 2016-10-16
    price
  39. 2016-10-10
    price
  40. 2016-10-04
    listed New
  41. 2015-12-31
    historical
  42. 2015-09-16
    price
  43. 2015-08-07
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$67,020
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$4,200
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,362
− Management
−$5,362
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable income
$26,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,448
After-tax cash flow
$23,278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Harvey

Score
67/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#11162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harvey, IL
City population
23,066
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.6% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $280,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $299,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $299,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-18 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-22 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-31 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-21 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-06 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-11 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-27 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-02 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-28 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-16 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-04 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-12-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-16 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-08-07 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $14,188 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…